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554 W 1st St
C Composite 59.91
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$280,000

554 W 1st St · Riviera Beach, FL 33404
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 954 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1967 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Single family home located just a few miles from the beach! New split A/C units, brand new kitchen , and a new roof in process including fascia and soffit as needed. Washer and dryer hookup only. All measurements are approximate.

Key facts

  • Brand new kitchen
  • New split a/c units
  • Freshly renovated

Tags

FRESHLY RENOVATEDNEW SPLIT A/C UNITSBRAND NEW KITCHENNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with space for 2 vehicles
  • Security: No specific security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (sewer available); Electric service (implied by electric appliances)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Faces south; Resale condition
  • Construction: CBS construction; Shingle roof; Built on a single-story plan
  • Exterior features: Not waterfront; No waterfront features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heating present (other); Cooling includes ceiling fans, ductless units, wall/window units, and zoned system
  • Interior features: No notable built-in interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry details: see remarks

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $646 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $280k).
  • Recommended offer: $276k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#581 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Riviera Elementary School (math 26% / reading 22%, grade F, #2,057 of 2,144 statewide, top 96%, 487 students, 83% FRL); Howell L. Watkins Middle School (math 18% / reading 33%, grade F, #512 of 571 statewide, top 90%, 794 students, 76% FRL); William T. Dwyer High School (math 36% / reading 58%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,206 students, 37% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 506 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,123/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $275,800 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.06%
Cash-on-cash
9.89%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-13,406
Equity at exit
$41,749
10-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$5,840
Equity at exit
$24,209

Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33404

Home prices YoY
-31.1%
Rents YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
506
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,123 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$236 /mo · $2,836/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$656
Net cashflow
$646

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,305
Max offer price $280,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $804 -5% $725 +0% $646 +5% $567 +10% $487
Rent -10% $399 -5% $523 +0% $646 +5% $769 +10% $893
Rate -1.0pp $787 -0.5pp $717 base $646 +0.5pp $573 +1.0pp $500

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$70,000
Closing costs
$8,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
522 W 2nd St Riviera Beach, FL 3.0 1.0 900 $2,895 $3.22 25d 1 0.01mi
436 51st St West Palm Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 968 $3,750 $3.87 25d 1 0.70mi
401 42nd St West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $4,950 $4.50 25d 1 1.10mi
158 E 23rd St Riviera Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1110 $2,900 $2.61 25d 1 1.26mi
158 E 23rd St Riviera Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1110 $2,900 $2.61 22d 1 1.26mi
256 E 24th St Riviera Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 660 $3,500 $5.30 21d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $280,000 Pending 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $280,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $280,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $280,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $280,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $280,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $280,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $280,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $280,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $280,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $280,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $280,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 230-char remark
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $280,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $280,000 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-28
    listed $280,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,836 · $236/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,836 · $236/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,478
− Mortgage interest
−$15,684
− Property taxes
−$2,836
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,998
− Management
−$2,998
− Depreciation
−$8,145
Taxable income
$3,416
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$820
After-tax cash flow
$6,932/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Riviera Beach

Score
67/100
State rank
#581
US rank
#11060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Riviera Beach, FL
County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
City population
30,912
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
30,912
Household income
$65,063
Rent vs Own
40.0% rent · 60.0% own
Severe rent burden
1838.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -153.74%
Current HPI
341.1761
Rent YoY
▼ -0.72%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $280,000 Beaches MLS

Property tax history

+16.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,836 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…