21980 Us-285 · Fairplay, CO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover mountain-town living in this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Fairplay. The open floor plan connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas under vaulted ceilings—perfect for entertaining or relaxing after a day outdoors. The spacious primary suite offers a walk-in closet and a luxurious five-piece bath. Enjoy the convenience of a dedicated laundry room and the privacy of a fully fenced backyard. Ideally located within walking distance to Prather’s Market, local breweries, and the Summit Stage bus stop, with Breckenridge and Buena Vista just a scenic drive away. A perfect basecamp for adventure and everyday living!
Key facts
- Charming front porch
- Open-concept kitchen
- On-site park
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Tax year 2025
- Financial info: Monthly land lease of $1,295 (expires May 31, 2035)
- HOA & community: Land lease in place with Fairplay Mobile Home Park
Exterior
- Parking: 2 off-street parking spaces (total 2)
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Propane; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured in park (Manufactured Home); Individual ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Aluminum skirting; Located in Fairplay Mobile Home Park (CMH Karsten make)
- Exterior features: Balcony; Covered front porch; Full fencing; Corner lot; Mountainous setting; Paved access on a privately maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (1 full, 1 three-quarter; both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 3.0% in Fairplay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#56 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: commute D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Park County School District No. Re-2 (rural): math 25% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #89 of 176 in CO (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Edith Teter Elementary School (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #604 of 966 statewide, top 63%, 211 students, 39% FRL); South Park Middle School (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #106 of 270 statewide, top 42%, 98 students, 36% FRL); South Park High School (math 10% / reading 70%, grade F, #167 of 381 statewide, top 46%, 124 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 349 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 144 units permitted in Park County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Park County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 19 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.64%
- DSCR
- 2.76
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,204
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21980 US Highway 285 #60 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,178 (-1%) | 12mo | $125,000 | $106 | 78 |
| 21980 Us-285 #7 | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,178 (-1%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $102 | 76 |
| 21980 Us Highway 285 #23 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,186 (0%) | 20mo | $142,000 | $120 | 72 |
| 21980 Us Highway 285 #33 | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,186 (0%) | 21mo | $135,000 | $114 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $55,466
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 42.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.03×
- Total profit
- $146,709
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80440
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Active inventory
- 349
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,481 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$22 /mo · $261/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$521
- Net cashflow
- $1,202
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,276 | -5% $1,239 | +0% $1,202 | +5% $1,017 | +10% $972 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,006 | -5% $1,104 | +0% $1,202 | +5% $1,300 | +10% $1,398 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,268 | -0.5pp $1,235 | base $1,202 | +0.5pp $1,169 | +1.0pp $1,134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
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2026-06-19days on market $130,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $130,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $130,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-12$130,000 Active
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2026-05-09status Pending 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Discover mountain-town living in this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Fairplay. The open floor plan connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas under vaulted ceilings—perfect for entertaining or relaxing after a day outdoors. The spacious primary suite offers a walk-in closet and a luxurious five-piece bath. Enjoy the convenience of a dedicated laundry room and the privacy of a fully fenced backyard. Ideally located within walking distance to Prather’s Market, local breweries, and the Summit Stage bus stop, with Breckenridge and Buena Vista just a scenic drive away. A perfect basecamp for adventure and everyday living!
-
2026-03-31historical
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2025-12-29price $100,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Discover mountain-town living in this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Fairplay. The open floor plan connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas under vaulted ceilings—perfect for entertaining or relaxing after a day outdoors. The spacious primary suite offers a walk-in closet and a luxurious five-piece bath. Enjoy the convenience of a dedicated laundry room and the privacy of a fully fenced backyard. Ideally located within walking distance to Prather’s Market, local breweries, and the Summit Stage bus stop, with Breckenridge and Buena Vista just a scenic drive away. A perfect basecamp for adventure and everyday living!
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2025-11-24price $80,000
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2025-11-17price $90,000
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2025-08-30price $95,000
-
2025-08-18price $150,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Discover mountain-town living in this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Fairplay. The open floor plan connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas under vaulted ceilings—perfect for entertaining or relaxing after a day outdoors. The spacious primary suite offers a walk-in closet and a luxurious five-piece bath. Enjoy the convenience of a dedicated laundry room and the privacy of a fully fenced backyard. Ideally located within walking distance to Prather’s Market, local breweries, and the Summit Stage bus stop, with Breckenridge and Buena Vista just a scenic drive away. A perfect basecamp for adventure and everyday living!
