2708 20th Street St · Tuscaloosa, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$118,800
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
RARE FIND IN TUSCALOOSA COUNTY A 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH. SEPARATE ENTRANCE TO THE 4TH BEDROOM, WHICH CAN SERVE AS A IN LAW SUITE OR STUDENT HOUSING. JACK AND JILL BATH. THE CORVET DOES NOT REMAIN WITH THE HOUSE. THERE IS A SHARED DRIVE WAY. THE HEATING AND COOLING IS IN OPERABLE, SOME UPDATED WIRING IN 2023. Reduced by 20,000. This home is to be Sold As Is
Key facts
- Built 1924
- Listed 306 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.4% in Tuscaloosa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#9 in AL, #2,909 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Tuscaloosa City (urban): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #74 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 306 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,531/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 3997% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $821 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 306 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 306 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.45%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,853
- List price
- $118,800
- Delta
- 63.07%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2707 19th St | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,736 (+10%) | 14mo | $40,000 | $23 | 68 |
| 3118 22nd St | 0.41mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,586 (+1%) | 22mo | $99,000 | $62 | 56 |
| 2817 18th St St | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,416 (-10%) | 21mo | $40,000 | $28 | 51 |
| 3014 27th St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,512 (-4%) | 20mo | $120,000 | $79 | 49 |
| 2927 25th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,770 (+13%) | 3mo | $28,000 | $16 | 49 |
| 1715 17th St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,390 (-12%) | 11mo | $69,123 | $50 | 38 |
| 3422 22nd Street St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,376 (-12%) | 22mo | $129,500 | $94 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $15,000
- Equity at exit
- $17,713
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $73,359
- Equity at exit
- $10,272
Cash invested: $33,264 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35401
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 306
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,531 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$623
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $973/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $456
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,700
- Closing costs
- $3,564
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2720 21st St Tuscaloosa, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,100 | $0.96 | 20d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2683 21st St Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1324 | $895 | $0.68 | 20d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3316 16th St Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3524 20th St Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3560 21st St Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,570 | $1.28 | 20d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1460 15th Ave Tuscaloosa, AL | 5.0 | 5.5 | 2180 | $8,000 | $3.67 | 43d | 2 | 0.88mi |
| 1105 19th St Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1563 | $1,350 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 13 Meadowlawn Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,100 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3416 36th Ct Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 917 Homewood Dr Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $3,600 | $2.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 901 27th St Unit A Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1550 | $2,549 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $118,800 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $118,800 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $118,800 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $118,800 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $118,800 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $118,800 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $118,800 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $118,800 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $118,800 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $118,800 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $118,800 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $118,800 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $118,800 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $118,800 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $118,800 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $118,800 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-01-17price $118,800 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
RARE FIND IN TUSCALOOSA COUNTY A 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH. SEPARATE ENTRANCE TO THE 4TH BEDROOM, WHICH CAN SERVE AS A IN LAW SUITE OR STUDENT HOUSING. JACK AND JILL BATH. THE CORVET DOES NOT REMAIN WITH THE HOUSE. THERE IS A SHARED DRIVE WAY. THE HEATING AND COOLING IS IN OPERABLE, SOME UPDATED WIRING IN 2023. Reduced by 20,000. This home is to be Sold As Is
-
2025-11-21price $138,800 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
RARE FIND IN TUSCALOOSA COUNTY A 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH. SEPARATE ENTRANCE TO THE 4TH BEDROOM, WHICH CAN SERVE AS A IN LAW SUITE OR STUDENT HOUSING. JACK AND JILL BATH. THE CORVET DOES NOT REMAIN WITH THE HOUSE. THERE IS A SHARED DRIVE WAY. THE HEATING AND COOLING IS IN OPERABLE, SOME UPDATED WIRING IN 2023. Reduced by 20,000. This home is to be Sold As Is
-
2025-08-16$158,800 Active 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
RARE FIND IN TUSCALOOSA COUNTY A 4 BEDROOM 2 BATH. SEPARATE ENTRANCE TO THE 4TH BEDROOM, WHICH CAN SERVE AS A IN LAW SUITE OR STUDENT HOUSING. JACK AND JILL BATH. THE CORVET DOES NOT REMAIN WITH THE HOUSE. THERE IS A SHARED DRIVE WAY. THE HEATING AND COOLING IS IN OPERABLE, SOME UPDATED WIRING IN 2023. Reduced by 20,000. This home is to be Sold As Is
-
2025-06-16status Active
-
2025-06-09status Pending
-
2025-04-24price $125,900
-
2024-11-06price $139,900
-
2024-09-16price $149,900
-
2024-09-07$155,900 Active
-
2024-04-18status Active
-
2024-04-11status Pending
-
2024-02-17$155,900 Active
-
2023-08-26status Active
-
2023-08-12historical
-
2023-06-15$155,900 Active
-
2015-08-11$72,900
-
2015-08-11$72,900
-
2014-12-10$72,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $973 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $973 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,372
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,655
- − Property taxes
- −$973
- − Insurance
- −$594
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,470
- − Management
- −$1,470
- − Depreciation
- −$3,456
- Taxable income
- $3,754
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$901
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,569/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuscaloosa City
- NCES district ID
- 0103360
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,474
- Composite
- 24.51/100
- National rank
- #7647
- State rank
- #74 of 129 in AL
Livability — Tuscaloosa
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #2909
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- County
- Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
- City population
- 134,228
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,459
- Household income
- $29,152
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3997.0
Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,293 people
- By 2030
- 240,551 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 263,856 · +15.6%
- By 2050
- 286,491 · +25.5%
- By 2075
- 335,783 · +47.1%
- By 2100
- 370,520 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 47% White 44% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -191.40%
- Current HPI
- 179.8335
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.29%
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+63.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-17 Price Changed $118,800 WAMLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $138,800 WAMLS
- 2025-08-16 Listed $158,800 WAMLS
- 2025-06-16 Relisted — WAMLS
- 2025-06-09 Pending — WAMLS
- 2025-04-24 Price Changed $125,900 WAMLS
- 2024-11-06 Price Changed $139,900 WAMLS
- 2024-09-16 Price Changed $149,900 WAMLS
- 2024-09-07 Listed $155,900 WAMLS
- 2024-04-18 Relisted — WAMLS
- 2024-04-11 Pending — WAMLS
- 2024-02-17 Listed $155,900 WAMLS
- 2023-08-26 Relisted — WAMLS
- 2023-08-12 Delisted — WAMLS
- 2023-06-15 Listed $155,900 WAMLS
- 2015-08-11 Listed $72,900 WAMLS
- 2015-08-11 Listed $72,900 WAMLS
- 2014-12-10 Listed $72,900 WAMLS
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $973 · +43.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…