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30 El Camino Ct #30
D- Composite 39.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Cash flow +3.7/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,996

30 El Camino Ct #30 · Coram, NY 11727
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 750 sqft · Condo · 215 Days on market
Built 1972 Good condition $253/sqft · 12% below area Est $217k · 12% under $1073/mo HOA · 46% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Location! Location! Enjoy comfortable, low-maintenance living in this beautifully maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath second floor co-op located in the desirable North Isle community. Offering approximately 750 square feet of well-designed living space, this home features an inviting entrance foyer that opens to a bright and spacious living area with an open floorplan, formal dining room, and efficient galley kitchen. The generously sized bedroom and full bath provide everyday comfort. Interior finishes include a combination of carpet and laminate flooring, along with central air and natural gas forced-air heating for year-round comfort. Residents enjoy an exceptional array of community amenities, including a clubhouse, fitness center, pool, spa, sauna, tennis and basketball courts, playground, and beautifully maintained grounds. Monthly maintenance covers major expenses such as heat, gas, hot water, water, sewer, trash, snow removal, and exterior and grounds care, making for simplified and predictable living. This well-kept community offers a peaceful setting, ample parking, and a welcoming lifestyle with resort-style conveniences right at your doorstep.

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Clubhouse
  • Community amenities

Tags

INVITING ENTRANCE FOYEROPEN FLOORPLANEFFICIENT GALLEY KITCHENCOMMUNITY AMENITIESCLUBHOUSEFITNESS CENTER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-558 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (42.5% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (42.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 2.8% vs local median 3.6% in Coram — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#646 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Longwood Central School District (rural): math 61% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #235 of 590 in NY (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Longwood High School (math 90% / reading 77%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 2,977 students, 44% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 84% at this address vs 58% district-wide (+26 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Longwood Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 61d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 46% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,195 (42.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
2.77%
Cash-on-cash
-12.60%
DSCR
0.44
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$216,758
List price
$189,996
Delta
-12.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
27 El Camino Ct #27 0.01mi 1/1.0 700 (-7%) 1mo $180,000 $257 87
3 Laramie Ct Unit L3 0.45mi 1/1.0 750 (0%) 5mo $220,000 $293 75
8 Idaho Unit i8 0.29mi 1/1.0 800 (+7%) 4mo $209,990 $262 72
11 Idaho #11 0.31mi 1/1.0 800 (+7%) 4mo $235,000 $294 72
30 Kiowa Ct Unit K30 0.36mi 1/1.0 700 (-7%) 5mo $168,000 $240 68
79 Pointe Circle South #79 0.22mi 2/2.0 (+1) 875 (+17%) 4mo $195,000 $223 52
222 Pointe Cir N #2 0.39mi 2/1.0 (+1) 900 (+20%) 0mo $199,999 $222 52
150 Pointe Cir N #150 0.42mi 2/1.0 (+1) 907 (+21%) 1mo $255,000 $281 49
138 N Pointe Cir #138 0.42mi 2/1.0 (+1) 900 (+20%) 4mo $230,000 $256 47
255 Sagamore Hills Dr 1.43mi 1/1.0 826 (+10%) 2mo $330,000 $400 46
10 Gettysburg Ct 0.77mi 2/1.0 (+1) 916 (+22%) 2mo $420,000 $459 33
65 Federal Ln 0.81mi 2/1.0 (+1) 916 (+22%) 4mo $410,000 $448 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-34.9%
Equity multiple
-0.16×
Total profit
$-61,730
Equity at exit
$28,329
10-year hold
IRR
-27.5%
Equity multiple
-0.50×
Total profit
$-80,054
Equity at exit
$16,427

Cash invested: $53,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
1 active · 3 under contract
Median asking
$229,990 ($287/sqft)
Median days on market
94 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+0.5% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 11727

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
338
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,313 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax est. 1.5%
$237 /mo · $2,850/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$1,073
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$486
Net cashflow
$-558

