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14169 Carol St
D- Composite 38.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.3/15.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$310,000

14169 Carol St · Beechwood, MI 49424
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1958 0.36 ac lot $271/sqft · 41% above area Est $315k · at est. ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Offers Received. Highest and Best Due Monday May 18th at 5pm!! Come see this beautiful 3 bed 1 bath ranch in the North side of Holland. The house across the street is an almost identical build style and lot size and just closed for $337,000!! WOW this one for sale for only $310,000. Beautiful hardwood floors, huge fenced in backyard, with a shed worth envying. Game room or additional living space in the basement. Its everything you would need to start or grow a family, entertain, or just create your own little space. Homes like this don't come around often! OPEN HOUSE SATURDAY MAY 16th 11-1pm ---4th bedroom in basement is non conforming due to no egress window---

Key facts

  • Shed
  • Game room
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSHUGE FENCED IN BACKYARDSHEDGAME ROOMADDITIONAL LIVING SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available (water heater)
  • Home design: Ranch-style single-family home; Built in 1958
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Built in 1958
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Yard includes shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Natural gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-166 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $281k (9.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (27.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.6% in Beechwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#21 in MI, #378 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F.
  • West Ottawa Public School District (suburban): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #140 of 540 in MI (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 343 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,237 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (443 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ottawa County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $223,917 (27.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.30%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$315,477
List price
$310,000
Delta
-1.74%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14170 Carol St 0.03mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,048 (-8%) 2mo $337,500 $322 78
14157 Carol St 0.02mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,216 (+6%) 12mo $260,000 $214 74
702 Butternut Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,168 (+2%) 6mo $300,000 $257 68
572 142nd Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,113 (-3%) 1mo $380,000 $341 68
351 James St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,208 (+6%) 6mo $259,900 $215 56
436 Rose Park Dr 0.26mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,292 (+13%) 8mo $245,000 $190 54
971 Shadybrook Dr 0.61mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,107 (-3%) 9mo $344,900 $312 52
611 Hayes St 0.42mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,008 (-12%) 4mo $280,000 $278 50
2435 Lilac Ave 0.59mi 4/2.0 1,008 (-12%) 1mo $360,000 $357 48
346 N Division Ave 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,170 (+2%) 17mo $310,000 $265 44
888 S Kingwood Ct 0.67mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,236 (+8%) 8mo $355,000 $287 42
2604 William Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-12%) 10mo $302,000 $300 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.1%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-56,118
Equity at exit
$46,222
10-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-42,381
Equity at exit
$26,803

Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49424

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
343
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,239 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,626
Tax from tax record
$180 /mo · $2,162/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$470
Net cashflow
$-166

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,449
Max offer price $280,672
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $9 -5% $-78 +0% $-166 +5% $-254 +10% $-342
Rent -10% $-343 -5% $-254 +0% $-166 +5% $-78 +10% $11
Rate -1.0pp $-10 -0.5pp $-87 base $-166 +0.5pp $-246 +1.0pp $-328

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,500
Closing costs
$9,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $310,000 Active 672-char remark
    Show marketing remark (672 chars)

    Offers Received. Highest and Best Due Monday May 18th at 5pm!! Come see this beautiful 3 bed 1 bath ranch in the North side of Holland. The house across the street is an almost identical build style and lot size and just closed for $337,000!! WOW this one for sale for only $310,000. Beautiful hardwood floors, huge fenced in backyard, with a shed worth envying. Game room or additional living space in the basement. Its everything you would need to start or grow a family, entertain, or just create your own little space. Homes like this don't come around often! OPEN HOUSE SATURDAY MAY 16th 11-1pm ---4th bedroom in basement is non conforming due to no egress window---

  2. 2026-05-14
    listed $310,000 Active 672-char remark
    Show marketing remark (672 chars)

    Offers Received. Highest and Best Due Monday May 18th at 5pm!! Come see this beautiful 3 bed 1 bath ranch in the North side of Holland. The house across the street is an almost identical build style and lot size and just closed for $337,000!! WOW this one for sale for only $310,000. Beautiful hardwood floors, huge fenced in backyard, with a shed worth envying. Game room or additional living space in the basement. Its everything you would need to start or grow a family, entertain, or just create your own little space. Homes like this don't come around often! OPEN HOUSE SATURDAY MAY 16th 11-1pm ---4th bedroom in basement is non conforming due to no egress window---

  3. 2026-05-14
    listed $310,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (672 chars)

    Offers Received. Highest and Best Due Monday May 18th at 5pm!! Come see this beautiful 3 bed 1 bath ranch in the North side of Holland. The house across the street is an almost identical build style and lot size and just closed for $337,000!! WOW this one for sale for only $310,000. Beautiful hardwood floors, huge fenced in backyard, with a shed worth envying. Game room or additional living space in the basement. Its everything you would need to start or grow a family, entertain, or just create your own little space. Homes like this don't come around often! OPEN HOUSE SATURDAY MAY 16th 11-1pm ---4th bedroom in basement is non conforming due to no egress window---

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,162 · $180/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,468 · $289/mo
Expected delta
+$1,306/yr (+$109/mo · 60.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,870
− Mortgage interest
−$17,365
− Property taxes
−$2,162
− Insurance
−$1,550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,150
− Management
−$2,150
− Depreciation
−$9,018
Taxable loss
−$7,524
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,806
After-tax cash flow
$-187/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Ottawa Public School District
NCES district ID
2635910
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$58,127
Composite
38.94/100
National rank
#4087
State rank
#140 of 540 in MI

Livability — Beechwood

Score
86/100
State rank
#21
US rank
#378

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Ottawa County · 144,142 people
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
Population (ZIP)
49,810
Household income
$85,478
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
864.0

Population outlook (Ottawa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
313,561 people
By 2030
330,027 · +5.3%
By 2040
361,118 · +15.2%
By 2050
388,414 · +23.9%
By 2075
452,175 · +44.2%
By 2100
473,041 · +50.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 10% Asian 6% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 22% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ottawa

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.0% · R 59.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+23.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -240.90%
Current HPI
252.5142
Rent YoY
▲ 5.08%
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-19 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $310,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $310,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $310,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,162 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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