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3350 Rancho Grande
D Composite 40.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.7/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.1/10.0

$255,000

3350 Rancho Grande · San Antonio, TX 78224
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,944 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 121 Days on market
Built 2021 5,532 sqft lot $131/sqft · 7% below area Est $275k · 7% under $29/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home tucked away in a quiet, welcoming neighborhood. The open-concept main level features tile flooring throughout and a spacious kitchen complete with granite countertops, a pantry, dishwasher, and a convenient half bath for guests. Upstairs, all bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned for privacy, including a comfortable primary suite offering a full bathroom with double vanities and a walk-in closet. One of the secondary bedrooms also includes its own walk-in closet, while an additional loft or second living area provides flexible space for relaxing, working, or entertaining. The upstairs laundry room adds everyday convenience, along with a second full bathroom. Step outside to enjoy a two-car garage, a fully fenced backyard, and a covered patio with ceiling fans - perfect for gatherings or unwinding outdoors.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Covered patio
  • Granite countertops

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT MAIN LEVELGRANITE COUNTERTOPSWALK-IN CLOSETUPSTAIRS LAUNDRY ROOMFULLY FENCED BACKYARDCOVERED PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-525 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (36.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (27.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $162k (36.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Southwest ISD (rural): math 21% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #701 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Spicewood Park El (math 16% / reading 23%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 593 students, 93% FRL); Ronald E Mcnair Middle (math 27% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,103 of 1,662 statewide, top 67%, 748 students, 77% FRL); Southwest H S (math 17% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,152 students, 72% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 275 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,323 (36.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
3.82%
Cash-on-cash
-8.82%
DSCR
0.61
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$275,219
List price
$255,000
Delta
-7.35%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3522 Rancho Grande 0.19mi 3/2.5 1,947 (+0%) 5mo $238,000 $122 87
3411 Rancho Primera 0.11mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,948 (+0%) 6mo $205,000 $105 85
3382 Comanche Xing 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,959 (+1%) 10mo $258,450 $132 83
10303 Mission Arc 0.40mi 3/2.5 1,914 (-2%) 1mo $226,000 $118 78
10406 Labrado 0.25mi 3/2.5 2,088 (+7%) 2mo $260,000 $125 75
3006 Mission Bell 0.49mi 3/2.5 1,924 (-1%) 6mo $235,000 $122 70
3447 Old Almonte Dr 0.17mi 3/2.5 1,780 (-8%) 11mo $237,835 $134 69
3218 Comanche 0.27mi 3/2.5 1,773 (-9%) 7mo $235,000 $133 67
10015 Rancho Real 0.08mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,188 (+13%) 7mo $275,000 $126 64
10403 Caddo Pass 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,780 (-8%) 5mo $238,475 $134 57
3203 Coconino Dr 0.72mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,134 (+10%) 1mo $205,000 $96 42
11039 Valley Star 0.66mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,663 (-14%) 10mo $199,990 $120 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$101,687
Equity at exit
$229,724
10-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
5.46×
Total profit
$318,739
Equity at exit
$495,409

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78224

Home prices YoY
12.4%
Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
275
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,845 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$509 /mo · $6,113/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$29
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$-525

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,509
Max offer price $162,323
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-380 -5% $-452 +0% $-525 +5% $-597 +10% $-669
Rent -10% $-670 -5% $-597 +0% $-525 +5% $-452 +10% $-379
Rate -1.0pp $-396 -0.5pp $-460 base $-525 +0.5pp $-591 +1.0pp $-658