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,020
Max offer price $109,195
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-427 -5% $-493 +0% $-558 +5% $-624 +10% $-690
Rent -10% $-741 -5% $-650 +0% $-558 +5% $-467 +10% $-376
Rate -1.0pp $-463 -0.5pp $-510 base $-558 +0.5pp $-608 +1.0pp $-658

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,499
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
39 Fargo Ct Unit 39 Coram, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $2,000 $3.08 139d 1 0.08mi
27 Stuart Dr Coram, NY 1.0 1.0 525 $2,000 $3.81 0d 1 0.16mi
48 Pointe Cir S Brookhaven, NY 2.0 1.0 950 $2,650 $2.79 0d 1 0.18mi
23 Sierra Ct Unit 23 Coram, NY 1.0 1.0 600 $1,995 $3.33 71d 1 0.27mi
21 Sierra Ct Unit 21 Coram, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $1,895 $2.92 139d 1 0.28mi
10 Houston Ct #10 Coram, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $2,150 $3.31 117d 1 0.30mi
150 Pointe Cir N #150 Coram, NY 2.0 1.0 907 $2,650 $2.92 26d 1 0.41mi
119 Sequoia Dr Coram, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,200 $3.14 111d 1 0.44mi
5 Laramie Ct Unit 5 Coram, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $2,150 $2.87 120d 1 0.45mi
11 Laramie Ct Unit 11 Coram, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $2,100 $2.80 113d 1 0.45mi
1 Avalon Pines Dr Coram, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1115 $2,751 $2.47 0d 24 0.68mi
30 Apex Dr Coram, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $2,950 $3.93 6d 1 0.85mi
5 Whitney Ln Coram, NY 1.0 1.0 552 $1,900 $3.44 139d 1 0.95mi
1998 New York 112 Coram, NY 1.0 1.0 672 $2,715 $4.04 0d 4 1.12mi
36 Wedgewood Dr Coram, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $1,975 $3.04 60d 1 1.18mi
1202 Longwood Pl Unit 1202B Coram, NY 1.0 1.0 881 $2,350 $2.67 139d 1 1.23mi
1302 Margate Pl Unit 1302B Coram, NY 2.0 1.0 907 $2,350 $2.59 5d 1 1.25mi
100 Stonegate Way Middle Island, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 932 $2,782 $2.98 0d 3 1.27mi
1104 Kingsley Pl Unit 1104B Coram, NY 2.0 1.0 907 $2,915 $3.21 4d 1 1.29mi
1005 Joyner Pl Unit 1005B Coram, NY 2.0 1.0 907 $2,915 $3.21 4d 1 1.31mi
1001 Joyner Pl Unit 1001A Coram, NY 1.0 1.0 881 $2,330 $2.64 5d 1 1.31mi
1002 Joyner Pl Unit 1002A Coram, NY 2.0 1.0 907 $2,840 $3.13 139d 1 1.32mi
1004 Joyner Pl Unit 1004B Coram, NY 2.0 1.0 907 $2,915 $3.21 4d 1 1.32mi
907 Ipswich Pl Unit 0907A Coram, NY 1.0 1.0 881 $2,330 $2.64 51d 1 1.36mi
902 Ipswich Pl Unit 902B Coram, NY 2.0 1.0 907 $2,915 $3.21 7d 1 1.36mi
405 Dunstan Pl Unit 405B Coram, NY 2.0 1.0 907 $2,915 $3.21 139d 1 1.39mi
404 Dunstan Pl Unit 404B Coram, NY 2.0 1.0 907 $2,915 $3.21 139d 1 1.40mi
305 Dunstan Pl Unit 305A Coram, NY 2.0 1.0 907 $2,840 $3.13 63d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail $1,073/mo · $12,876/yr condo

