19816 Rosedale St · St. Clair Shores, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.
Key facts
- Porch
- Investment property
- Ample space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (4.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.2% in St. Clair Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- South Lake Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #470 of 540 in MI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $175k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.10%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $217,208
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -19.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19813 Rosedale St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 909 (0%) | 3mo | $209,000 | $230 | 92 |
| 20223 Avalon St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 931 (+2%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $161 | 80 |
| 19820 Avalon St | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 1,013 (+11%) | 2mo | $219,000 | $216 | 77 |
| 20625 Avalon St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+10%) | 1mo | $161,445 | $161 | 64 |
| 21813 Rosedale St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 948 (+4%) | 4mo | $138,000 | $146 | 59 |
| 20631 Chalon St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,001 (+10%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $255 | 58 |
| 20624 Sunnyside St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (+13%) | 5mo | $199,000 | $194 | 55 |
| 19045 Morningside Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,038 (+14%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $193 | 52 |
| 20707 Elizabeth St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (+10%) | 6mo | $246,000 | $246 | 51 |
| 21835 Alger St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,039 (+14%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $207 | 36 |
| 20350 E 8 Mile Rd | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,038 (+14%) | 13mo | $105,000 | $101 | 35 |
| 20040 E 8 Mile Rd | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-13%) | 12mo | $159,000 | $201 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-22,851
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-12,685
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48080
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,678 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$250 /mo · $2,994/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $86
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20625 Elizabeth St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,895 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 23005 Kelly Rd Eastpointe, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 22126 Alger St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1060 | $1,750 | $1.65 | 11d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 20600 Balfour St Harper Woods, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $1,671 | $1.72 | 2d | 12 | 0.93mi |
| 2175 Ridgemont Rd Grosse Pointe Woods, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 22307 Greater Mack Ave St Clair Shores, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,195 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1992 Hawthorne Rd Grosse Pointe Woods, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $2,100 | $1.96 | 10d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 22411 Oconnor St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2037 Vernier Rd Grosse Pointe Woods, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 20015 Lochmoor St Harper Woods, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1006 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 22617 Oconnor St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $2,000 | $2.17 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.
-
2026-05-14status Pending 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.
-
2026-04-30price $175,000 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.
-
2026-04-29price $175,000 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.
-
2026-02-27price $195,000 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.
-
2026-02-26price $195,000 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.
-
2025-12-21$200,000 Active 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.
-
2025-12-20$200,000 Active 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.
-
2015-09-11soldstatus $65,000
-
2011-03-25soldstatus $35,000
-
2011-03-25soldstatus $35,000
-
2011-03-07historical
-
2011-01-10$34,900
-
2011-01-10$34,900
-
2010-11-14historical
-
2010-11-12historical
-
2010-05-10$40,000
-
2010-05-10$40,000
-
2002-11-26soldstatus $121,500
-
2002-10-28soldstatus $121,500
-
2002-09-18historical
-
2002-08-21$125,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,994 · $250/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,994 · $250/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,141
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,994
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,611
- − Management
- −$1,611
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$1,845
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$443
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,472/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Lake Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2632220
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,594
- Composite
- 16.76/100
- National rank
- #9159
- State rank
- #470 of 540 in MI
Livability — St. Clair Shores
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Clair Shores, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 58,217
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,561
- Household income
- $66,986
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 530.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -236.99%
- Current HPI
- 231.507
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+39.0% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-14 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $175,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $195,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $195,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-21 Listed $200,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-20 Listed $200,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2011-03-25 Sold (MLS) $35,000 REALCOMP
- 2011-03-25 Sold (MLS) $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-03-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-01-10 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
- 2011-01-10 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-11-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-11-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-05-10 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-05-10 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $121,500 Public Records
- 2002-10-28 Sold (MLS) $121,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-09-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-08-21 Listed $125,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,994 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…