12674 Mettetal St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$78,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
OPORTUNITY!!! New on the market this gem in a perfect location. This nice brick bungalow is located in a great area near to main streets, schools, big and important stores, and shopping centers. This is an excellent property for investors, fix up buyers or anyone who would like to take the opportunity to get this house. You will find a nice size living, dinning, 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath 1st floor, 1 nice big master bedroom upstairs, driveway and garage detached. Furnace and HWT in working conditions (not currently installed in the house). Property is sold AS IS. No seller financing.
Key facts
- Brick bungalow
- Detached garage
- 5,227 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $71k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.76%
- DSCR
- 2.24
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $78,288
- List price
- $78,000
- Delta
- -0.37%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12656 Mettetal St | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 803 (+6%) | 2mo | $72,872 | $91 | 83 |
| 12690 Asbury Park | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 826 (+9%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $103 | 77 |
| 16436 Fullerton St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 801 (+6%) | 13mo | $38,000 | $47 | 69 |
| 11694 Forrer St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 768 (+1%) | 6mo | $58,000 | $76 | 67 |
| 12217 Mansfield St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 683 (-10%) | 4mo | $46,000 | $67 | 62 |
| 12203 Grandmont Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 861 (+13%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $110 | 59 |
| 12892 Asbury Park | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 872 (+15%) | 10mo | $82,400 | $94 | 53 |
| 13538 Rosemont Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 825 (+9%) | 11mo | $53,000 | $64 | 42 |
| 11414 Abington Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 849 (+12%) | 10mo | $100,000 | $118 | 40 |
| 11711 Prest St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 835 (+10%) | 14mo | $72,000 | $86 | 36 |
| 13580 Southfield Fwy | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 848 (+12%) | 12mo | $31,500 | $37 | 36 |
| 12016 Winthrop St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 862 (+14%) | 17mo | $30,000 | $35 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $23,128
- Equity at exit
- $11,630
- IRR
- 34.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.53×
- Total profit
- $77,110
- Equity at exit
- $6,744
Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48227
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 385
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,334 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,288/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $505
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,500
- Closing costs
- $2,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12711 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 12840 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 12121 Montrose St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,373 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 13600 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,100 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 12944 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 12941 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 11393 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 16d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,326 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 11345 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 12875 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,200 | $1.63 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 12754 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 16d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 11741 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 13591 Faust Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 963 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 14535 Mettetal St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 12950 Glastonbury Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 14264 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 11704 Greenview Ave Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 13331 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 13514 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 10015 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 9917 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,375 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 14753 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 14753 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 12d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 14836 Rutherford St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $950 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 19050 W Davison St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 9345 Rutherford St Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 14716 Archdale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 14893 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 16d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,430 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,117 | $1.62 | 1d | 15 | 1.34mi |
| 14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $845 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 14559 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,150 | $1.11 | 20d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $78,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $78,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $78,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $78,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $78,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $78,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $78,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-03-02$85,000 Active 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
OPORTUNITY!!! New on the market this gem in a perfect location. This nice brick bungalow is located in a great area near to main streets, schools, big and important stores, and shopping centers. This is an excellent property for investors, fix up buyers or anyone who would like to take the opportunity to get this house. You will find a nice size living, dinning, 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath 1st floor, 1 nice big master bedroom upstairs, driveway and garage detached. Furnace and HWT in working conditions (not currently installed in the house). Property is sold AS IS. No seller financing.
-
2026-03-02$85,000 Active 588-char remark
Show marketing remark (588 chars)
OPORTUNITY!!! New on the market this gem in a perfect location. This nice brick bungalow is located in a great area near to main streets, schools, big and important stores, and shopping centers. This is an excellent property for investors, fix up buyers or anyone who would like to take the opportunity to get this house. You will find a nice size living, dinning, 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath 1st floor, 1 nice big master bedroom upstairs, driveway and garage detached. Furnace and HWT in working conditions (not currently installed in the house). Property is sold AS IS. No seller financing.
-
2022-01-26soldstatus $195,000
-
2022-01-13soldstatus $208,000
-
2022-01-04soldstatus $135,000
-
2018-04-25soldstatus $37,500 Sold
-
2018-04-25soldstatus $37,500 Closed
-
2018-04-02status Pending
-
2018-04-02status Pending
-
2018-03-08$39,900 Active
-
2018-03-08$39,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,288 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,288 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,010
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,369
- − Property taxes
- −$1,288
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,281
- − Management
- −$1,281
- − Depreciation
- −$2,269
- Taxable income
- $5,133
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,232
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,302
- Household income
- $36,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2371.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.00%
- Current HPI
- 186.4158
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+113.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-02 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-02 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $208,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2018-04-25 Sold (MLS) $37,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-04-25 Sold (MLS) $37,500 REALCOMP
- 2018-04-02 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-04-02 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-03-08 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-03-08 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,288 · -54.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…