Likely covers
watersewertrashgaslandscapingsnow removalpoolgym
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $189,996 Active 215 DOM
  2. 2026-09-23
    days on market $189,996 Active 214 DOM
  3. 2026-09-22
    days on market $189,996 Active 213 DOM
  4. 2026-09-21
    days on market $189,996 Active 212 DOM
  5. 2026-09-20
    pricedays on market $189,996 Active 211 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $199,996 Active 210 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $199,996 Active 209 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $199,996 Active 208 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $199,996 Active 207 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $199,996 Active 206 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $199,996 Active 205 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $199,996 Active 204 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $199,996 Active 203 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $199,996 Active 197 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $199,996 Active 196 DOM
  16. 2026-09-02
    days on market $199,996 Active 194 DOM
  17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $199,996 Active 192 DOM
  18. 2026-08-30
    days on market $199,996 Active 191 DOM
  19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $199,996 Active 190 DOM
  20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $199,996 Active 189 DOM
  21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $199,996 Active 188 DOM
  22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $199,996 Active 186 DOM
  23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $199,996 Active 185 DOM
  24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $199,996 Active 184 DOM
  25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $199,996 Active 183 DOM
  26. 2026-08-21
    days on market $199,996 Active 182 DOM
  27. 2026-08-20
    days on market $199,996 Active 181 DOM
  28. 2026-08-19
    days on market $199,996 Active 180 DOM
  29. 2026-08-18
    days on market $199,996 Active 179 DOM
  30. 2026-08-17
    days on market $199,996 Active 178 DOM
  31. 2026-08-16
    days on market $199,996 Active 177 DOM
  32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $199,996 Active 176 DOM
  33. 2026-08-14
    days on market $199,996 Active 175 DOM
  34. 2026-08-13
    days on market $199,996 Active 174 DOM
  35. 2026-08-12
    days on market $199,996 Active 173 DOM
  36. 2026-08-11
    days on market $199,996 Active 172 DOM
  37. 2026-08-10
    days on market $199,996 Active 171 DOM
  38. 2026-08-09
    days on market $199,996 Active 170 DOM
  39. 2026-08-08
    days on market $199,996 Active 169 DOM
  40. 2026-08-06
    days on market $199,996 Active 167 DOM
  41. 2026-08-05
    days on market $199,996 Active 166 DOM
  42. 2026-08-04
    days on market $199,996 Active 165 DOM
  43. 2026-08-03
    days on market $199,996 Active 164 DOM
  44. 2026-07-31
    days on market $199,996 Active 161 DOM
  45. 2026-07-30
    days on market $199,996 Active 159 DOM
  46. 2026-07-28
    days on market $199,996 Active 158 DOM
  47. 2026-07-26
    days on market $199,996 Active 156 DOM
  48. 2026-07-24
    days on market $199,996 Active 154 DOM
  49. 2026-07-23
    days on market $199,996 Active 153 DOM
  50. 2026-07-22
    days on market $199,996 Active 152 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,761
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$2,850
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,221
− Management
−$2,221
− HOA
−$12,876
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$9,526
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,286
After-tax cash flow
$-4,414/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $3,750–$11,250 screening

This well-maintained 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo in North Isle Village offers a good investment opportunity with minimal repairs and updates needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior brick and trim. — Enhances curb appeal and adds value.
  • Both Replace the carpet in the living room and dining area. — Improves comfort and appearance.
  • Both Update the kitchen countertops and backsplash. — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value for both resale and rental.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Longwood Central School District
NCES district ID
3619230
Math proficiency
61% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$72,748
Composite
51.63/100
National rank
#1703
State rank
#235 of 590 in NY
C Composite livability gradescore 66/100

Livability — Coram

Score
66/100
State rank
#646
US rank
#12097

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime C Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Coram, NY
County
Suffolk County · 1,505,262 people
City population
28,495
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
28,495
Household income
$103,287
Rent vs Own
32.5% rent · 67.5% own
Severe rent burden
12% of renters

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,505,262 people
By 2030
1,498,318 · -0.5%
By 2040
1,471,101 · -2.3%
By 2050
1,424,848 · -5.3%
By 2075
1,337,157 · -11.2%
By 2100
1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 18% Black 15% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 8% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-4.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $199,996 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $209,996 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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