203 Park Ave · Finley, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Extra storage
- Finished basement
- Backyard deck
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Oil fuel
- Home design: Residential one-level home; Entry level: Main
- Construction: Block foundation; Basement constructed with block
- Exterior features: Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath on main level; 1 three-quarter bath in basement
- Heating & cooling: Hot water boiler heating; Wall-mounted cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Central vacuum; Grab bars in bathroom; Has basement (block foundation); One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer (laundry on main level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($989/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (4.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (4.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#91 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Finley-Sharon 19 (rural): math 50% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #23 of 169 in ND (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Steele County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Steele County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.72%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $20,916
- Equity at exit
- $58,409
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $67,150
- Equity at exit
- $90,015
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58230
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,241 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $82
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $172 | -5% $127 | +0% $82 | +5% $38 | +10% $-7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-16 | -5% $33 | +0% $82 | +5% $131 | +10% $180 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $148 | -0.5pp $115 | base $82 | +0.5pp $49 | +1.0pp $15 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $129,900 Pending 34 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$129,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,888
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,948
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,191
- − Management
- −$1,191
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$1,147
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$275
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,264/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
The home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including painting the exterior, repairing the roof and concrete flooring, and repairing the interior walls. Landscaping would also improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The independent image shows visible damage to the roof.
- Major exterior siding — The independent image shows weathered siding and peeling paint.
- Major concrete flooring — The independent image shows a concrete floor with visible stains and wear.
- Major interior walls — The independent image shows walls with peeling paint and visible damage.
- Major landscaping — The listing photos show a lack of landscaping features, which could be improved to enhance curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Painting the exterior would improve the curb appeal and increase the home's value.
- Both repair roof — Repairing the roof would improve the home's structural integrity and increase its value.
- Both repair concrete flooring — Repairing the concrete flooring would improve the home's condition and increase its value.
- Both repair interior walls — Repairing the interior walls would improve the home's condition and increase its value.
- Both landscaping — Landscaping would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · The independent image shows visible damage to the roof. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · The independent image shows weathered siding and peeling paint. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| concrete flooring · The independent image shows a concrete floor with visible stains and wear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · The independent image shows walls with peeling paint and visible damage. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · The listing photos show a lack of landscaping features, which could be improved to enhance curb appeal. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Painting the exterior would improve the curb appeal and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both repair roof — Repairing the roof would improve the home's structural integrity and increase its value. ↑
- Both repair concrete flooring — Repairing the concrete flooring would improve the home's condition and increase its value. ↑
- Both repair interior walls — Repairing the interior walls would improve the home's condition and increase its value. ↑
- Both landscaping — Landscaping would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Finley-Sharon 19
- NCES district ID
- 3806910
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,407
- Composite
- 48.57/100
- National rank
- #4604
- State rank
- #23 of 169 in ND
Livability — Finley
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #91
- US rank
- #8026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Finley, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 586
Population outlook (Steele County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,921 people
- By 2030
- 1,898 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,836 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 1,760 · -8.4%
- By 2075
- 1,846 · -3.9%
- By 2100
- 1,950 · +1.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 34% Scottish 6% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Steele
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.4) · D 36.5% · R 61.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.7pp toward R · 2008: 20.4pp · 2024: -25.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.4 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+17.9 2012: D+1.9 2008: D+20.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $129,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…