210 Curve Dr · Lakeshore, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 77.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-loved 3 bedroom, 2 bath home located in the Lakeshore area. Owned by the same family for 63 years, this home reflects pride of ownership and is truly move-in ready. Features include a spacious 20x16 screened patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining—along with a shop equipped with electricity, ideal for hobbies or extra workspace. The double carport provides convenient covered parking, and the butler area offers excellent additional storage. A rare opportunity to own a solid, well-maintained home in a great location. Don’t miss it!
Key facts
- Screened patio
- Butler area
- Double carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#117 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, health & safety D.
- Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.27%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $181,215
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -11.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 736 Bayou Shore Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,694 (-1%) | 18mo | $168,000 | $99 | 61 |
| 415 Lincoln Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-12%) | 9mo | $195,000 | $130 | 47 |
| 103 Mcelroy St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,505 (-12%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $80 | 36 |
| 316 Camellia Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,493 (-13%) | 18mo | $190,000 | $127 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $3,177
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $40,027
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71203
- Home prices YoY
- -32.4%
- Active inventory
- 437
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,778 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $501/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $458
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 396 Rowland Rd Monroe, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2226 | $2,500 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
Welcome to this well-loved 3 bedroom, 2 bath home located in the Lakeshore area. Owned by the same family for 63 years, this home reflects pride of ownership and is truly move-in ready. Features include a spacious 20x16 screened patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining—along with a shop equipped with electricity, ideal for hobbies or extra workspace. The double carport provides convenient covered parking, and the butler area offers excellent additional storage. A rare opportunity to own a solid, well-maintained home in a great location. Don’t miss it!
-
2026-03-09status Active 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
Welcome to this well-loved 3 bedroom, 2 bath home located in the Lakeshore area. Owned by the same family for 63 years, this home reflects pride of ownership and is truly move-in ready. Features include a spacious 20x16 screened patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining—along with a shop equipped with electricity, ideal for hobbies or extra workspace. The double carport provides convenient covered parking, and the butler area offers excellent additional storage. A rare opportunity to own a solid, well-maintained home in a great location. Don’t miss it!
-
2026-02-25status Pending 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
Welcome to this well-loved 3 bedroom, 2 bath home located in the Lakeshore area. Owned by the same family for 63 years, this home reflects pride of ownership and is truly move-in ready. Features include a spacious 20x16 screened patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining—along with a shop equipped with electricity, ideal for hobbies or extra workspace. The double carport provides convenient covered parking, and the butler area offers excellent additional storage. A rare opportunity to own a solid, well-maintained home in a great location. Don’t miss it!
-
2026-02-07$159,900 Active 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
Welcome to this well-loved 3 bedroom, 2 bath home located in the Lakeshore area. Owned by the same family for 63 years, this home reflects pride of ownership and is truly move-in ready. Features include a spacious 20x16 screened patio—perfect for relaxing or entertaining—along with a shop equipped with electricity, ideal for hobbies or extra workspace. The double carport provides convenient covered parking, and the butler area offers excellent additional storage. A rare opportunity to own a solid, well-maintained home in a great location. Don’t miss it!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $501 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $879 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$378/yr (+$32/mo · 75.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,338
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$501
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,707
- − Management
- −$1,707
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $3,015
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$723
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,770/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ouachita Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201200
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,316
- Composite
- 32.14/100
- National rank
- #5791
- State rank
- #26 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lakeshore
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #117
- US rank
- #11314
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakeshore, LA
- County
- Ouachita Parish · 118,340 people
- Metro
- Monroe, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,354
- Household income
- $52,326
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2085.0
Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,370 people
- By 2030
- 165,520 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 167,652 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 166,699 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 156,348 · -4.3%
- By 2100
- 134,102 · -17.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 45% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.01%
- Current HPI
- 206.1948
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Monroe, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — NELABOR
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — NELABOR
- 2026-02-25 Pending — NELABOR
- 2026-02-07 Listed $159,900 NELABOR
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $501 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…