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4064 S Wesley Ln
F Composite 33.16
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

4064 S Wesley Ln · Mobile, AL 36609
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,275 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1989 8,293 sqft lot Est $156k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this cozy 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home perfectly situated near everything you need! As you step inside, you are greeted by an impressively large living room featuring rich, dark hardwood floors and a massive window that floods the space with natural light. Entertainment is a breeze thanks to the homes open and inviting layout. The beautifully updated kitchen boasts crisp white cabinetry, sweeping granite countertops, tile flooring, and stainless-steel appliances. It flows seamlessly into a remarkably spacious dining area, ensuring you never miss a single moment of the conversation with your guests while you cook. The well-appointed full bathroom is clean and modern, offering a gorg

Key facts

  • Massive window
  • Large living room
  • Open layout

Tags

LARGE LIVING ROOMHARDWOOD FLOORSMASSIVE WINDOWOPEN LAYOUTUPDATED KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public sewer; Public water
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1989; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; No listed foundation details
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Fenced yard; Shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; White kitchen cabinets; Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($273/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (23.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Elizabeth Fonde Elementary School (math 6% / reading 26%, grade F, #502 of 627 statewide, top 80%, 725 students, 87% FRL); Wp Davidson High School (math 36% / reading 41%, grade F, #37 of 305 statewide, top 12%, 1,535 students, 61% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $180k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $137,888 (23.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.54%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$155,550
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4077 Lancewood Dr S 0.35mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,284 (+1%) 2mo $125,000 $97 76
705 Littledale Rd 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,189 (-7%) 1mo $160,000 $135 68
552 Tamworth Ct 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,135 (-11%) 3mo $159,500 $141 66
713 Raines Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,347 (+6%) 2mo $73,000 $54 65
5120 Ridgedale Rd 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,428 (+12%) 1mo $130,000 $91 60
661 Raines Dr 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,134 (-11%) 1mo $122,000 $108 59
4259 Raines Dr 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,394 (+9%) 1mo $184,000 $132 58
407 Laborde Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,225 (-4%) 2mo $184,000 $150 56
1618 Catalina Dr 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,196 (-6%) 3mo $120,000 $100 54
4126 Springdale Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+8%) 3mo $169,000 $122 54
500 Castile Dr 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,137 (-11%) 3mo $35,000 $31 52
4275 Raines Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,107 (-13%) 2mo $172,000 $155 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-27,692
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-22,205
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36609

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,379 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $578/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$23

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,350
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $125 -5% $74 +0% $23 +5% $-28 +10% $-79
Rent -10% $-86 -5% $-32 +0% $23 +5% $77 +10% $132
Rate -1.0pp $113 -0.5pp $69 base $23 +0.5pp $-24 +1.0pp $-71

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4057 Gaylark Rd N Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,275 $1.18 22d 1 0.13mi
550 Tamworth Ct Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 44d 1 0.28mi
552 Tamworth Ct Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 44d 1 0.28mi
4161 Rebecca Rd Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1214 $1,500 $1.24 14d 1 0.29mi
654 Ynestra Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 1.5 1134 $1,300 $1.15 14d 1 0.32mi
4077 Lancewood Dr S Mobile, AL 4.0 1.0 1283 $1,600 $1.25 44d 1 0.34mi
5155 Ridgedale Rd Mobile, AL 3.0 1.5 1263 $1,400 $1.11 14d 1 0.36mi
4118 Seabreeze Rd N Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,100 $1.01 44d 1 0.37mi
4213 Malibar Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,458 $1.33 22d 1 0.46mi
713 Raines Dr Mobile, AL 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,858 $1.16 14d 1 0.52mi
4242 Marmora Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 1.5 1053 $1,500 $1.42 44d 1 0.54mi
4306 Via Alta Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1640 $1,600 $0.98 44d 1 0.58mi
833 S University Blvd Mobile, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 855 $1,190 $1.39 14d 12 0.67mi
651 Azalea Rd Mobile, AL 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 890 $1,232 $1.38 44d 1 0.67mi
506 Seville Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,350 $1.12 14d 1 0.73mi
4017 Cottage Hill Rd #69 Mobile, AL 3.0 2.5 1616 $1,495 $0.93 22d 1 0.81mi
4017 Cottage Hill Rd Mobile, AL 3.0 2.5 1616 $1,495 $0.93 44d 1 0.81mi
3993 Cottage Hill Rd Mobile, AL 2.0 1.5 1150 $895 $0.78 44d 1 0.86mi
561 Village Green Dr E Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 880 $1,000 $1.14 14d 4 0.88mi
900 Downtowner Blvd Mobile, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1029 $1,449 $1.41 14d 32 0.91mi
701 S University Blvd Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 692 $1,093 $1.58 22d 10 0.93mi
315 Bomar Pl Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1632 $1,850 $1.13 14d 1 0.93mi
3800 Michael Blvd Mobile, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 854 $942 $1.10 14d 15 1.03mi
1724 Rustic Wood Ct Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1607 $1,850 $1.15 44d 1 1.27mi
1651 Knollwood Dr Mobile, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 835 $1,247 $1.49 14d 16 1.39mi
1030 Montlimar Dr Mobile, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 997 $1,509 $1.51 14d 17 1.42mi
5900 Grelot Rd Mobile, AL 2.0 2.0–2.5 1259 $1,600 $1.27 14d 2 1.42mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $179,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$578 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$738 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$159/yr (+$13/mo · 27.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,547
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$578
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,324
− Management
−$1,324
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$2,889
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$693
After-tax cash flow
$967/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Mobile

Score
75/100
State rank
#20
US rank
#4262

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mobile, AL
County
Mobile County · 246,577 people
City population
205,729
Metro
Mobile, AL
Population (ZIP)
23,820
Household income
$49,830
Rent vs Own
54.0% rent · 46.0% own
Severe rent burden
1379.0

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 42% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.06%
Current HPI
200.0811
Rent YoY
▲ 3.07%
Metro
Mobile, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+103.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $179,900 GCMLS AL
  • 2018-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $80,500 Public Records
  • 2009-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $88,307 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $578 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…