🏷️ Likely Rental
726 30th Ave N · Minneapolis, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious former duplex offering excellent opportunity for both homeowners and investors. Currently configured as a single-family home, the layout provides great potential for an owner-occupant looking to live in the home while utilizing the upper level for rental income. The upper unit has previously rented for $2,000/month NET with tenant paying all utilities, making this a strong cash-flow opportunity. This 5-bedroom, 2-bath home features two bedrooms on the main level and three on the second floor, providing plenty of living space and flexibility. The property includes central natural gas furnace, central A/C, newer flooring, and updated windows. The fully fenced yard offers privacy and outdoor space. In 2019 the drain tile system & sump pump was installed. Property does need minor cosmetic updates, but it is priced accordingly, making it a great value for buyers willing to add their personal touch.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 55 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $780 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
- Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,419/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1826% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.88%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $247,220
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -35.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $34,833
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 29.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.22×
- Total profit
- $144,092
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 34 Tenant-Leaning
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Minneapolis
- 34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
ZIP-level market 55411
- Home prices YoY
- -8.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,419 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$225 /mo · $2,703/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $780
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3247 N 6th St Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1405 | $2,350 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 3247 N 6th St Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1405 | $2,350 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 3247 N 6th St Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1405 | $2,350 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2643 Lyndale Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2198 | $750 | $0.34 | 17d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2646 Dupont Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1514 | $2,245 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 318 N 27th Ave #2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 318 N 27th Ave #2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3105 N Girard Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2923 Girard Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $2,795 | $1.59 | 22d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3342 Fremont Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,200 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2819 Girard Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1718 | $2,300 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2647 Fremont Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1508 | $2,595 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3238 Humboldt Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1389 | $2,100 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3522 Bryant Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $2,995 | $2.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2703 Humboldt Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1218 | $1,450 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3315 James Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3114 Morgan Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $2,000 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,875 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,875 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3526 Newton Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $2,795 | $1.90 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2324 Logan Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,300 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2035 W River Rd Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1034 | $2,503 | $2.42 | 4d | 10 | 1.00mi |
| 1625 Marshall St NE Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1900 | $3,495 | $1.84 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1414 Golden Valley Rd Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,595 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3935 Fremont Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1900 | $2,595 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1312 18th Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1520 | $1,899 | $1.25 | 8d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1428 Marshall St NE Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $3,300 | $1.83 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 207 24th Ave NE Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1575 | $2,995 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 233 26th Ave NE Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1153 | $1,545 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1705 2nd St NE Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $2,795 | $1.75 | 2d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2522 5th St NE Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,799 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1429 Knox Ave N Unit 1429 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,995 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2411 Golden Valley Rd Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,395 | $2.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1507 N Newton Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,499 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $160,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-04-15historical
-
2026-04-14$160,000 Active 922-char remark
Show marketing remark (922 chars)
Spacious former duplex offering excellent opportunity for both homeowners and investors. Currently configured as a single-family home, the layout provides great potential for an owner-occupant looking to live in the home while utilizing the upper level for rental income. The upper unit has previously rented for $2,000/month NET with tenant paying all utilities, making this a strong cash-flow opportunity. This 5-bedroom, 2-bath home features two bedrooms on the main level and three on the second floor, providing plenty of living space and flexibility. The property includes central natural gas furnace, central A/C, newer flooring, and updated windows. The fully fenced yard offers privacy and outdoor space. In 2019 the drain tile system & sump pump was installed. Property does need minor cosmetic updates, but it is priced accordingly, making it a great value for buyers willing to add their personal touch.
-
2026-03-27$180,000 Active
-
2026-03-26historical
-
2026-03-11$200,000 Active
-
2022-04-15soldstatus $169,000 Sold
-
2022-03-12status Pending
-
2022-03-04price $169,000
-
2022-03-02price $175,000
-
2022-02-23price $179,000
-
2022-02-11$184,900 Active
-
2022-02-02historical
-
2022-01-21status Active
-
2022-01-18status Pending
-
2021-12-31historical
-
2021-12-23$169,900 Active
-
2021-12-21status Active
-
2021-12-17status Pending
-
2021-10-13$169,900 Active
-
2011-08-25soldstatus $75,000
-
2011-07-25historical
-
2011-06-30soldstatus $75,000
-
2011-03-31$95,000
-
2010-04-12soldstatus $30,000
-
2010-02-26soldstatus $30,000
-
2010-02-22historical
-
2010-01-04$30,000
-
2009-12-14historical
-
2009-10-23$75,000
-
2006-09-28soldstatus $136,000
-
2006-09-12soldstatus $136,000
-
2006-09-07historical
-
2006-06-27$140,000
-
2005-11-10historical
-
2005-07-09$159,900
-
1991-04-04soldstatus $12,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,703 · $225/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,703 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,023
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,703
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,322
- − Management
- −$2,322
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $7,259
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,742
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,614/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minneapolis Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2721240
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,521
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5067
- State rank
- #217 of 301 in MN
Livability — Minneapolis
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #2525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minneapolis, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
- City population
- 417,555
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,741
- Household income
- $60,225
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1826.0
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.91%
- Current HPI
- 356.6758
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.35%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+1180.0% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Listed $160,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Listed $180,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-26 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-11 Listed $200,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-15 Sold (MLS) $169,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-12 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-04 Price Changed $169,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-02 Price Changed $175,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-23 Price Changed $179,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-11 Listed $184,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-02 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-21 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-18 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-31 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-23 Listed $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-21 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-17 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-13 Listed $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2011-07-25 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-06-30 Sold (MLS) $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-03-31 Listed $95,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2010-02-26 Sold (MLS) $30,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-02-22 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-04 Listed $30,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-12-14 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-23 Listed $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $136,000 Public Records
- 2006-09-12 Sold (MLS) $136,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-09-07 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-27 Listed $140,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-07-09 Listed $159,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1991-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,703 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…