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4409 Wentworth Rd
D- Composite 37.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$400,000

4409 Wentworth Rd · Baltimore, MD 21207
5 bd · 4.5 ba · 2,175 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1926 7,500 sqft lot Est $331k · 21% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LARGE PORCH FRONT FOREST PARK RENOVATION by DIAMOND PROPERTIES W/ 4 FINISHED LEVELS - this complete renovation features over 2600 sq ft of living space with an open floor plan offering hardwood floors throughout the main level, spacious living room w/ fireplace insert, separate dining and designer island kitchen w/ quartz counter tops, ss appliances, large pantry and convenient half bathroom leading to huge rear deck, fenced yard and two car off street parking pad. The upper levels features a total of 4 bedrooms, stylish 2nd level owner suite with walk-in closet & luxurious bathroom and 3rd floor bedroom & full bathroom suite. The finished walkout lower level offers an abundance of additional living space with bedroom, club room and laundry room. The renovation was fully permitted, inspected and conveys with a use & occupancy permit. Buy with confidence with a strong builder's warranty!

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Generous pantry
  • Large front porch

Tags

LARGE FRONT PORCHOPEN MAIN-LEVEL FLOOR PLANUPDATED ISLAND KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGENEROUS PANTRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership interest listed as ground rent; Income/expense entry lists annual ground rent
  • Financial info: Ground rent amount semi-annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Two off-street parking spaces; Concrete private driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water; 200+ amp electrical service; Natural gas heating
  • Home design: Detached property; Major remodel or effective year 2023; Year built recorded by assessor
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Permanent foundation; Fully finished basement; Below-grade finished and unfinished areas present
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent exists (semi-annual payment)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Wall oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level; One bedroom on the first lower level
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms on upper levels; One full bathroom on first lower level; One half bathroom on the main level; Total of four full bathrooms and one half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: 90% efficient forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-199 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $365k (8.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $303k (24.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $303k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Calvin M. Rodwell Elementary/Middle (math 0% / reading 9%, grade F, #803 of 860 statewide, top 94%, 841 students, 75% FRL); Vanguard Collegiate Middle (math 3% / reading 15%, grade F, #212 of 225 statewide, top 95%, 343 students, 84% FRL); Baltimore Polytechnic Institute (math 71% / reading 84%, grade A-, #22 of 222 statewide, top 10%, 1,555 students, 43% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 12% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Baltimore City Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,031/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 2139% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $41k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$65k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($388k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $303,131 (24.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.70%
Cash-on-cash
-2.13%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$330,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4003 Springdale Ave 0.38mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,175 (0%) 2mo $200,000 $92 69
4213 Springdale Ave 0.21mi 5/3.0 2,002 (-8%) 3mo $370,000 $185 69
4504 Norfolk Ave 0.27mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,067 (-5%) 0mo $267,000 $129 66
4315 Springdale Ave 0.16mi 5/2.5 1,928 (-11%) 1mo $160,000 $83 65
4310 Norfolk Ave 0.29mi 6/3.0 (+1) 1,990 (-8%) 4mo $342,000 $172 58
4011 Maine Ave 0.40mi 5/3.0 2,355 (+8%) 6mo $184,000 $78 56
4511 Prospect Cir 0.67mi 5/2.0 2,280 (+5%) 1mo $365,000 $160 50
3708 Mohawk Ave 0.54mi 5/4.0 2,468 (+14%) 3mo $375,000 $152 48
3221 Milford Ave 0.39mi 5/2.0 1,915 (-12%) 5mo $289,000 $151 48
3911 Chatham Rd 0.63mi 5/2.5 2,407 (+11%) 5mo $370,000 $154 40
4900 Haddon Ave 0.61mi 4/3.5 (-1) 2,470 (+14%) 6mo $425,000 $172 35
4203 Oakford Ave 0.72mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,867 (-14%) 4mo $150,000 $80 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.5% appreciation · 5.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$198,420
Equity at exit
$345,843
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
6.41×
Total profit
$606,344
Equity at exit
$730,906

Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21207

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,031 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,098
Tax from tax record
$330 /mo · $3,955/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$637
Net cashflow
$-199

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,283
Max offer price $364,813
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $27 -5% $-86 +0% $-199 +5% $-312 +10% $-426
Rent -10% $-439 -5% $-319 +0% $-199 +5% $-79 +10% $40
Rate -1.0pp $2 -0.5pp $-97 base $-199 +0.5pp $-303 +1.0pp $-408

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$100,000
Closing costs
$12,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4029 Fairview Ave Baltimore, MD 5.0 4.5 2653 $3,200 $1.21 45d 1 0.54mi
2510 Roslyn Ave Baltimore, MD 6.0 5.0 2663 $4,200 $1.58 45d 1 1.08mi
3204 Sequoia Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1791 $2,600 $1.45 45d 1 1.50mi
4037 Cedardale Rd Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.0 1500 $2,800 $1.87 16d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $400,000 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $400,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $400,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $400,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $400,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $400,000 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    price $400,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $430,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $430,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $430,000 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $430,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $430,000 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $430,000 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $430,000 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $430,000 Active 10 DOM
  16. 2026-05-21
    listed $430,000 Active
  17. 2023-04-28
    soldstatus $412,000 Closed 917-char remark
    Show marketing remark (917 chars)

    LARGE PORCH FRONT FOREST PARK RENOVATION by DIAMOND PROPERTIES W/ 4 FINISHED LEVELS - this complete renovation features over 2600 sq ft of living space with an open floor plan offering hardwood floors throughout the main level, spacious living room w/ fireplace insert, separate dining and designer island kitchen w/ quartz counter tops, ss appliances, large pantry and convenient half bathroom leading to huge rear deck, fenced yard and two car off street parking pad. The upper levels features a total of 4 bedrooms, stylish 2nd level owner suite with walk-in closet & luxurious bathroom and 3rd floor bedroom & full bathroom suite. The finished walkout lower level offers an abundance of additional living space with bedroom, club room and laundry room. The renovation was fully permitted, inspected and conveys with a use & occupancy permit. Buy with confidence with a strong builder's warranty!

