805 N 9th St · Independence, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- 7,450 sq ft lot
- Built 2017
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fees; No maintenance provided
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential single-family doublewide manufactured home (2017 model); Single-story (all main rooms on first floor)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Built as a manufactured doublewide
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 149 feet; Lot area about 7,450 square feet; Not in a flood plain
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms, all on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms, both on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (central AC)
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Side/side split floor plan
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#285 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Independence (town): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #76 of 169 in KS (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.02%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $7,234
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $35,487
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67301
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,291 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,539/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $355
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $408 | -5% $381 | +0% $355 | +5% $328 | +10% $301 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $253 | -5% $304 | +0% $355 | +5% $406 | +10% $457 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $402 | -0.5pp $379 | base $355 | +0.5pp $330 | +1.0pp $305 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $94,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $94,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $94,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $94,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-02-06$94,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,539 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,539 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,495
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,539
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,240
- − Management
- −$1,240
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $2,926
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$702
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,553/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Independence
- NCES district ID
- 2007650
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,327
- Composite
- 28.45/100
- National rank
- #6750
- State rank
- #76 of 169 in KS
Livability — Independence
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #285
- US rank
- #12779
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Independence, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,996
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,729 people
- By 2030
- 27,786 · -6.5%
- By 2040
- 24,201 · -18.6%
- By 2050
- 21,280 · -28.4%
- By 2075
- 16,754 · -43.6%
- By 2100
- 14,088 · -52.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.1) · D 23.6% · R 74.7% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -51.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.1 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.85%
- Current HPI
- 126.8212
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-06 Listed $94,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+35.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,539 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…