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733 Railroad St
A- Composite 80.47
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$109,900

733 Railroad St · Forest City, PA 18421
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,290 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1930 7,405 sqft lot Est $141k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUD owned refer to case #441-753545. All bids and property availability at Hooks Van Holm website. Insured with $1870 in escrow. Use caution! Utilities are off. Property Inspection Report can be downloaded from website. Buyer pays ALL transfer tax. , Baths: 1 Bath Lev 2, Beds: 2+ Bed 2nd, SqFt Fin - Main: 545.00, SqFt Fin - 3rd: 0.00, Tax Information: Available, Dining Area: Y, Semi-Modern Kitchen: Y, SqFt Fin - 2nd: 545.00

Key facts

  • Recent updates
  • Large living room
  • Nice yard

Tags

LARGE LIVING ROOMRECENT UPDATESNICE YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (100 amp service, circuit breakers); Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Residential property; Built circa 1930 (estimated)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Back yard; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range and electric oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (one with hardwood flooring); Second bedroom with hardwood flooring
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Tile; Hardwood in bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Pantry; Crawl opening to attic; Concrete basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,019 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Forest City Regional SD (suburban): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #308 of 539 in PA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 80 units permitted in Susquehanna County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Susquehanna County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $110k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $109,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
9.53%
Cash-on-cash
11.55%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,610
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
424 Hudson St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,302 (+1%) 9mo $139,900 $107 70
627 Railroad St 0.12mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,252 (-3%) 22mo $96,000 $77 66
321 S Main St 0.46mi 2/1.0 1,181 (-8%) 2mo $129,094 $109 62
1147 Upper North Main St 0.45mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,275 (-1%) 10mo $200,000 $157 61
435 Lackawanna St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,346 (+4%) 8mo $120,000 $89 60
1440 Main St 0.51mi 2/1.0 1,260 (-2%) 14mo $95,000 $75 60
84 Maxey Street St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,220 (-5%) 3mo $50,000 $41 59
1002 Susquehanna St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,203 (-7%) 19mo $238,000 $198 53
502 Hudson St 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,153 (-11%) 9mo $190,500 $165 51
200 Marion St 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,183 (-8%) 22mo $200,000 $169 36
314 Susquehanna St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,134 (-12%) 22mo $150,000 $132 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.8%
Equity multiple
3.56×
Total profit
$78,770
Equity at exit
$99,007
10-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
8.06×
Total profit
$217,235
Equity at exit
$213,512

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18421

Home prices YoY
20.9%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,252/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$296

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,025
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $358 -5% $327 +0% $296 +5% $265 +10% $234
Rent -10% $186 -5% $241 +0% $296 +5% $351 +10% $407
Rate -1.0pp $352 -0.5pp $324 base $296 +0.5pp $268 +1.0pp $239

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
139 Dundaff St Unit 1 Forest City, PA 2.0 2.0 1218 $1,400 $1.15 15d 1 0.33mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 337-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $109,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,252 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,252 · $188/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥87°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,800
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$2,252
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$1,957
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$470
After-tax cash flow
$3,084/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Forest City Regional SD
NCES district ID
4209930
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,744
Composite
36.29/100
National rank
#4701
State rank
#308 of 539 in PA

Livability — Forest City

Score
66/100
State rank
#1019
US rank
#11278

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Forest City, PA
Population (ZIP)
4,475

Population outlook (Susquehanna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,552 people
By 2030
35,270 · -6.1%
By 2040
30,663 · -18.3%
By 2050
26,492 · -29.5%
By 2075
19,658 · -47.7%
By 2100
15,179 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Susquehanna

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.7) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
2008→2024 swing
-33.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -44.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.7 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 48.80%
Current HPI
282.5624
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $109,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2009-07-02 Sold (MLS) $40,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2004-07-16 Sold (MLS) $60,420 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,252 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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