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144 Villa Dr
B- Composite 68.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

144 Villa Dr · Circleville, OH 43113
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured · 1 Days on market
Built 2018 $370/mo HOA · 28% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LOT RENT $190 INCLUDES TRASH PICKUP, WATER AND SEWAGE. 12X60 MATRONEW MOON MOBILE HOME.

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Play ground
  • Swimming pool

Tags

LARGE COVERED DECKDIAL-PANE WINDOWSAMISH-BUILT STORAGE SHEDCLUBHOUSESWIMMING POOLPLAY GROUND

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with clubhouse, pool, and sidewalks; Monthly HOA fee of $370 covering electricity

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Private sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-level home; Built in 2018; No shared/common walls
  • Construction: Other foundation type
  • Exterior features: Deck; Inground pool; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Insulated windows throughout; Gas log fireplace (one)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.9% in Circleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#437 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Circleville City (town): math 37% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #533 of 656 in OH (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 312 units permitted in Pickaway County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pickaway County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $9k; list at $65k implies a 621% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
Recommended offer $64,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.01%
Cap rate
10.20%
Cash-on-cash
13.96%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$3,199
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
14.3%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$21,131
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43113

Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,304 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $974/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$370
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,036
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$370 · $4,440/yr
Likely covers
watertrash

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $64,900 Active 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 695-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $64,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,645
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$974
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,252
− Management
−$1,252
− HOA
−$4,440
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$1,880
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$451
After-tax cash flow
$2,086/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Circleville City
NCES district ID
3904376
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$39,318
Composite
35.09/100
National rank
#5021
State rank
#533 of 656 in OH

Livability — Circleville

Score
71/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#7237

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Circleville, OH
County
Pickaway · 57,589 people
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
24,314
Household income
$63,715
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
7.4

Population outlook (Pickaway County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,488 people
By 2030
60,400 · +1.5%
By 2040
61,498 · +3.4%
By 2050
61,478 · +3.3%
By 2075
59,696 · +0.3%
By 2100
51,458 · -13.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Pickaway

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.5) · D 25.3% · R 73.8%
2008→2024 swing
-26.8pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -48.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.5 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+42.6 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+21.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -136.77%
Current HPI
241.5556
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+552.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Coming Soon $64,900 CBRMLS
  • 2000-03-29 Sold (MLS) $9,000 CBRMLS
  • 2000-03-01 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 1999-12-10 Listed $9,950 CBRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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