23 Windaway Rd · Bethel, CT
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.9/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.6/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$400,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move right in to this charming 3 bedroom, 2 full bathroom ranch style home in a lovely and desirable neighborhood close to town and commuting. Hardwood floors, fresh paint, and a brand new roof! The primary suite boasts a full bath and ample closet space while two other generously sized bedrooms share a hall full bath. Large rear deck looks out upon the lovely backyard. Unfinished walkout lower level is ready for your imagination. Don't miss this opportunity to make this house a home! HIGHEST AND BEST due 3pm on Sunday May 31st.
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- Primary suite
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (unpaved) with off-street parking; Space for 6 vehicles
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewer; Electric service (standard); Oil fuel for heating and hot water
- Home design: Single-family home; Private driveway; Yellow exterior siding
- Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Concrete foundation; Built with walk-out basement
- Exterior features: Deck; Gutters; Exterior lighting; Level and sloping lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Oil heat; Central air
- Interior features: Central air conditioning; Full unfinished basement with interior access and walk-out; Attic with access via hatch; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Oil-fired hot water heater (domestic); Fuel tank located in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $369k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $369k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.5% in Bethel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#12 in CT, #1,287 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living D-.
- Bethel School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #72 of 153 in CT (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Frank A. Berry School (math 37%, 388 students, 26% FRL); Bethel Middle School (math 44% / reading 60%, grade C+, #73 of 175 statewide, top 43%, 764 students, 31% FRL); Bethel High School (math 42% / reading 72%, grade C, #52 of 194 statewide, top 31%, 1,063 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.29%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $346,845
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Dodgingtown Rd | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,305 (+7%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $146 | 48 |
| 32 Putnam Park Rd | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,154 (-5%) | 20mo | $377,500 | $327 | 36 |
| 37 Putnam Park Rd | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (+6%) | 21mo | $370,000 | $285 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-57,079
- Equity at exit
- $59,641
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-39,533
- Equity at exit
- $34,585
Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06801
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,689 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,098
- Tax from tax record
- −$530 /mo · $6,360/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$775
- Net cashflow
- $120
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $347 | -5% $234 | +0% $120 | +5% $7 | +10% $-106 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-171 | -5% $-25 | +0% $120 | +5% $266 | +10% $412 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $322 | -0.5pp $222 | base $120 | +0.5pp $17 | +1.0pp $-89 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $100,000
- Closing costs
- $12,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Greenwood Ave Bethel, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $4,500 | $3.21 | 12d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2 Cindy Ln Unit 8-1 Bethel, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $2,500 | $3.05 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-10status $400,000 Under Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $400,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $400,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $400,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $400,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $400,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02status $400,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $400,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 534-char remark
-
2026-05-31days on market $400,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$400,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,360 · $530/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,460 · $622/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,100/yr (+$92/mo · 17.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,273
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,406
- − Property taxes
- −$6,360
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,542
- − Management
- −$3,542
- − Depreciation
- −$11,636
- Taxable loss
- −$5,213
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,251
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,695/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bethel School District
- NCES district ID
- 0900270
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $87,843
- Composite
- 47.17/100
- National rank
- #2323
- State rank
- #72 of 153 in CT
Livability — Bethel
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #1287
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 20,498
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,498
Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 685,031
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Estonian 6% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -348.18%
- Current HPI
- 234.4823
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $400,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2023): $6,360 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…