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3300 Pradera St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 70.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.3/10.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$195,000

3300 Pradera St · La Homa, TX 78575
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,082 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 185 Days on market
Built 2007 0.50 ac lot $94/sqft · 24% below area Est $294k · 34% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent income-producing opportunity in Mission, Texas—now eligible for a USDA loan with zero down payment! Ideal for investors, first-time homebuyers, or owner-occupants, this versatile property is perfect for those seeking a spacious home with built-in rental income. The property features three rental units—two detached and one attached—each with its own private kitchen and bathroom, and each currently rented for $500 per month, providing immediate and consistent cash flow. Situated on a fully fenced half-acre lot, the property includes a 2-year-old roof, a new A/C unit and water heater, and a motorized entry gate for added security. With low property taxes, mature fruit trees, and room for future expansion, this property offers both comfort and long-term value.

Key facts

  • 2 year old roof
  • Three rental units
  • Private kitchen

Tags

THREE RENTAL UNITSPRIVATE KITCHENPRIVATE BATHROOMFULLY FENCED LOT2 YEAR OLD ROOFNEW A C UNIT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $195,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$293,557) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $546 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 5.5% in La Homa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,308 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • La Joya ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #759 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.65%
Cash-on-cash
12.00%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$293,557
List price
$195,000
Delta
-33.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$3,243
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
11.2%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$47,861
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78575

Home prices YoY
-2.2%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,450 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$286 /mo · $3,427/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$514
Net cashflow
$546

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,759
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $656 -5% $601 +0% $546 +5% $491 +10% $436
Rent -10% $353 -5% $449 +0% $546 +5% $643 +10% $740
Rate -1.0pp $644 -0.5pp $596 base $546 +0.5pp $496 +1.0pp $444

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9433 N Minnesota Rd Palmview, TX 4.0 3.0 2284 $2,500 $1.09 45d 1 1.35mi
9433 N Minnesota Rd Palmview, TX 4.0 3.0 2284 $2,400 $1.05 14d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $195,000 Active 185 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $195,000 Active 184 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $195,000 Active 183 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,000 Active 182 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $195,000 Active 180 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $195,000 Active 179 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $195,000 Active 177 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 176 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 175 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 174 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $195,000 Active 171 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 170 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 169 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 168 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 167 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 166 DOM
  17. 2026-05-18
    status Active 797-char remark
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Excellent income-producing opportunity in Mission, Texas—now eligible for a USDA loan with zero down payment! Ideal for investors, first-time homebuyers, or owner-occupants, this versatile property is perfect for those seeking a spacious home with built-in rental income. The property features three rental units—two detached and one attached—each with its own private kitchen and bathroom, and each currently rented for $500 per month, providing immediate and consistent cash flow. Situated on a fully fenced half-acre lot, the property includes a 2-year-old roof, a new A/C unit and water heater, and a motorized entry gate for added security. With low property taxes, mature fruit trees, and room for future expansion, this property offers both comfort and long-term value.

  18. 2026-05-08
    historical Option 797-char remark
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Excellent income-producing opportunity in Mission, Texas—now eligible for a USDA loan with zero down payment! Ideal for investors, first-time homebuyers, or owner-occupants, this versatile property is perfect for those seeking a spacious home with built-in rental income. The property features three rental units—two detached and one attached—each with its own private kitchen and bathroom, and each currently rented for $500 per month, providing immediate and consistent cash flow. Situated on a fully fenced half-acre lot, the property includes a 2-year-old roof, a new A/C unit and water heater, and a motorized entry gate for added security. With low property taxes, mature fruit trees, and room for future expansion, this property offers both comfort and long-term value.

  19. 2025-12-15
    listed $199,000 Active 797-char remark
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Excellent income-producing opportunity in Mission, Texas—now eligible for a USDA loan with zero down payment! Ideal for investors, first-time homebuyers, or owner-occupants, this versatile property is perfect for those seeking a spacious home with built-in rental income. The property features three rental units—two detached and one attached—each with its own private kitchen and bathroom, and each currently rented for $500 per month, providing immediate and consistent cash flow. Situated on a fully fenced half-acre lot, the property includes a 2-year-old roof, a new A/C unit and water heater, and a motorized entry gate for added security. With low property taxes, mature fruit trees, and room for future expansion, this property offers both comfort and long-term value.

  20. 2025-11-20
    price $199,000
  21. 2025-09-23
    status Active
  22. 2025-09-13
    status Pending
  23. 2025-09-08
    historical Option
  24. 2025-07-17
    price $210,000
  25. 2025-06-16
    price $215,000
  26. 2025-06-04
    listed $225,000 Active
  27. 2019-08-05
    soldstatus
  28. 1998-05-18
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,427 · $286/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,568 · $297/mo
Expected delta
+$141/yr (+$12/mo · 4.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,400
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$3,427
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,352
− Management
−$2,352
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable income
$3,698
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$888
After-tax cash flow
$5,665/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
La Joya ISD
NCES district ID
4826130
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -35.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$27,845
Composite
18.65/100
National rank
#8891
State rank
#759 of 826 in TX

Livability — La Homa

Score
56/100
State rank
#1308
US rank
#22643

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
62,456
Population (ZIP)
4,728

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 78% Two or more races 36% White 19% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 75%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
27% English-only · Spanish 70% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.34%
Current HPI
240.4582
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted MCALLENMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Contingent MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $199,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $199,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Relisted MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-09-13 Pending MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Contingent MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-07-17 Price Changed $210,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-06-16 Price Changed $215,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-06-04 Listed $225,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2019-08-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1998-05-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,427 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…