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2025-08-14$105,000 Active
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2025-08-13historical
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2025-07-28price $160,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Discover mountain-town living in this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Fairplay. The open floor plan connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas under vaulted ceilings—perfect for entertaining or relaxing after a day outdoors. The spacious primary suite offers a walk-in closet and a luxurious five-piece bath. Enjoy the convenience of a dedicated laundry room and the privacy of a fully fenced backyard. Ideally located within walking distance to Prather’s Market, local breweries, and the Summit Stage bus stop, with Breckenridge and Buena Vista just a scenic drive away. A perfect basecamp for adventure and everyday living!
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2025-07-11soldstatus $120,000 Closed
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2025-07-06$170,000 Active 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Discover mountain-town living in this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the heart of Fairplay. The open floor plan connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas under vaulted ceilings—perfect for entertaining or relaxing after a day outdoors. The spacious primary suite offers a walk-in closet and a luxurious five-piece bath. Enjoy the convenience of a dedicated laundry room and the privacy of a fully fenced backyard. Ideally located within walking distance to Prather’s Market, local breweries, and the Summit Stage bus stop, with Breckenridge and Buena Vista just a scenic drive away. A perfect basecamp for adventure and everyday living!
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2025-06-23status Pending Accepting Backup Offers
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2025-06-19soldstatus $125,000 Closed
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2025-06-07price $125,000
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2025-05-14$130,000 Active
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2025-05-01status Pending Accepting Backup Offers
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2025-04-06status Active
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2025-03-27status Pending
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2025-02-28price $125,000
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2025-01-13price $137,500
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2024-12-24$147,500 Active
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2024-10-15soldstatus $142,000 Closed
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2024-09-12soldstatus $135,000 Closed
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2024-08-30status Pending
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2024-08-24status Pending
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2024-07-24price $135,000
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2024-07-18$145,000 Active
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2024-07-18historical $145,000
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2024-06-21price $140,000
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2024-06-07soldstatus $130,000 Closed
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2024-05-31$150,000 Active
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2024-05-01status Pending
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2024-04-25$130,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $261 · $22/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $715 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- +$454/yr (+$38/mo · 173.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,773
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$261
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,382
- − Management
- −$2,382
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $13,034
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,128
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,300/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Park County School District No. Re-2
- NCES district ID
- 0803840
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,367
- Composite
- 30.72/100
- National rank
- #11416
- State rank
- #89 of 176 in CO
Livability — Fairplay
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #56
- US rank
- #5693
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Park County · 3,502 people
- City population
- 3,502
- Metro
- Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,502
- Household income
- $116,143
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 40.0
Population outlook (Park County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,411 people
- By 2030
- 17,584 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 17,261 · -0.9%
- By 2050
- 16,115 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 14,174 · -18.6%
- By 2100
- 11,928 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 14% Romanian 6% Italian 6%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Park
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.5) · D 40.2% · R 56.7% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.9pp · 2024: -16.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.5 2020: R+17.0 2016: R+26.4 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+6.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.95%
- Current HPI
- 311.6556
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed59 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $130,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-09 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-29 Price Changed $100,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $80,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $90,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-30 Price Changed $95,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-18 Price Changed $150,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-14 Listed $105,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-13 Coming Soon — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-28 Price Changed $160,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-11 Sold (MLS) $120,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-06 Listed $170,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-23 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-19 Sold (MLS) $125,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-07 Price Changed $125,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-14 Listed $130,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-01 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-06 Relisted — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-27 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-28 Price Changed $125,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-13 Price Changed $137,500 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-24 Listed $147,500 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-15 Sold (MLS) $142,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-12 Sold (MLS) $135,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-30 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-24 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-24 Price Changed $135,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-18 Listed $145,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-18 Coming Soon $145,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-21 Price Changed $140,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-07 Sold (MLS) $130,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-31 Listed $150,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-01 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-25 Listed $130,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-24 Coming Soon $130,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-10 Sold (MLS) $93,056 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-02-24 Listed $94,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-31 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-31 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-18 Price Changed $85,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-18 Price Changed $99,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-10-02 Sold (MLS) $89,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-24 Listed $93,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-21 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-21 Sold (MLS) $64,869 IRES
- 2020-09-21 Sold (MLS) $64,869 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-15 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-24 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-09 Listed $78,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-04-21 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-04-21 Listing Removed — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-04-06 Listed $89,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-04-06 Listed $89,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-31 Listed $78,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-31 Listed $78,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-30 Listed $65,000 IRES
- 2020-03-30 Listed $65,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-19 Listed $65,000 VMLS
Property tax history
+30.5%/yrLatest (2025): $261 · +207.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…