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569 Custer Pl
C Composite 57.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

569 Custer Pl · Canton, IL 61520
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · Other public records · 143 Days on market
Built 1922 7,320 sqft lot $47/sqft · 22% below area Est $64k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming corner lot home with large garage with large overhang fro those raining days. Small fenced in yard for the pets. This 2 bedroom house with jack and jill bathroom with main floor laundry. Call today to schedule your showing.

Key facts

  • 7,320 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1922

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($529/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($650 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#318 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Canton Union SD 66 (town): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #417 of 620 in IL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $50k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $43,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
7.35%
Cash-on-cash
3.78%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$64,061
List price
$49,900
Delta
-22.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-5,194
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
-0.6%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-559
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61520

Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$650 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$187 /mo · $2,244/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$136
Net cashflow
$44

Break-even live

Break-even rent $594
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
143 W Locust St Unit 6 Canton, IL 1.0 1.0 780 $650 $0.83 43d 1 0.62mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 143 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 142 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 141 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 140 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 138 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $49,900 Active 137 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 134 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 133 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 132 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 131 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,900 Active 128 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 127 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 126 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 125 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 124 DOM
  16. 2026-01-26
    listed $49,900 Active 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    Welcome to this charming corner lot home with large garage with large overhang fro those raining days. Small fenced in yard for the pets. This 2 bedroom house with jack and jill bathroom with main floor laundry. Call today to schedule your showing.

  17. 2002-07-12
    soldstatus $32,000 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    HERE'S AN OPPORTUNITY; NEEDS SOME WORK; COMFORTABLE 2 BEDROOM WITH A NICE DEN/DINING ROOM ON THE REAR; NEWER SHOWER BATH; MAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY; DE- TACHED 24X26 GARAGE; NICE LEVEL CORNER LOT. HERE'S AN OPPORTUNITY NEEDS SOME WORK; COMFORTABLE 2 BEDROOM WITH A NICE

  18. 2002-05-21
    listed $35,000 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    HERE'S AN OPPORTUNITY; NEEDS SOME WORK; COMFORTABLE 2 BEDROOM WITH A NICE DEN/DINING ROOM ON THE REAR; NEWER SHOWER BATH; MAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY; DE- TACHED 24X26 GARAGE; NICE LEVEL CORNER LOT. HERE'S AN OPPORTUNITY NEEDS SOME WORK; COMFORTABLE 2 BEDROOM WITH A NICE

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,244 · $187/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,244 · $187/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$7,800
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$2,244
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$624
− Management
−$624
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable loss
−$188
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$45
After-tax cash flow
$574/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canton Union SD 66
NCES district ID
1708280
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$42,657
Composite
18.03/100
National rank
#8980
State rank
#417 of 620 in IL

Livability — Canton

Score
72/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#6313

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Canton, IL
Population (ZIP)
16,098

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,356 people
By 2030
32,144 · -3.6%
By 2040
29,518 · -11.5%
By 2050
26,775 · -19.7%
By 2075
19,972 · -40.1%
By 2100
13,580 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.8) · D 37.1% · R 60.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-45.2pp toward R · 2008: 21.3pp · 2024: -23.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+15.1 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+21.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.00%
Current HPI
123.8086
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $49,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-07-12 Sold (MLS) $32,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-05-21 Listed $35,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,244 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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