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2292 N Ironwood Dr #80
B Composite 73.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$47,000

2292 N Ironwood Dr #80 · Apache Junction, AZ 85120
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · Manufactured · 89 Days on market
Built 1986 Fair condition Est $62k · 25% under ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this spacious two bedroom home in the all ages community of Windsong! Each day you will be greeted by mountain views as you walk outside! This home boasts natural light, has new floors throughout, among many other upgrades! Upgrades include: new flooring, new baseboards, new sinks in both bathrooms, new blinds throughout, new (refurbished) kitchen appliances, fresh paint inside and out, and more!

Key facts

  • Newly fenced patio
  • Community pool
  • Natural light

Tags

NEWLY FENCED PATIOHARD FLOORSNATURAL LIGHTCOMMUNITY POOLEND LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community has a pool; Land lease: $715 monthly; No association fees listed

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 covered parking space; 1 open parking space; 1 carport space
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold property
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Gravel/stone front and back; Wood fencing; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; No interior steps; Full bath in primary bedroom
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup only

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $47k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $923 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $47k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 29.9% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Four Peaks Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #898 of 1,109 statewide, top 83%, 498 students, 73% FRL); Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $325 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $44,180 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.36%
Cap rate
29.87%
Cash-on-cash
84.20%
DSCR
4.75
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$62,464
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2292 N Ironwood Dr #103 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,008 (-2%) 5mo $18,000 $18 93
2292 N Ironwood Dr #84 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,024 (0%) 3mo $25,000 $24 92
2292 N Ironwood Dr #34 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,024 (0%) 5mo $60,000 $59 91
2292 N Ironwood Dr #41 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,080 (+6%) 3mo $16,000 $15 88
2292 N Ironwood Dr #55 0.12mi 2/2.0 960 (-6%) 3mo $57,000 $59 81
2292 N Ironwood Dr #110 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (-6%) 0mo $67,000 $70 79
2292 N Ironwood Dr #56 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (-6%) 2mo $59,000 $61 78
2292 N Ironwood Dr #78 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 960 (-6%) 4mo $60,000 $63 76
1975 W Smoketree St 0.37mi 2/1.5 1,121 (+10%) 6mo $315,000 $281 60
875 W Smoketree St 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,080 (+6%) 7mo $337,000 $312 59
2200 N Delaware Dr #62 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (+7%) 2mo $75,000 $68 57
1280 N Ironwood Dr #6 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+12%) 4mo $45,600 $40 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
81.2%
Equity multiple
4.54×
Total profit
$46,588
Equity at exit
$7,008
10-year hold
IRR
83.8%
Equity multiple
8.48×
Total profit
$98,499
Equity at exit
$4,064

Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85120

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Rents YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
468
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,580 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$246
Tax est. 1.5%
$59 /mo · $705/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$923

Break-even live

Break-even rent $411
Max offer price $47,000
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $956 -5% $940 +0% $923 +5% $907 +10% $891
Rent -10% $799 -5% $861 +0% $923 +5% $986 +10% $1,048
Rate -1.0pp $947 -0.5pp $935 base $923 +0.5pp $911 +1.0pp $899

