1823 Eton Ln · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming all-brick home located in established North St. Louis neighborhood! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers classic character with a functional layout and great potential for updates or investment. Step inside to find a spacious living area with natural light, separate dining space, and an efficient kitchen ready for your personal touch. Bedrooms are comfortably sized, and the home includes a full basement—ideal for storage, a workshop, or future finishing—with laundry area. Situated on a level lot with public street frontage, this property features a traditional design and solid construction. Convenient access to local amenities, schools, parks, and major roadways make
Key facts
- 4,900 sq ft lot
- Built 1946
- Listed 41 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking or carport spaces listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (other)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; House structure
- Construction: Brick veneer and vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; No patio or porch; No fencing; No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Partially finished full basement; Living room fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Herzog Elem. (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,072 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 247 students, 99% FRL); Vashon High (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #520 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 568 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.00%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $68,630
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 45.56%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5916 Alpha Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (0%) | 3mo | $74,900 | $80 | 86 |
| 5712 Floy Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 966 (+3%) | 1mo | $62,000 | $64 | 72 |
| 1719 Veronica Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 984 (+5%) | 2mo | $94,500 | $96 | 72 |
| 8926 Hillview Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 920 (-2%) | 3mo | $38,700 | $42 | 68 |
| 2026 Mclaran Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 1,026 (+10%) | 1mo | $89,500 | $87 | 62 |
| 8808 Clifton Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-3%) | 2mo | $29,900 | $33 | 58 |
| 2074 Wedgewood Dr | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (-5%) | 3mo | $36,900 | $42 | 56 |
| 8930 Sides Ct | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,008 (+8%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $64 | 52 |
| 1545 Sells Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,075 (+15%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $70 | 51 |
| 1965 Park Ln | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 825 (-12%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $79 | 50 |
| 5811 Helen Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 806 (-14%) | 0mo | $29,900 | $37 | 49 |
| 8819 May Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 1,074 (+15%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $93 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,590
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $24,169
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63147
- Home prices YoY
- -31.4%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,113 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $407/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $280
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5955 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,050 | $1.02 | 3d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5932 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,373 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 8548 Drury Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,420 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 8502 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,175 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 8527 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 976 | $1,295 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 5756 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $995 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 5741 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 5721 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,120 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 5662 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $850 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 5654 Acme Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $325 | $0.34 | 22d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5574 Era Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,400 | $1.65 | 12d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5546 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,273 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5635 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $899 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 8828 Riverview Blvd Apt 2S St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $850 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2056 Coleridge Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 949 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8817 Shady Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,075 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5637 Jennings Station Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $895 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5931 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1131 Canaan Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $900 | $1.44 | 16d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 18d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8720 Akins Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2415 Shirley Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,450 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 8612 Halls Ferry Rd Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $775 | $1.24 | 4d | 2 | 0.86mi |
| 5439 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $950 | $1.23 | 18d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2427 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5415 Hamilton Ave Unit Labs Jennings, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7205 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $750 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5615 Beldon Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7030 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5361 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,420 | $1.58 | 18d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2527 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,135 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5936 Theodore Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5516 Fairridge Ct Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $995 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3 Pohlman Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,000 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7 Lamar Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,200 | $1.34 | 18d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7024 Idlewild Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $995 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7218 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $980 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $99,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $104,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $104,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $104,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$104,900 Active 866-char remark
-
2016-10-03price $29,400
-
2013-05-28soldstatus $1,059,198
-
2013-05-02soldstatus $984,600
-
2009-06-03soldstatus
-
2009-01-05soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $407 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $969 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$562/yr (+$47/mo · 138.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,355
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$407
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,068
- − Management
- −$1,068
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $1,809
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$434
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,923/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,173
- Household income
- $41,182
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 418.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 92% White 5% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.51%
- Current HPI
- 84.224
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
-89.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $99,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Listed $104,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-03 Price Changed $29,400 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $1,059,198 Public Records
- 2013-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $984,600 Public Records
- 2009-06-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-01-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2024): $407 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…