176 Golfview Dr · Turnersville, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 57.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath rancher in highly desirable Washington Township, offering the ease and convenience of true one-floor living. This home features a functional layout with generously sized bedrooms, a bright living area, and plenty of potential to customize to your style. The kitchen and living spaces provide a great foundation for creating your dream home with just a bit of TLC. Step outside to a large backyard—perfect for entertaining, outdoor gatherings, gardening, or simply enjoying your own private space. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment opportunity, this property is full of possibilities. Located in a sought-after neighborhood c
Key facts
- One-floor living
- Large backyard
- 0.28 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway with 3 driveway spaces (total 3 parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Detached property; Shingle roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding and brick exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Not located in a federal flood zone; Lot approximately 70 x 175
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stove; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on main level; Rooms include: Living Room, Dining Room, Bedroom 1, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3, Bedroom 4
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil); Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Tub/shower; Drywall walls and ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-262 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $304k (13.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $297k (15.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $297k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.2% in Turnersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#246 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Washington Township School District (suburban): math 21% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #257 of 472 in NJ (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Bells Elementary School (math 24% / reading 45%, grade F, #582 of 1,303 statewide, top 49%, 553 students, 15% FRL); Chestnut Ridge Middle School (math 17% / reading 51%, grade F, #259 of 431 statewide, top 61%, 648 students, 16% FRL); Washington Township High School (math 32% / reading 60%, grade D-, #133 of 399 statewide, top 34%, 2,075 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $41k; list at $350k implies a 758% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.21%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $437,697
- List price
- $350,000
- Delta
- -20.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165 Golfview Dr | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,842 (+12%) | 1mo | $430,000 | $233 | 64 |
| 85 Golfview Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,591 (-3%) | 1mo | $351,000 | $221 | 64 |
| 13 Langley Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,602 (-2%) | 14mo | $407,500 | $254 | 60 |
| 157 Golfview Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,842 (+12%) | 9mo | $470,000 | $255 | 55 |
| 102 Massey Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,744 (+6%) | 1mo | $476,000 | $273 | 54 |
| 121 Bound Brook Ct | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,842 (+12%) | 3mo | $470,000 | $255 | 54 |
| 125 Trent Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,819 (+11%) | 3mo | $470,000 | $258 | 43 |
| 138 Salina Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,736 (+6%) | 18mo | $430,000 | $248 | 38 |
| 76 Abbington Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,796 (+10%) | 19mo | $399,900 | $223 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-73,237
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-84,595
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08080
- Home prices YoY
- -33.2%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,974 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$630 /mo · $7,566/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$625
- Net cashflow
- $-262
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-64 | -5% $-163 | +0% $-262 | +5% $-361 | +10% $-460 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-497 | -5% $-379 | +0% $-262 | +5% $-144 | +10% $-27 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-86 | -0.5pp $-173 | base $-262 | +0.5pp $-353 | +1.0pp $-445 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 Meridian Ln Sewell, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1960 | $3,200 | $1.63 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-07$350,000 Active 796-char remark
-
1976-07-29soldstatus $40,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,566 · $630/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,140 · $678/mo
- Expected delta
- +$575/yr (+$48/mo · 7.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,692
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$7,566
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,855
- − Management
- −$2,855
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable loss
- −$9,121
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,189
- After-tax cash flow
- $-955/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3417070
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,707
- Composite
- 33.46/100
- National rank
- #5456
- State rank
- #257 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Turnersville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #246
- US rank
- #6866
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Gloucester County · 160,422 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,159
- Household income
- $122,262
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 637.0
Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 298,895 people
- By 2030
- 299,031 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 294,020 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 284,188 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 260,720 · -12.8%
- By 2100
- 229,565 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.50%
- Current HPI
- 306.2983
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
||
Price history
+757.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-20 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $350,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1976-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $40,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $7,566 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…