730 Santa Anita Dr · Kingsville, TX 78363

$180,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,539 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market

Built 1955 9,683 sqft lot $117/sqft · at area comps Est $176k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.3/30.0
• ARV discount +6.5/15.0
• 1% rule +4.8/10.0
• DSCR +4.4/10.0
• Rent growth +4.3/5.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Location is everything! 730 Santa Anita is in a prime location, adjacent to Texas A & M University, Kingsville and close to Naval Air Station, Kingsville. If you are looking for an investment opportunity, to gain progressive income, this property will not disappoint. Notable updates: New Gas stove, facia boards replaced, freshley painted exterior & a few other repairs. The 4 bedroom, 2 bath home offers Saltillo flooring throughout, spacious bedrooms, plenty of living & dining room space, oversized backyard perfect for entertaining under the mature beautiful trees or enjoy the large, covered patio. Newer fence has been installed, Newer AC (approx 3 yrs). There is also a bon

Key facts

• Large covered patio
• New gas stove
• Oversized backyard

Tags

• CLOSE TO NAVAL AIR STATION
• NEW GAS STOVE
• FACIA BOARDS REPLACED
• FRESHLY PAINTED EXTERIOR
• OVERSIZED BACKYARD
• LARGE COVERED PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Gutter(s) listed as a community feature

Exterior

• Parking: Concrete parking; Front entry; Garage; 1 covered space; 3 total parking spaces; 1-car garage
• Security: Smoke detector(s)
• Utilities: Municipal utilities; Public sewer / Sewer available
• Home design: Single-story; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Interior lot; City street frontage
• Construction: Asbestos construction material
• Exterior features: Rain gutters; Covered patio; Patio; Workshop; Wood fencing

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Gas range; Disposal; Refrigerator
• Flooring: Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Window unit heating; Central air conditioning; Window unit air conditioning
• Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s)
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($408/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (2.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#364 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
• Kingsville ISD (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #800 of 826 in TX (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 24 units permitted in Kleberg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Kleberg County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $174,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.98% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.52%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.81%
• DSCR: 1.04
• GRM: 8.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $176,122
• List price: $180,000
• Delta: 2.20%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1719 Santa Fe	0.41mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,524 (-1%)	1mo	$227,000	$149	73
708 Santa Anita Dr	0.16mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,415 (-8%)	2mo	$237,800	$168	72
1635 Santa Cecilia Dr	0.37mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,554 (+1%)	6mo	$209,000	$134	71
728 Santa Anita Dr	0.01mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,698 (+10%)	8mo	$199,900	$118	70
1506 Santa Cecilia Dr	0.21mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,714 (+11%)	5mo	$220,000	$128	62
722 Santa Elena Dr	0.23mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,440 (-6%)	16mo	$199,900	$139	60
713 Santa Anita	0.06mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,360 (-12%)	18mo	$99,950	$73	58
1605 Santa Cecilia Dr	0.29mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,722 (+12%)	9mo	$219,000	$127	54
1615 Santa Cecilia	0.31mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,704 (+11%)	15mo	$249,000	$146	50
625 W Richard Ave	0.70mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,577 (+2%)	10mo	$165,000	$105	46
714 E Avenue C Ave	0.57mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,328 (-14%)	2mo	$75,000	$56	43
530 W Richard Ave	0.73mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,764 (+15%)	12mo	$39,900	$23	26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -10.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.62×
• Total profit: $-19,182
• Equity at exit: $26,839

10-year hold

• IRR: 4.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.42×
• Total profit: $21,034
• Equity at exit: $15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78363

• Rents YoY: 7.2%
• Active inventory: 216
• Price-to-rent: 8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,763 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$944
• Tax from tax record: −$340 /mo · $4,075/yr
• Insurance: −$75
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$370
• Net cashflow: $34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,720

Max offer price $180,000

Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $45,000
• Closing costs: $5,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1204 W Lee Ave Kingsville, TX	4.0	2.5	1970	$1,825	$0.93	43d	1	0.35mi
629 W Nettie Ave Kingsville, TX	3.0	2.0	1762	$1,495	$0.85	43d	1	0.60mi
614 W Alice Ave Kingsville, TX	3.0	2.0	1713	$1,599	$0.93	43d	1	0.69mi
503 W Mesquite Ave Kingsville, TX	3.0	2.0	1400	$1,500	$1.07	13d	1	0.79mi
307 W Alice Ave Kingsville, TX	3.0	2.0	1600	$1,500	$0.94	43d	1	0.97mi

Listing history 30 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $180,000 Active 44 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $180,000 Active 43 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $180,000 Active 42 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $180,000 Active 41 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $180,000 Active 40 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $180,000 Active 38 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $180,000 Active 37 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $180,000 Active 34 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $180,000 Active 33 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 32 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $180,000 Active 29 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $180,000 Active 28 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,000 Active 27 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,000 Active 26 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Active 25 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $180,000 Active 24 DOM
17. 2026-05-06
    listed $180,000 Active 961-char remark
18. 2026-03-20
    status Active
19. 2026-03-17
    status Pending
20. 2026-03-10
    historical
21. 2025-09-29
    price $180,000
22. 2025-08-21
    price $193,000
23. 2025-06-17
    status Active
24. 2025-05-05
    status Pending
25. 2025-05-05
    price $198,000
26. 2025-02-24
    listed $185,000 Active
27. 2018-10-01
    soldstatus
28. 2018-07-06
    listed $118,500
29. 2012-08-01
    soldstatus
30. 2010-05-13
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,075 · $340/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,075 · $340/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,152
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,083
• − Property taxes: −$4,075
• − Insurance: −$900
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,692
• − Management: −$1,692
• − Depreciation: −$5,236
• Taxable loss: −$2,527
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$606
• After-tax cash flow: $1,014/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Kingsville ISD
• NCES district ID: 4825680
• Math proficiency: 13% ▼ -22.00%
• Reading proficiency: 22% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $36,308
• Composite: 14.5/100
• National rank: #9425
• State rank: #800 of 826 in TX

Livability — Kingsville

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #364
• US rank: #7787

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Kingsville, TX
• County: Kleberg County · 28,920 people
• City population: 28,920
• Metro: Kingsville, TX
• Population (ZIP): 28,920
• Household income: $60,574
• Rent vs Own: 49.3% rent · 50.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1663.0

Population outlook (Kleberg County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 31,615 people
• By 2030: 32,054 · +1.4%
• By 2040: 33,008 · +4.4%
• By 2050: 34,536 · +9.2%
• By 2075: 40,931 · +29.5%
• By 2100: 46,001 · +45.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 36% White 20% Black 3% Asian 1% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 67%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 65% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kleberg

• 2024 margin: R (+12.7) · D 43.3% · R 56.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -12.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+1.7 2016: D+3.7 2012: D+7.8 2008: D+7.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -87.12%
• Current HPI: 147.6473
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.18%
• Metro: Kingsville, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+51.9% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-06 Listed $180,000 CBMLS
• 2026-03-20 Relisted — CBMLS
• 2026-03-17 Pending — CBMLS
• 2026-03-10 Delisted — CBMLS
• 2025-09-29 Price Changed $180,000 CBMLS
• 2025-08-21 Price Changed $193,000 CBMLS
• 2025-06-17 Relisted — CBMLS
• 2025-05-05 Pending — CBMLS
• 2025-05-05 Price Changed $198,000 CBMLS
• 2025-02-24 Listed $185,000 CBMLS
• 2018-10-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2018-07-06 Listed $118,500 CBMLS
• 2012-08-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2010-05-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,075 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.