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719 Ulmer Lake Dr
D+ Composite 47.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$247,000

719 Ulmer Lake Dr · Walterboro, SC 29488
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,128 sqft · Manufactured · 129 Days on market
Built 2019 1.00 ac lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful 2019 Clayton Rockwell/Breeze 28x76 mobile home, large open living space, living room, dining room combination. Quiet country community, large lake view across the street on a large, open lot.

Key facts

  • Open lot
  • Lake view
  • 1 acre lot

Tags

LARGE OPEN LIVING SPACELAKE VIEWQUIET COUNTRY COMMUNITYOPEN LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership; No other structures listed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Manufactured / mobile home (double wide); One level
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Vinyl skirting
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; 1 - 2 acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Primary bedroom with walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat; Electric heat; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling - blown insulation; Garden tub with shower; Kitchen island; Walk-in closets; Eat-in kitchen; Family room; Living/dining combo; Pantry; Separate dining room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Electric dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $247k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $247k).
  • Recommended offer: $217k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#269 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Colleton 01 (rural): math 13% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #69 of 80 in SC (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Forest Hills Elementary (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #490 of 597 statewide, top 82%, 469 students, 100% FRL); Colleton County Middle (math 8% / reading 18%, grade F, #210 of 229 statewide, top 93%, 1,121 students, 100% FRL); Colleton County High (math 28% / reading 80%, grade C-, #137 of 196 statewide, top 70%, 1,497 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 69% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Colleton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Colleton County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $217,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.57%
Cash-on-cash
4.55%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-23,268
Equity at exit
$36,829
10-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,419
Equity at exit
$21,356

Cash invested: $69,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29488

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,493 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,295
Tax est. 1.5%
$309 /mo · $3,705/yr
Insurance
$103
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$524
Net cashflow
$263

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,161
Max offer price $247,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,750
Closing costs
$7,410
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $247,000 Active 129 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $247,000 Active 128 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $247,000 Active 127 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $247,000 Active 126 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $247,000 Active 124 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $247,000 Active 123 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $247,000 Active 120 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $247,000 Active 119 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $247,000 Active 118 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $247,000 Active 114 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $247,000 Active 113 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $247,000 Active 112 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $247,000 Active 111 DOM
  14. 2026-04-20
    price $250,000
  15. 2026-03-16
    price $265,000
  16. 2026-02-07
    listed $270,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,916
− Mortgage interest
−$13,836
− Property taxes
−$3,705
− Insurance
−$1,235
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,393
− Management
−$2,393
− Depreciation
−$7,185
Taxable loss
−$832
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$200
After-tax cash flow
$3,350/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Colleton 01
NCES district ID
4501830
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$33,128
Composite
16.66/100
National rank
#9171
State rank
#69 of 80 in SC

Livability — Walterboro

Score
57/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#21618

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
22,367
Population (ZIP)
22,367

Population outlook (Colleton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,932 people
By 2030
33,078 · -5.3%
By 2040
29,017 · -16.9%
By 2050
25,029 · -28.3%
By 2075
16,894 · -51.6%
By 2100
10,518 · -69.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Colleton

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.4% · R 58.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+9.5 2016: R+8.5 2012: D+0.2 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.20%
Current HPI
235.1237
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $250,000 Charleston Trident MLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $265,000 Charleston Trident MLS
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $270,000 Charleston Trident MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…