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23 Windaway Rd
D- Composite 38.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$400,000

23 Windaway Rd · Bethel, CT 06801
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,217 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1962 1.70 ac lot Est $347k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move right in to this charming 3 bedroom, 2 full bathroom ranch style home in a lovely and desirable neighborhood close to town and commuting. Hardwood floors, fresh paint, and a brand new roof! The primary suite boasts a full bath and ample closet space while two other generously sized bedrooms share a hall full bath. Large rear deck looks out upon the lovely backyard. Unfinished walkout lower level is ready for your imagination. Don't miss this opportunity to make this house a home! HIGHEST AND BEST due 3pm on Sunday May 31st.

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • Primary suite
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSFRESH PAINTNEW ROOFPRIMARY SUITELARGE REAR DECKUNFINISHED WALKOUT LOWER LEVEL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (unpaved) with off-street parking; Space for 6 vehicles
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewer; Electric service (standard); Oil fuel for heating and hot water
  • Home design: Single-family home; Private driveway; Yellow exterior siding
  • Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Concrete foundation; Built with walk-out basement
  • Exterior features: Deck; Gutters; Exterior lighting; Level and sloping lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Oil heat; Central air
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning; Full unfinished basement with interior access and walk-out; Attic with access via hatch; 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Oil-fired hot water heater (domestic); Fuel tank located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $369k (7.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $369k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.5% in Bethel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#12 in CT, #1,287 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living D-.
  • Bethel School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #72 of 153 in CT (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Frank A. Berry School (math 37%, 388 students, 26% FRL); Bethel Middle School (math 44% / reading 60%, grade C+, #73 of 175 statewide, top 43%, 764 students, 31% FRL); Bethel High School (math 42% / reading 72%, grade C, #52 of 194 statewide, top 31%, 1,063 students, 30% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $368,943 (7.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.65%
Cash-on-cash
1.29%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$346,845
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
33 Dodgingtown Rd 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,305 (+7%) 12mo $190,000 $146 48
32 Putnam Park Rd 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,154 (-5%) 20mo $377,500 $327 36
37 Putnam Park Rd 0.71mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,296 (+6%) 21mo $370,000 $285 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-57,079
Equity at exit
$59,641
10-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-39,533
Equity at exit
$34,585

Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06801

Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,689 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,098
Tax from tax record
$530 /mo · $6,360/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$775
Net cashflow
$120

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,537
Max offer price $400,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $347 -5% $234 +0% $120 +5% $7 +10% $-106
Rent -10% $-171 -5% $-25 +0% $120 +5% $266 +10% $412
Rate -1.0pp $322 -0.5pp $222 base $120 +0.5pp $17 +1.0pp $-89

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$100,000
Closing costs
$12,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
26 Greenwood Ave Bethel, CT 3.0 2.0 1400 $4,500 $3.21 12d 1 1.24mi
2 Cindy Ln Unit 8-1 Bethel, CT 2.0 1.0 819 $2,500 $3.05 4d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $400,000 Under Contract 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $400,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $400,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $400,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $400,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $400,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    status $400,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $400,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    remarks 534-char remark
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $400,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-05-28
    listed $400,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,360 · $530/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,460 · $622/mo
Expected delta
+$1,100/yr (+$92/mo · 17.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,273
− Mortgage interest
−$22,406
− Property taxes
−$6,360
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,542
− Management
−$3,542
− Depreciation
−$11,636
Taxable loss
−$5,213
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,251
After-tax cash flow
$2,695/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bethel School District
NCES district ID
0900270
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$87,843
Composite
47.17/100
National rank
#2323
State rank
#72 of 153 in CT

Livability — Bethel

Score
82/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#1287

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living D- Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
20,498
Population (ZIP)
20,498

Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
685,031

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Estonian 6% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -348.18%
Current HPI
234.4823
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $400,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2023): $6,360 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…