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2903 S Whitney Bch
B- Composite 68.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

2903 S Whitney Bch · Beaverton, MI 48612
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · SingleFamily · 4 Days on market
Built 1955 0.57 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits with this 2-bedroom, 1-bath fixer-upper ready for your vision and renovation ideas. This foreclosure property offers potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a project property. Home is being sold strictly as-is and will require significant updates and repairs throughout, including remediation for a heavy smoke odor present in the home. Cash buyers only. Property will not qualify for most traditional financing. Bring your tools and imagination to restore this homes potential. Great opportunity to add value with the right improvements.

Key facts

  • 0.57 acre lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 4 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 0.57 acre lot; Below-grade area: 600 (unfinished)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic system; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; 1 1/2-story; Built in 1955; Entry level includes main floor living spaces
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Crawl foundation; Built 1955
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Shed; Wooded lot; Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (10 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Main level bedroom (10 x 10); First-floor bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Deck
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Cap rate 22.6% vs local median 3.4% in Beaverton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#323 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Beaverton Rural Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #364 of 540 in MI (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Gladwin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gladwin County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.58%
Cap rate
22.57%
Cash-on-cash
58.12%
DSCR
3.59
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$150,528
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2903 S Whitney Bch 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,536 (0%) 0mo $39,900 $26 100
2880 S Whitney Beach St 0.08mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,428 (-7%) 6mo $139,650 $98 74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.9%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$23,821
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
54.4%
Equity multiple
6.36×
Total profit
$59,892
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48612

Home prices YoY
-23.3%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,030 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $563/yr
Insurance
$17
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$475

Break-even live

Break-even rent $429
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    listed $39,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$563 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$589 · $49/mo
Expected delta
+$26/yr (+$2/mo · 4.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,363
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$563
− Insurance
−$997
− Repairs & maintenance
−$989
− Management
−$989
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$5,429
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,303
After-tax cash flow
$4,393/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaverton Rural Schools
NCES district ID
2604440
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$39,200
Composite
25.54/100
National rank
#7431
State rank
#364 of 540 in MI

Livability — Beaverton

Score
70/100
State rank
#323
US rank
#7931

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,505

Population outlook (Gladwin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,440 people
By 2030
22,281 · -4.9%
By 2040
19,867 · -15.2%
By 2050
17,667 · -24.6%
By 2075
12,909 · -44.9%
By 2100
8,629 · -63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gladwin

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-42.2pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.8 2016: R+34.7 2012: R+7.2 2008: D+1.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.55%
Current HPI
215.4508
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2018): $563 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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