8276 Hamilton Dr · Radisson, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits in this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located on a quiet cul-de-sac within the highly desirable Baldwinsville School District. Situated on a generously sized lot, this property offers a one-car garage, spacious yard, and plenty of potential for the right buyer. Whether you're an investor seeking your next project or a first-time homebuyer looking to build sweat equity, this home presents an excellent opportunity to add value and make it your own. Property is being sold strictly as-is. Seller will make no repairs, improvements, or updates. Bring your vision and unlock the potential this property has to offer.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- One-car garage
- Generously sized lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Cable available; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing (previously built) construction
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Partial fencing; Fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Main-level bedroom; Other interior features (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $753 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.5% in Radisson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Baldwinsville Central School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #355 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $140k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.08%
- DSCR
- 2.03
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $235,641
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8184 David Ln | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+1%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $226 | 71 |
| 2202 Drummers Ct | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,113 (+8%) | 21mo | $255,000 | $229 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $25,407
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $84,307
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13027
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,311 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$280 /mo · $3,362/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$485
- Net cashflow
- $753
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $832 | -5% $793 | +0% $753 | +5% $714 | +10% $674 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $571 | -5% $662 | +0% $753 | +5% $845 | +10% $936 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $824 | -0.5pp $789 | base $753 | +0.5pp $717 | +1.0pp $680 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1105 Greymoor Way Baldwinsville, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1113 | $2,500 | $2.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3400 Hammocks Dr Baldwinsville, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1155 | $2,110 | $1.83 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-10status $139,900 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 627-char remark
-
2026-06-07$139,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,362 · $280/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,362 · $280/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,728
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$3,362
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,218
- − Management
- −$2,218
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $7,323
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,758
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,282/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwinsville Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3603870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,182
- Composite
- 44.22/100
- National rank
- #2848
- State rank
- #355 of 590 in NY
Livability — Radisson
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Radisson, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,088
- Household income
- $91,797
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1057.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 5% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.01%
- Current HPI
- 321.8247
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+127.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $139,900 CNYIS
- 2006-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $61,480 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,362 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…