  18. 2023-04-08
    status Pending 917-char remark
    Show marketing remark (917 chars)

    LARGE PORCH FRONT FOREST PARK RENOVATION by DIAMOND PROPERTIES W/ 4 FINISHED LEVELS - this complete renovation features over 2600 sq ft of living space with an open floor plan offering hardwood floors throughout the main level, spacious living room w/ fireplace insert, separate dining and designer island kitchen w/ quartz counter tops, ss appliances, large pantry and convenient half bathroom leading to huge rear deck, fenced yard and two car off street parking pad. The upper levels features a total of 4 bedrooms, stylish 2nd level owner suite with walk-in closet & luxurious bathroom and 3rd floor bedroom & full bathroom suite. The finished walkout lower level offers an abundance of additional living space with bedroom, club room and laundry room. The renovation was fully permitted, inspected and conveys with a use & occupancy permit. Buy with confidence with a strong builder's warranty!

  19. 2023-03-24
    listed $425,000 Active 917-char remark
    Show marketing remark (917 chars)

    LARGE PORCH FRONT FOREST PARK RENOVATION by DIAMOND PROPERTIES W/ 4 FINISHED LEVELS - this complete renovation features over 2600 sq ft of living space with an open floor plan offering hardwood floors throughout the main level, spacious living room w/ fireplace insert, separate dining and designer island kitchen w/ quartz counter tops, ss appliances, large pantry and convenient half bathroom leading to huge rear deck, fenced yard and two car off street parking pad. The upper levels features a total of 4 bedrooms, stylish 2nd level owner suite with walk-in closet & luxurious bathroom and 3rd floor bedroom & full bathroom suite. The finished walkout lower level offers an abundance of additional living space with bedroom, club room and laundry room. The renovation was fully permitted, inspected and conveys with a use & occupancy permit. Buy with confidence with a strong builder's warranty!

  20. 2023-03-10
    historical $425,000 917-char remark
    Show marketing remark (917 chars)

    LARGE PORCH FRONT FOREST PARK RENOVATION by DIAMOND PROPERTIES W/ 4 FINISHED LEVELS - this complete renovation features over 2600 sq ft of living space with an open floor plan offering hardwood floors throughout the main level, spacious living room w/ fireplace insert, separate dining and designer island kitchen w/ quartz counter tops, ss appliances, large pantry and convenient half bathroom leading to huge rear deck, fenced yard and two car off street parking pad. The upper levels features a total of 4 bedrooms, stylish 2nd level owner suite with walk-in closet & luxurious bathroom and 3rd floor bedroom & full bathroom suite. The finished walkout lower level offers an abundance of additional living space with bedroom, club room and laundry room. The renovation was fully permitted, inspected and conveys with a use & occupancy permit. Buy with confidence with a strong builder's warranty!

  21. 2022-10-13
    historical
  22. 2022-10-06
    listed $199,000 Active
  23. 2022-09-29
    soldstatus $172,000
  24. 2008-05-06
    historical
  25. 2008-02-08
    listed
  26. 2004-12-10
    soldstatus $140,000
  27. 2004-11-15
    soldstatus $140,000
  28. 2004-11-01
    historical
  29. 2004-10-18
    historical
  30. 2004-10-11
    listed $146,900
  31. 2004-07-08
    listed
  32. 2003-11-30
    soldstatus $57,500
  33. 2003-09-25
    historical
  34. 2003-09-08
    listed $49,000
  35. 1991-08-15
    soldstatus $74,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,955 · $330/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,158 · $346/mo
Expected delta
+$202/yr (+$17/mo · 5.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,376
− Mortgage interest
−$22,406
− Property taxes
−$3,955
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,910
− Management
−$2,910
− Depreciation
−$11,636
Taxable loss
−$9,442
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,266
After-tax cash flow
$-124/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore County · 769,527 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
47,099
Household income
$67,060
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
2139.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Swedish 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.50%
Current HPI
843.63
Rent YoY
▲ 5.23%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+481.1% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $430,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-04-28 Sold (MLS) $412,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-04-08 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-03-24 Listed $425,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-03-10 Coming Soon $425,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-10-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-10-06 Listed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $172,000 Public Records
  • 2008-05-06 Delisted MRIS
  • 2008-02-08 Listed MRIS
  • 2004-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2004-11-15 Sold (MLS) $140,000 MRIS
  • 2004-11-01 Delisted MRIS
  • 2004-10-18 Delisted MRIS
  • 2004-10-11 Listed $146,900 MRIS
  • 2004-07-08 Listed MRIS
  • 2003-11-30 Sold (MLS) $57,500 MRIS
  • 2003-09-25 Delisted MRIS
  • 2003-09-08 Listed $49,000 MRIS
  • 1991-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,955 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…