130 Tasker Ln · Greenport West, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming cape, a true gem with its private beach and inviting swimming pool. This sweet home features 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths, combining easy living and casual comfort . Spacious, sunlit rooms provide ample living space for relaxation and entertaining. Cozy up by the fireplace in the living room, or retreat to the den for a quiet evening with a book or movie. The open-concept kitchen seamlessly connects to the living room. Large bedrooms, convenient first-floor laundry and home office complete the interior. The breathtaking backyard steals the show, with a stunning inground pool perfect for hot summer days, lush landscaping ensures privacy, making the firepit area a perf
Key facts
- Open-concept kitchen
- Private beach
- Swimming pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has association; $150 annual fee (includes other services)
Exterior
- Parking: Private driveway with space for 4 vehicles
- Utilities: Cesspool sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Aluminum siding and frame construction
- Exterior features: In-ground private pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Oil water heater (serves kitchen/appliances)
- Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Baseboard heating; Ductless cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Screens on windows; Finished basement with Bilco door access; Dormer attic
- Laundry & utility: Oil water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.20M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($91k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $1.20M).
- Recommended offer: $1.16M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 8.1% in Greenport West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,073 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Greenport Union Free School District (town): math 55% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #450 of 755 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Greenport Elementary School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #908 of 2,108 statewide, top 46%, 339 students, 61% FRL); Greenport High School (math 52% / reading 54%, grade C-, #934 of 1,100 statewide, top 86%, 356 students, 63% FRL).
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $336k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.16M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $176k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $140k; list at $1.20M implies a 756% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.98%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,554,282
- List price
- $1,199,000
- Delta
- -22.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1111 Main St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,363 (-2%) | 6mo | $1,200,000 | $508 | 73 |
| 155 Bridge St | 0.43mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,400 (0%) | 2mo | $1,470,000 | $613 | 68 |
| 2515 Sound Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,290 (-5%) | 9mo | $1,550,000 | $677 | 58 |
| 675 Champlin Pl | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 | 2,650 (+10%) | 10mo | $2,200,000 | $830 | 52 |
| 529 2nd St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,200 (-8%) | 10mo | $1,100,000 | $500 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $286,397
- Equity at exit
- $178,775
- IRR
- 29.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $868,031
- Equity at exit
- $103,668
Cash invested: $335,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11944
- Home prices YoY
- -23.7%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $19,210 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,288
- Tax from tax record
- −$827 /mo · $9,920/yr
- Insurance
- −$500
- HOA
- −$13
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,034
- Net cashflow
- $7,549
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $8,228 | -5% $7,888 | +0% $7,549 | +5% $7,210 | +10% $6,870 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $6,031 | -5% $6,790 | +0% $7,549 | +5% $8,308 | +10% $9,067 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $8,153 | -0.5pp $7,854 | base $7,549 | +0.5pp $7,238 | +1.0pp $6,922 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $299,750
- Closing costs
- $35,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 485 Sutton Pl Greenport, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2026 | $20,000 | $9.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 312 5th Ave Greenport, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $12,000 | $6.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 64230 North Rd Greenport, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2800 | $6,500 | $2.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 131 6th St Unit G Greenport, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2238 | $5,000 | $2.23 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $13 · $156/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpool
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $1,199,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $1,199,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,275,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,275,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,275,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,275,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,275,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $1,275,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,275,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,275,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,275,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $1,275,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,275,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,275,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,275,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,275,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $1,275,000 923-char remark
-
2026-04-14$1,375,000 Active 923-char remark
-
2024-10-24$1,475,000 Active
-
1994-08-29soldstatus $140,000
-
1994-08-23soldstatus $140,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,920 · $827/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $15,091 · $1,258/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,172/yr (+$431/mo · 52.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $230,521
- − Mortgage interest
- −$67,163
- − Property taxes
- −$9,920
- − Insurance
- −$5,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$18,442
- − Management
- −$18,442
- − HOA
- −$156
- − Depreciation
- −$34,880
- Taxable income
- $75,524
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$18,126
- After-tax cash flow
- $72,463/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenport Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612840
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,490
- Composite
- 45.25/100
- National rank
- #5759
- State rank
- #450 of 755 in NY
Livability — Greenport West
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1073
- US rank
- #21520
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenport West, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,744
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 22% German/W. Germanic 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.97%
- Current HPI
- 462.3431
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+756.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $1,199,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $1,275,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Listed $1,375,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-24 Listed $1,475,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 1994-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $9,920 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…