554 W 1st St · Riviera Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Single family home located just a few miles from the beach! New split A/C units, brand new kitchen , and a new roof in process including fascia and soffit as needed. Washer and dryer hookup only. All measurements are approximate.
Key facts
- Brand new kitchen
- New split a/c units
- Freshly renovated
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with space for 2 vehicles
- Security: No specific security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (sewer available); Electric service (implied by electric appliances)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Faces south; Resale condition
- Construction: CBS construction; Shingle roof; Built on a single-story plan
- Exterior features: Not waterfront; No waterfront features
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heating present (other); Cooling includes ceiling fans, ductless units, wall/window units, and zoned system
- Interior features: No notable built-in interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry details: see remarks
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $646 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $280k).
- Recommended offer: $276k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#581 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: West Riviera Elementary School (math 26% / reading 22%, grade F, #2,057 of 2,144 statewide, top 96%, 487 students, 83% FRL); Howell L. Watkins Middle School (math 18% / reading 33%, grade F, #512 of 571 statewide, top 90%, 794 students, 76% FRL); William T. Dwyer High School (math 36% / reading 58%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,206 students, 37% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 506 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,123/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.89%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-13,406
- Equity at exit
- $41,749
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $5,840
- Equity at exit
- $24,209
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33404
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 506
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,123 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$236 /mo · $2,836/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$656
- Net cashflow
- $646
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $804 | -5% $725 | +0% $646 | +5% $567 | +10% $487 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $399 | -5% $523 | +0% $646 | +5% $769 | +10% $893 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $787 | -0.5pp $717 | base $646 | +0.5pp $573 | +1.0pp $500 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 522 W 2nd St Riviera Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,895 | $3.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 436 51st St West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $3,750 | $3.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 401 42nd St West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $4,950 | $4.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 158 E 23rd St Riviera Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,900 | $2.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 158 E 23rd St Riviera Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,900 | $2.61 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 256 E 24th St Riviera Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $3,500 | $5.30 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18status $280,000 Pending 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $280,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $280,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $280,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $280,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $280,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $280,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $280,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $280,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $280,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $280,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $280,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 230-char remark
-
2026-06-01days on market $280,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $280,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$280,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,836 · $236/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,836 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,478
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$2,836
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,998
- − Management
- −$2,998
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable income
- $3,416
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$820
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,932/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Riviera Beach
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #581
- US rank
- #11060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riviera Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 30,912
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,912
- Household income
- $65,063
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.74%
- Current HPI
- 341.1761
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.72%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $280,000 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+16.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,836 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…