5421 Berry Hill Rd · Norfolk, VA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits at 5421 Berry Hill Rd, a spacious 4-bedroom, 3-bath brick home offering approximately 2,495 square feet on a 7,287 SF lot in Poplar Hall. Built in 1959 with a dynamic tri-level layout, this property provides a strong footprint. Located in a well-established Norfolk neighborhood with convenient access to Military Circle, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes, the location supports strong resale or rental potential. Property features include multiple living areas, a patio, and classic brick construction. Great for investors, renovators, or buyers seeking a full renovation project with upside potential. Bring your vision and transform this property into its next chapte
Key facts
- Tri-level layout
- Brick home
- Patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA fees listed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway space for 1 vehicle
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Tri-level style; 3 living levels; 2.5 stories; Simple ownership
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Crawl and slab foundation
- Exterior features: Brick and shingle siding; Chain link fence; City view; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One bedroom with ensuite; Master bedroom with bath; Office/Study (used as a room); Spare room; Converted garage
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic; Wood
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced hot air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Scuttle access
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; 220V electrical hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $296k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $267k (9.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $267k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sewells Point Elementary (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C, #650 of 1,108 statewide, top 62%, 551 students, 96% FRL); Booker T Washington High (math 26% / reading 70%, grade D, #303 of 319 statewide, top 95%, 947 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 59% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.1%/yr); 78 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,666/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 1255% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $98k; list at $296k implies a 202% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.55%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $373,365
- List price
- $295,900
- Delta
- -20.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5505 Bayberry Dr | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 | 2,223 (-11%) | 11mo | $367,000 | $165 | 66 |
| 5516 Poplar Hall Dr | 0.20mi | 4/3.0 | 2,226 (-11%) | 13mo | $385,000 | $173 | 62 |
| 554 Stuart Cir | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 | 2,667 (+7%) | 12mo | $400,000 | $150 | 62 |
| 5235 Doswell St | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 | 2,200 (-12%) | 3mo | $469,000 | $213 | 59 |
| 809 Fontaine Ave | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 | 2,703 (+8%) | 5mo | $340,000 | $126 | 51 |
| 5813 Bartee St | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 | 2,235 (-10%) | 13mo | $440,000 | $197 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-27,039
- Equity at exit
- $44,120
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $49,387
- Equity at exit
- $25,584
Cash invested: $82,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23502
- Home prices YoY
- -20.7%
- Rents YoY
- 15.1%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,666 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,552
- Tax from tax record
- −$324 /mo · $3,886/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$560
- Net cashflow
- $107
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $274 | -5% $191 | +0% $107 | +5% $23 | +10% $-61 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-104 | -5% $2 | +0% $107 | +5% $212 | +10% $318 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $256 | -0.5pp $182 | base $107 | +0.5pp $30 | +1.0pp $-48 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,975
- Closing costs
- $8,877
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323 Honaker Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,600 | $1.30 | 12d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5931 Sellger Dr Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,550 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1320 Gabriel Dr Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1812 | $2,495 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $295,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $295,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $295,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $295,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $295,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $295,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $295,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $295,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $295,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $295,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $295,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $295,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $295,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-05$295,900 Active 837-char remark
-
1990-07-18soldstatus $98,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,886 · $324/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,886 · $324/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,986
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,575
- − Property taxes
- −$3,886
- − Insurance
- −$1,480
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,559
- − Management
- −$2,559
- − Depreciation
- −$8,608
- Taxable loss
- −$3,680
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$883
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,166/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norfolk City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102670
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -44.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,358
- Composite
- 35.08/100
- National rank
- #5026
- State rank
- #118 of 131 in VA
Livability — Norfolk
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #1026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norfolk, VA
- County
- Norfolk City · 214,042 people
- City population
- 214,042
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,399
- Household income
- $63,208
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1255.0
Population outlook (Norfolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,032 people
- By 2030
- 252,347 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 253,644 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 251,913 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 245,281 · -1.5%
- By 2100
- 219,548 · -11.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Norfolk
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.5) · D 70.0% · R 28.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 43.0pp · 2024: 41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.5 2020: D+45.6 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+44.0 2008: D+43.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.50%
- Current HPI
- 320.4522
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 15.10%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+201.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $295,900 REINMLS
- 1990-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,886 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…