8218 Nicollet Ave S · Bloomington, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming estate home is waiting for a new owner to make this home shine again. Fantastic opportunity for an investor to rehab/renovate. House has a great layout with hardwood flooring in the bedrooms and under the living room carpeting. Full basement is ready for instant equity by finishing that space. Phenomenal location with an attached 2 car garage with storage area above it. Spacious home offers great opportunity for those who enjoy making older homes beautiful again. Home is sold As-Is, with sellers preferring a cash offer. Buyers to assume city of Bloomington required repairs. Buyers and buyer's agents to confirm all information. Sellers plan to start reviewing any offers on Tuesday,
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1946
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Free and clear mortgage status
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas; Electric service with circuit breakers (Xcel Energy)
- Home design: Residential property; One-story; Main level entry
- Construction: Frame construction; Age over 8 years roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Tree coverage - medium; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen window; Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Natural woodwork; Main floor primary bedroom; Eat-in kitchen; Main floor full bath; Full, unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included; Washer/Dryer hookup on main level; Basement laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.5% in Bloomington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#168 in MN, #3,640 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Bloomington Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #192 of 301 in MN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.06%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-14,023
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $10,484
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55420
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,039 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$231 /mo · $2,774/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $276
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1021 W 86th St Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $2,700 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1021 W 86th St Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $2,700 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 8200 Humboldt Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 906 | $2,422 | $2.67 | 2d | 27 | 1.00mi |
| 7305 3rd Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1562 | $2,550 | $1.63 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7241 Harriet Ave Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1468 | $1,300 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1901 W 80th 1/2 St Minneapolis, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 805 | $2,215 | $2.75 | 2d | 21 | 1.24mi |
| 602 E 73rd St Richfield, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1623 | $2,350 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 8162 Bloomington Ave Minneapolis, MN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1095 | $1,815 | $1.66 | 2d | 9 | 1.26mi |
| 7611 Knox Ave S Richfield, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 897 | $1,660 | $1.85 | 2d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7962 Bloomington Ave S Unit 7962 Bloomington, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7041 Garfield Ave Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1159 | $2,236 | $1.93 | 2d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8055 Penn Ave S Bloomington, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1133 | $2,695 | $2.38 | 2d | 22 | 1.44mi |
| 9119 10th Ave S Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,295 | $2.09 | 20d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-05-18$195,000 Active
-
2026-05-17historical $195,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,774 · $231/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,774 · $231/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,465
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,774
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,957
- − Management
- −$1,957
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $206
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$49
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,258/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bloomington Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2705790
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,279
- Composite
- 37.37/100
- National rank
- #4431
- State rank
- #192 of 301 in MN
Livability — Bloomington
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #3640
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bloomington, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
- City population
- 88,605
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,451
- Household income
- $82,170
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 800.0
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 17% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -247.94%
- Current HPI
- 252.3077
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-18 Listed $195,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-17 Coming Soon $195,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,774 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…