14169 Carol St · Beechwood, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$310,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Offers Received. Highest and Best Due Monday May 18th at 5pm!! Come see this beautiful 3 bed 1 bath ranch in the North side of Holland. The house across the street is an almost identical build style and lot size and just closed for $337,000!! WOW this one for sale for only $310,000. Beautiful hardwood floors, huge fenced in backyard, with a shed worth envying. Game room or additional living space in the basement. Its everything you would need to start or grow a family, entertain, or just create your own little space. Homes like this don't come around often! OPEN HOUSE SATURDAY MAY 16th 11-1pm ---4th bedroom in basement is non conforming due to no egress window---
Key facts
- Shed
- Game room
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available (water heater)
- Home design: Ranch-style single-family home; Built in 1958
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Built in 1958
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Yard includes shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Natural gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-166 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $281k (9.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (27.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $224k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.6% in Beechwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#21 in MI, #378 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F.
- West Ottawa Public School District (suburban): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #140 of 540 in MI (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 343 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,237 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ottawa County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.30%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $315,477
- List price
- $310,000
- Delta
- -1.74%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14170 Carol St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,048 (-8%) | 2mo | $337,500 | $322 | 78 |
| 14157 Carol St | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,216 (+6%) | 12mo | $260,000 | $214 | 74 |
| 702 Butternut Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,168 (+2%) | 6mo | $300,000 | $257 | 68 |
| 572 142nd Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,113 (-3%) | 1mo | $380,000 | $341 | 68 |
| 351 James St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,208 (+6%) | 6mo | $259,900 | $215 | 56 |
| 436 Rose Park Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,292 (+13%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $190 | 54 |
| 971 Shadybrook Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,107 (-3%) | 9mo | $344,900 | $312 | 52 |
| 611 Hayes St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,008 (-12%) | 4mo | $280,000 | $278 | 50 |
| 2435 Lilac Ave | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 1,008 (-12%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $357 | 48 |
| 346 N Division Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,170 (+2%) | 17mo | $310,000 | $265 | 44 |
| 888 S Kingwood Ct | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,236 (+8%) | 8mo | $355,000 | $287 | 42 |
| 2604 William Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-12%) | 10mo | $302,000 | $300 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-56,118
- Equity at exit
- $46,222
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-42,381
- Equity at exit
- $26,803
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49424
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 343
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,239 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,162/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$470
- Net cashflow
- $-166
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $9 | -5% $-78 | +0% $-166 | +5% $-254 | +10% $-342 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-343 | -5% $-254 | +0% $-166 | +5% $-78 | +10% $11 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-10 | -0.5pp $-87 | base $-166 | +0.5pp $-246 | +1.0pp $-328 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-14$310,000 Active 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (672 chars)
Offers Received. Highest and Best Due Monday May 18th at 5pm!! Come see this beautiful 3 bed 1 bath ranch in the North side of Holland. The house across the street is an almost identical build style and lot size and just closed for $337,000!! WOW this one for sale for only $310,000. Beautiful hardwood floors, huge fenced in backyard, with a shed worth envying. Game room or additional living space in the basement. Its everything you would need to start or grow a family, entertain, or just create your own little space. Homes like this don't come around often! OPEN HOUSE SATURDAY MAY 16th 11-1pm ---4th bedroom in basement is non conforming due to no egress window---
-
2026-05-14$310,000 Active 672-char remark
Show marketing remark (672 chars)
Offers Received. Highest and Best Due Monday May 18th at 5pm!! Come see this beautiful 3 bed 1 bath ranch in the North side of Holland. The house across the street is an almost identical build style and lot size and just closed for $337,000!! WOW this one for sale for only $310,000. Beautiful hardwood floors, huge fenced in backyard, with a shed worth envying. Game room or additional living space in the basement. Its everything you would need to start or grow a family, entertain, or just create your own little space. Homes like this don't come around often! OPEN HOUSE SATURDAY MAY 16th 11-1pm ---4th bedroom in basement is non conforming due to no egress window---
-
2026-05-14$310,000 Active
Show marketing remark (672 chars)
Offers Received. Highest and Best Due Monday May 18th at 5pm!! Come see this beautiful 3 bed 1 bath ranch in the North side of Holland. The house across the street is an almost identical build style and lot size and just closed for $337,000!! WOW this one for sale for only $310,000. Beautiful hardwood floors, huge fenced in backyard, with a shed worth envying. Game room or additional living space in the basement. Its everything you would need to start or grow a family, entertain, or just create your own little space. Homes like this don't come around often! OPEN HOUSE SATURDAY MAY 16th 11-1pm ---4th bedroom in basement is non conforming due to no egress window---
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,162 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,468 · $289/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,306/yr (+$109/mo · 60.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,870
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$2,162
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,150
- − Management
- −$2,150
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable loss
- −$7,524
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,806
- After-tax cash flow
- $-187/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Ottawa Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2635910
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,127
- Composite
- 38.94/100
- National rank
- #4087
- State rank
- #140 of 540 in MI
Livability — Beechwood
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #21
- US rank
- #378
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ottawa County · 144,142 people
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,810
- Household income
- $85,478
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 864.0
Population outlook (Ottawa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 313,561 people
- By 2030
- 330,027 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 361,118 · +15.2%
- By 2050
- 388,414 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 452,175 · +44.2%
- By 2100
- 473,041 · +50.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 10% Asian 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 22% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ottawa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.0% · R 59.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+30.4 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+23.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -240.90%
- Current HPI
- 252.5142
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.08%
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-12.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-19 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-19 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
- 2026-05-14 Listed $310,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $310,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-14 Listed $310,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,162 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…