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3911 NW 2nd St 🔨 Auction
F Composite 19.75
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.4/5.0
  • Cash flow +0.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

3911 NW 2nd St · Miami, FL 33126
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1946

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Foreclosure Auction Ends June 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM EST. Explore this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence set in a peaceful and well-located Miami community. The list price is the opening bid for the online auction. Sold As-is. Explore more details and submit your bid through Federa.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: Near Flagler St and S Le Jeune

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached garage with space for 1 car
  • Home design: Residential property; One-story
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.16 acres; Zoning: 0100

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Interior features: Single-story layout

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $5,000 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $766,352 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-41k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
  • Cap rate 1.0% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.5%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,391/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 3930% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 229.9% of price; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 4→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.31%
Cap rate
0.96%
Cash-on-cash
-19.06%
DSCR
0.15
GRM
26.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$766,352
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3921 SW 4th St 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,657 (-9%) 23mo $699,900 $422 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-57.9%
Equity multiple
-0.62×
Total profit
$-348,179
Equity at exit
$114,266
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-1.84×
Total profit
$-609,573
Equity at exit
$66,260

Cash invested: $214,579 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33126

Rents YoY
-4.5%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,391 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,019
Tax est. 1.5%
$958 /mo · $11,495/yr
Insurance
$319
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$502
Net cashflow
$-3,408

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,704
Max offer price $273,278
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-2,878 -5% $-3,143 +0% $-3,408 +5% $-3,672 +10% $-3,937
Rent -10% $-3,596 -5% $-3,502 +0% $-3,408 +5% $-3,313 +10% $-3,219
Rate -1.0pp $-3,022 -0.5pp $-3,213 base $-3,408 +0.5pp $-3,606 +1.0pp $-3,808

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$191,588
Closing costs
$22,991
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $5,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $5,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $5,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $5,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    remarks 283-char remark
  6. 2026-06-10
    listed $5,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 4 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,687
− Mortgage interest
−$42,928
− Property taxes
−$11,495
− Insurance
−$3,832
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,295
− Management
−$2,295
− Depreciation
−$22,294
Taxable loss
−$56,451
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$13,548
After-tax cash flow
$-27,342/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Miami

Score
78/100
State rank
#177
US rank
#2724

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Miami, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
827,308
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
47,307
Household income
$58,210
Rent vs Own
63.5% rent · 36.5% own
Severe rent burden
3930.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 50% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 60% Dominican 2%
Foreign-born
76% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
Languages at home
8% English-only · Spanish 91%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -343.54%
Current HPI
318.6854
Rent YoY
▼ -4.50%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-92.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
  • 2025-01-02 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2024-11-26 Relisted CATRS
  • 2024-10-08 Contingent CATRS
  • 2024-10-04 Price Changed $670,000 CATRS
  • 2024-09-22 Price Changed $680,000 CATRS
  • 2024-09-14 Price Changed $720,000 CATRS
  • 2024-08-19 Price Changed $790,000 CATRS
  • 2024-08-14 Price Changed $830,000 CATRS
  • 2024-07-26 Listed $870,000 CATRS
  • 1998-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 1990-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,389 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…