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10119 Jardin Verde San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1944 $1,750 $0.90 45d 1 0.05mi
3322 Rancho Grande San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2094 $1,895 $0.90 13d 1 0.08mi
3434 Hacienda Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2141 $2,000 $0.93 23d 1 0.11mi
3434 Hacienda Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2141 $1,900 $0.89 18d 1 0.11mi
3263 Rancho Grande San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,650 $1.10 25d 1 0.14mi
10414 Espada Pass San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1416 $1,600 $1.13 45d 1 0.14mi
3331 Rosita Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1848 $1,800 $0.97 45d 1 0.16mi
3523 Rancho Grande San Antonio, TX 4.0 3.0 2393 $2,000 $0.84 0d 1 0.17mi
12305 SW Loop 410 San Antonio, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1036 $1,318 $1.27 18d 1 0.25mi
3411 Avoca Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1426 $1,460 $1.02 6d 1 0.37mi
3411 Avoca Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1426 $1,460 $1.02 19d 1 0.37mi
10127 State Highway 16 S San Antonio, TX 2.0–4.0 2.0 1125 $1,200 $1.07 4d 26 0.49mi
9435 Dogwood Hl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,600 $1.05 45d 1 0.83mi
9422 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1419 $1,575 $1.11 45d 1 0.86mi
3723 Somers Crst San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,650 $1.08 45d 1 0.86mi
9427 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1950 $1,650 $0.85 45d 1 0.88mi
9402 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,600 $1.05 12d 1 0.88mi
9334 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1272 $1,515 $1.19 6d 1 0.89mi
9407 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1310 $1,525 $1.16 25d 1 0.90mi
3811 Somers Crst San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,650 $1.08 45d 1 0.91mi
9306 Somers Bnd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1420 $1,600 $1.13 25d 1 0.92mi
11318 Clearmine St Unit 103 South Southwest, TX 3.0 2.5 1362 $1,514 $1.11 45d 1 0.93mi
11318 Clearmine St Unit 104 South Southwest, TX 3.0 2.5 1362 $1,700 $1.25 45d 1 0.93mi
11318 Clearmine St #101 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1362 $1,700 $1.25 14d 1 0.93mi
9419 Trap Rock Dr San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2126 $1,750 $0.82 6d 1 0.93mi
11326 Clearmine St Unit 104 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1362 $1,614 $1.19 45d 1 0.95mi
9419 Graze Br San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1242 $1,550 $1.25 19d 1 0.98mi
2434 Dry Moss Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 2417 $2,500 $1.03 0d 1 1.01mi
4007 Somers Crst San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1242 $1,525 $1.23 6d 1 1.04mi
2350 Redlove Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1420 $1,675 $1.18 25d 1 1.08mi
2343 Applewhite Mdw San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1798 $1,795 $1.00 25d 1 1.10mi
2350 Dry Moss Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1420 $1,650 $1.16 45d 1 1.11mi
2335 Applewhite Mdw San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,550 $1.01 6d 1 1.11mi
2330 Redlove Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1420 $1,600 $1.13 6d 1 1.12mi
2318 Applewhite Mdw San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1798 $1,795 $1.00 25d 1 1.15mi
2307 Applewhite Mdw San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1798 $1,750 $0.97 45d 1 1.17mi
10610 Apple Pie Rd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1272 $1,595 $1.25 25d 1 1.22mi
2242 Fishing Trl San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1917 $1,785 $0.93 45d 1 1.26mi
2235 Fishing Trl San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1847 $1,755 $0.95 45d 1 1.26mi
2230 Fishing Trl San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1847 $1,755 $0.95 25d 1 1.29mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$29 · $348/yr

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $255,000 Active 121 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $255,000 Active 118 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $255,000 Active 117 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $255,000 Active 116 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $255,000 Active 115 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $255,000 Active 113 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $255,000 Active 109 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $255,000 Active 108 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $255,000 Active 107 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $255,000 Active 104 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $255,000 Active 103 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $255,000 Active 102 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $255,000 Active 101 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $255,000 Active 100 DOM
  15. 2026-02-20
    listed $255,000 New 866-char remark
    Show marketing remark (866 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home tucked away in a quiet, welcoming neighborhood. The open-concept main level features tile flooring throughout and a spacious kitchen complete with granite countertops, a pantry, dishwasher, and a convenient half bath for guests. Upstairs, all bedrooms are thoughtfully positioned for privacy, including a comfortable primary suite offering a full bathroom with double vanities and a walk-in closet. One of the secondary bedrooms also includes its own walk-in closet, while an additional loft or second living area provides flexible space for relaxing, working, or entertaining. The upstairs laundry room adds everyday convenience, along with a second full bathroom. Step outside to enjoy a two-car garage, a fully fenced backyard, and a covered patio with ceiling fans - perfect for gatherings or unwinding outdoors.

  16. 2024-07-02
    historical
  17. 2024-06-15
    price $259,900
  18. 2024-06-07
    price $262,000
  19. 2024-04-26
    price $267,500
  20. 2024-03-08
    listed $270,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,113 · $509/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,113 · $509/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,136
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$6,113
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,771
− Management
−$1,771
− HOA
−$348
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable loss
−$10,844
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,603
After-tax cash flow
$-3,693/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southwest ISD
NCES district ID
4840950
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,362
Composite
22.22/100
National rank
#8153
State rank
#701 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
22,232
Household income
$59,891
Rent vs Own
42.3% rent · 57.7% own
Severe rent burden
721.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 90% Two or more races 24% White 6% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 75%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
44% English-only · Spanish 55% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 29.95%
Current HPI
272.0709
Rent YoY
▲ 0.83%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $255,000 LERA
  • 2024-07-02 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2024-06-15 Price Changed $259,900 LERA
  • 2024-06-07 Price Changed $262,000 LERA
  • 2024-04-26 Price Changed $267,500 LERA
  • 2024-03-08 Listed $270,000 LERA

Property tax history

+52.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,113 · -10.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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