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19816 Rosedale St
D+ Composite 49.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

19816 Rosedale St · St. Clair Shores, MI 48080
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 909 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 144 Days on market
Built 1952 4,792 sqft lot $193/sqft · 20% above area Est $217k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.

Key facts

  • Porch
  • Investment property
  • Ample space

Tags

SINGLE FAMILY RESIDENCEAMPLE SPACEPORCHINVESTMENT PROPERTY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (4.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.2% in St. Clair Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • South Lake Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #470 of 540 in MI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $175k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $154,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.88%
Cash-on-cash
2.10%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$217,208
List price
$175,000
Delta
-19.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19813 Rosedale St 0.03mi 3/2.0 909 (0%) 3mo $209,000 $230 92
20223 Avalon St 0.23mi 3/1.0 931 (+2%) 7mo $150,000 $161 80
19820 Avalon St 0.05mi 3/1.0 1,013 (+11%) 2mo $219,000 $216 77
20625 Avalon St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+10%) 1mo $161,445 $161 64
21813 Rosedale St 0.67mi 3/1.0 948 (+4%) 4mo $138,000 $146 59
20631 Chalon St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,001 (+10%) 1mo $255,000 $255 58
20624 Sunnyside St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,025 (+13%) 5mo $199,000 $194 55
19045 Morningside Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,038 (+14%) 12mo $200,000 $193 52
20707 Elizabeth St 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,000 (+10%) 6mo $246,000 $246 51
21835 Alger St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,039 (+14%) 7mo $215,000 $207 36
20350 E 8 Mile Rd 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,038 (+14%) 13mo $105,000 $101 35
20040 E 8 Mile Rd 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-13%) 12mo $159,000 $201 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-22,851
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-12,685
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48080

Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,678 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$250 /mo · $2,994/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$86

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,570
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20625 Elizabeth St Saint Clair Shores, MI 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,895 $1.76 44d 1 0.51mi
23005 Kelly Rd Eastpointe, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,250 $1.47 24d 1 0.67mi
22126 Alger St Saint Clair Shores, MI 2.0 1.5 1060 $1,750 $1.65 11d 1 0.88mi
20600 Balfour St Harper Woods, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 971 $1,671 $1.72 2d 12 0.93mi
2175 Ridgemont Rd Grosse Pointe Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 44d 1 0.94mi
22307 Greater Mack Ave St Clair Shores, MI 2.0 1.0 806 $1,195 $1.48 3d 1 0.95mi
1992 Hawthorne Rd Grosse Pointe Woods, MI 3.0 2.0 1071 $2,100 $1.96 10d 1 1.13mi
22411 Oconnor St Saint Clair Shores, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,250 $1.32 44d 1 1.17mi
2037 Vernier Rd Grosse Pointe Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,350 $1.59 44d 1 1.21mi
20015 Lochmoor St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 1006 $1,500 $1.49 17d 1 1.29mi
22617 Oconnor St Saint Clair Shores, MI 3.0 1.0 923 $2,000 $2.17 2d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (756 chars)

    This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.

  2. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (756 chars)

    This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.

  3. 2026-04-30
    price $175,000 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (756 chars)

    This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.

  4. 2026-04-29
    price $175,000 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (756 chars)

    This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.

  5. 2026-02-27
    price $195,000 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (756 chars)

    This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.

  6. 2026-02-26
    price $195,000 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (756 chars)

    This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.

  7. 2025-12-21
    listed $200,000 Active 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (756 chars)

    This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.

  8. 2025-12-20
    listed $200,000 Active 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (756 chars)

    This single-family residence presents a compelling opportunity for investors and handy homeowners alike, offering a chance to shape its future. The residence includes three bedrooms, offering ample space to craft personalized sanctuaries for rest and rejuvenation. Imagine each bedroom becoming a haven of comfort, designed to reflect individual styles and needs. With two bathrooms, mornings can be streamlined and evenings transformed into spa-like experiences, whether for quick routines or leisurely soaks. A porch graces the front of the property, offering a welcoming space to enjoy the neighborhood ambiance, sip morning coffee, or unwind after a fulfilling day. This is a great investment property awaiting your vision to unlock its full potential.

  9. 2015-09-11
    soldstatus $65,000
  10. 2011-03-25
    soldstatus $35,000
  11. 2011-03-25
    soldstatus $35,000
  12. 2011-03-07
    historical
  13. 2011-01-10
    listed $34,900
  14. 2011-01-10
    listed $34,900
  15. 2010-11-14
    historical
  16. 2010-11-12
    historical
  17. 2010-05-10
    listed $40,000
  18. 2010-05-10
    listed $40,000
  19. 2002-11-26
    soldstatus $121,500
  20. 2002-10-28
    soldstatus $121,500
  21. 2002-09-18
    historical
  22. 2002-08-21
    listed $125,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,994 · $250/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,994 · $250/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,141
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,994
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,611
− Management
−$1,611
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$1,845
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$443
After-tax cash flow
$1,472/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Lake Schools
NCES district ID
2632220
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$51,594
Composite
16.76/100
National rank
#9159
State rank
#470 of 540 in MI

Livability — St. Clair Shores

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Clair Shores, MI
County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
58,217
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
21,561
Household income
$66,986
Rent vs Own
21.5% rent · 78.5% own
Severe rent burden
530.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -236.99%
Current HPI
231.507
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+39.0% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-14 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $175,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $195,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $195,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-21 Listed $200,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-20 Listed $200,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2011-03-25 Sold (MLS) $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-03-25 Sold (MLS) $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-03-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-01-10 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 2011-01-10 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-11-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-11-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2010-05-10 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-05-10 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $121,500 Public Records
  • 2002-10-28 Sold (MLS) $121,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-09-18 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-08-21 Listed $125,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,994 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…