12617 Filbert St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$66,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A distinguished single-family residence awaits you on Detroit's east side. Elegant shaker cabinets provide ample storage, creating a streamlined and organized space for all your essentials. The bathroom offers a luxurious soaking tub that invites moments of tranquil repose. Beyond the interior, the property extends its appeal to the outdoors, providing space to create your own urban oasis. A well-proportioned deck offers an ideal setting for alfresco dining or simply basking in the fresh air. The extra lot provides a private, fenced area perfect for gardening or outdoor activities. This property presents a rare opportunity to embrace a simple and comfortable way of life.
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1926
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $67k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($953 rent vs $67k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.43%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $37,110
- List price
- $66,900
- Delta
- 80.28%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17377 Hamburg St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 581 (+8%) | 19mo | $32,500 | $56 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $6,903
- Equity at exit
- $9,975
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $24,656
- Equity at exit
- $5,784
Cash invested: $18,732 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 373
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $953 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$351
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $852/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $303
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,725
- Closing costs
- $2,007
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14103 Rochelle Ave Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 13503 E McNichols Rd Unit 7 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 17d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 13067 Wade St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $900 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 9190 Hayes St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $66,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $66,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $66,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $66,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $66,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $66,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $66,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $66,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $66,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $66,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $66,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $66,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $66,900 679-char remark
Show marketing remark (679 chars)
A distinguished single-family residence awaits you on Detroit's east side. Elegant shaker cabinets provide ample storage, creating a streamlined and organized space for all your essentials. The bathroom offers a luxurious soaking tub that invites moments of tranquil repose. Beyond the interior, the property extends its appeal to the outdoors, providing space to create your own urban oasis. A well-proportioned deck offers an ideal setting for alfresco dining or simply basking in the fresh air. The extra lot provides a private, fenced area perfect for gardening or outdoor activities. This property presents a rare opportunity to embrace a simple and comfortable way of life.
-
2026-04-22price $66,900 679-char remark
Show marketing remark (679 chars)
A distinguished single-family residence awaits you on Detroit's east side. Elegant shaker cabinets provide ample storage, creating a streamlined and organized space for all your essentials. The bathroom offers a luxurious soaking tub that invites moments of tranquil repose. Beyond the interior, the property extends its appeal to the outdoors, providing space to create your own urban oasis. A well-proportioned deck offers an ideal setting for alfresco dining or simply basking in the fresh air. The extra lot provides a private, fenced area perfect for gardening or outdoor activities. This property presents a rare opportunity to embrace a simple and comfortable way of life.
-
2026-03-23$67,500 Active 679-char remark
Show marketing remark (679 chars)
A distinguished single-family residence awaits you on Detroit's east side. Elegant shaker cabinets provide ample storage, creating a streamlined and organized space for all your essentials. The bathroom offers a luxurious soaking tub that invites moments of tranquil repose. Beyond the interior, the property extends its appeal to the outdoors, providing space to create your own urban oasis. A well-proportioned deck offers an ideal setting for alfresco dining or simply basking in the fresh air. The extra lot provides a private, fenced area perfect for gardening or outdoor activities. This property presents a rare opportunity to embrace a simple and comfortable way of life.
-
2026-03-23$67,500 Active 679-char remark
Show marketing remark (679 chars)
A distinguished single-family residence awaits you on Detroit's east side. Elegant shaker cabinets provide ample storage, creating a streamlined and organized space for all your essentials. The bathroom offers a luxurious soaking tub that invites moments of tranquil repose. Beyond the interior, the property extends its appeal to the outdoors, providing space to create your own urban oasis. A well-proportioned deck offers an ideal setting for alfresco dining or simply basking in the fresh air. The extra lot provides a private, fenced area perfect for gardening or outdoor activities. This property presents a rare opportunity to embrace a simple and comfortable way of life.
-
2026-03-20historical $67,500 679-char remark
Show marketing remark (679 chars)
A distinguished single-family residence awaits you on Detroit's east side. Elegant shaker cabinets provide ample storage, creating a streamlined and organized space for all your essentials. The bathroom offers a luxurious soaking tub that invites moments of tranquil repose. Beyond the interior, the property extends its appeal to the outdoors, providing space to create your own urban oasis. A well-proportioned deck offers an ideal setting for alfresco dining or simply basking in the fresh air. The extra lot provides a private, fenced area perfect for gardening or outdoor activities. This property presents a rare opportunity to embrace a simple and comfortable way of life.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $852 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $941 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- +$89/yr (+$7/mo · 10.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,437
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,747
- − Property taxes
- −$852
- − Insurance
- −$334
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$915
- − Management
- −$915
- − Depreciation
- −$1,946
- Taxable income
- $2,727
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$654
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,984/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-0.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $66,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $66,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-23 Listed $67,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $67,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-20 Coming Soon $67,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $852 · -53.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…