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8276 Hamilton Dr
B+ Composite 76.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

8276 Hamilton Dr · Radisson, NY 13027
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,029 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1951 9,490 sqft lot Est $236k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits in this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located on a quiet cul-de-sac within the highly desirable Baldwinsville School District. Situated on a generously sized lot, this property offers a one-car garage, spacious yard, and plenty of potential for the right buyer. Whether you're an investor seeking your next project or a first-time homebuyer looking to build sweat equity, this home presents an excellent opportunity to add value and make it your own. Property is being sold strictly as-is. Seller will make no repairs, improvements, or updates. Bring your vision and unlock the potential this property has to offer.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • One-car garage
  • Generously sized lot

Tags

BALDWINSVILLE SCHOOL DISTRICTGENEROUSLY SIZED LOTONE-CAR GARAGESPACIOUS YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Cable available; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single-story home; Existing (previously built) construction
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Partial fencing; Fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Main-level bedroom; Other interior features (see remarks)
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $753 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.5% in Radisson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Baldwinsville Central School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #355 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $61k; list at $140k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $139,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
12.75%
Cash-on-cash
23.08%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$235,641
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8184 David Ln 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+1%) 7mo $235,000 $226 71
2202 Drummers Ct 0.69mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,113 (+8%) 21mo $255,000 $229 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$25,407
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$84,307
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13027

Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,311 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$280 /mo · $3,362/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$485
Net cashflow
$753

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,357
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $832 -5% $793 +0% $753 +5% $714 +10% $674
Rent -10% $571 -5% $662 +0% $753 +5% $845 +10% $936
Rate -1.0pp $824 -0.5pp $789 base $753 +0.5pp $717 +1.0pp $680

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1105 Greymoor Way Baldwinsville, NY 2.0 2.0 1113 $2,500 $2.25 14d 1 0.71mi
3400 Hammocks Dr Baldwinsville, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1155 $2,110 $1.83 14d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $139,900 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    remarks 627-char remark
  5. 2026-06-07
    listed $139,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,362 · $280/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,362 · $280/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,728
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$3,362
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,218
− Management
−$2,218
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$7,323
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,758
After-tax cash flow
$7,282/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baldwinsville Central School District
NCES district ID
3603870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$65,182
Composite
44.22/100
National rank
#2848
State rank
#355 of 590 in NY

Livability — Radisson

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Radisson, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
35,088
Household income
$91,797
Rent vs Own
30.9% rent · 69.1% own
Severe rent burden
1057.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 5% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -204.01%
Current HPI
321.8247
Rent YoY
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+127.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $139,900 CNYIS
  • 2006-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $61,480 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,362 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…