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,750
Closing costs
$1,410
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2292 N Ironwood Dr Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 2.0 1152 $1,475 $1.28 26d 1 0.11mi
1877 W Overland St Apache Junction, AZ 3.0 2.0 1420 $1,999 $1.41 18d 1 0.71mi
2185 W Ohio St Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 5d 1 1.07mi
1440 N Idaho Rd Apache Junction, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1010 $1,900 $1.88 26d 3 1.11mi
455 N Delaware Dr Unit 7 Apache Junction, AZ 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,900 $1.79 26d 1 1.14mi
135 N Palo Verde Dr Unit 8 Apache Junction, AZ 1.0 1.0 750 $925 $1.23 25d 1 1.30mi
135 N Palo Verde Dr Apache Junction, AZ 1.0 1.0 750 $915 $1.22 21d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $47,000 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $47,000 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $47,000 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $47,000 Active 84 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $47,000 Active 83 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $47,000 Active 81 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $47,000 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $47,000 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $47,000 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $47,000 Active 72 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $47,000 Active 71 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $47,000 Active 70 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    price $47,000 Active 69 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 69 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 68 DOM
  16. 2026-05-10
    status Active
  17. 2026-04-30
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
  18. 2026-04-03
    price $50,000
  19. 2026-03-24
    listed $55,000 Active
  20. 2025-07-21
    listed $55,000 Active
  21. 2025-07-21
    historical
  22. 2023-10-18
    soldstatus $52,000 Closed 415-char remark
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    Welcome home to this spacious two bedroom home in the all ages community of Windsong! Each day you will be greeted by mountain views as you walk outside! This home boasts natural light, has new floors throughout, among many other upgrades! Upgrades include: new flooring, new baseboards, new sinks in both bathrooms, new blinds throughout, new (refurbished) kitchen appliances, fresh paint inside and out, and more!

  23. 2023-09-20
    historical Contract Contingent on Buyer Sale 415-char remark
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    Welcome home to this spacious two bedroom home in the all ages community of Windsong! Each day you will be greeted by mountain views as you walk outside! This home boasts natural light, has new floors throughout, among many other upgrades! Upgrades include: new flooring, new baseboards, new sinks in both bathrooms, new blinds throughout, new (refurbished) kitchen appliances, fresh paint inside and out, and more!

  24. 2023-09-05
    status Active 415-char remark
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    Welcome home to this spacious two bedroom home in the all ages community of Windsong! Each day you will be greeted by mountain views as you walk outside! This home boasts natural light, has new floors throughout, among many other upgrades! Upgrades include: new flooring, new baseboards, new sinks in both bathrooms, new blinds throughout, new (refurbished) kitchen appliances, fresh paint inside and out, and more!

  25. 2023-08-25
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 415-char remark
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    Welcome home to this spacious two bedroom home in the all ages community of Windsong! Each day you will be greeted by mountain views as you walk outside! This home boasts natural light, has new floors throughout, among many other upgrades! Upgrades include: new flooring, new baseboards, new sinks in both bathrooms, new blinds throughout, new (refurbished) kitchen appliances, fresh paint inside and out, and more!

  26. 2023-07-15
    listed $60,000 Active 415-char remark
    Show marketing remark (415 chars)

    Welcome home to this spacious two bedroom home in the all ages community of Windsong! Each day you will be greeted by mountain views as you walk outside! This home boasts natural light, has new floors throughout, among many other upgrades! Upgrades include: new flooring, new baseboards, new sinks in both bathrooms, new blinds throughout, new (refurbished) kitchen appliances, fresh paint inside and out, and more!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,960
− Mortgage interest
−$2,633
− Property taxes
−$705
− Insurance
−$235
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,517
− Management
−$1,517
− Depreciation
−$1,367
Taxable income
$10,986
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,637
After-tax cash flow
$8,444/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This manufactured home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Painting, updating cabinets, and replacing fixtures would significantly enhance its appeal.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — slight wear
  • Minor interior paint — slight wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes kitchen and adds value
  • Both replace bathroom fixtures — modernizes bathrooms and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
interior paint · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace kitchen cabinets — modernizes kitchen and adds value
  • Both replace bathroom fixtures — modernizes bathrooms and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
NCES district ID
0400790
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,930
Composite
15.34/100
National rank
#9325
State rank
#195 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Apache Junction

Score
66/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#11242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Apache Junction, AZ
County
Pinal County · 399,947 people
City population
56,611
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
31,191
Household income
$57,786
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
686.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.31%
Current HPI
313.4666
Rent YoY
▼ -3.50%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $50,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $55,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-07-21 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-07-21 Listed $55,000 ARMLS
  • 2023-10-18 Sold (MLS) $52,000 ARMLS
  • 2023-09-20 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2023-09-05 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2023-08-25 Contingent ARMLS
  • 2023-07-15 Listed $60,000 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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