3933 Sarah Dr · Wesley Chapel, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.5/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
TERRACE PARK! Located in Wesley Chapel this is a great SMALL mobile home park just West of Zephyrhills. It has ALL the amenities that you want: recreation hall, heated swimming pool and shuffleboard. Plus, there are loads of activities that you choose to participate in! Fun galore! The home is a THREE bedroom, TWO bath with 1584 square feet. There’s room for your guest, plus an extra bedroom for your home office or craft/hobby room. The home is immaculately maintained. There’s fresh paint, designer details and it comes furnished! There is a formal dining area right off the kitchen. The kitchen is spacious with lots of cabinets plus a closet pantry in the kitchen AND another pantry located in the laundry room just off the kitchen. There is a convenient snack bar complete with bar stools too. The master bedroom is “split” from the other two and has a walk in closet plus has its own private bath. The bath has a solid surface vanity top, and a garden bath tub/shower combination. There’s also a linen closet located in the master bath. The other two bedrooms are at the opposite end of the house and share the hall bath. Outside there’s a 2 car carport attached and a large storage shed. Be the FIRST to see this! It’s a great Florida home. The park fees are indeed LOW at $20/month.
Key facts
- Covered carport
- Newer windows
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total annual fees listed as $551
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA; annual association fee required ($551 annually / $45.92 monthly); Association approval required; Community clubhouse; Community pool; Deed restrictions; Sidewalks; Golf carts allowed; Buyer approval required; Senior community; Pets allowed (dogs up to 20 lbs)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; Faces north
- Construction: Metal roof; Other construction materials; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Exterior storage; Corner lot; Paved lot/drive
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Split-bedroom layout; Blinds on windows
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Inside utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $896 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 3.7% in Wesley Chapel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#143 in FL, #2,137 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 638 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $135k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.44%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,672
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3921 Chris Dr | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (0%) | 8mo | $142,500 | $135 | 84 |
| 3914 Kim Dr | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (0%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $137 | 81 |
| 3915 Kiah Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+9%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $195 | 73 |
| 3924 Kiah Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (+8%) | 12mo | $215,000 | $188 | 68 |
| 3915 Julie Dr | 0.12mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 964 (-9%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $93 | 67 |
| 3906 Sarah Dr | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 936 (-11%) | 7mo | $128,000 | $137 | 67 |
| 33620 Isabelle Dr | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 962 (-9%) | 17mo | $170,000 | $177 | 58 |
| 3825 Julie Dr | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,188 (+12%) | 17mo | $160,000 | $135 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $28,685
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $73,314
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33543
- Home prices YoY
- -24.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 638
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,215 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $536/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$45
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $896
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33780 Charleston Club Cir Wesley Chapel, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 977 | $2,135 | $2.19 | 2d | 11 | 0.11mi |
| 3829 Kim Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,395 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 33976 Lusitano Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1251 | $2,895 | $2.31 | 12d | 71 | 0.61mi |
| 34002 Painthorse Way Wesley Chapel, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $2,945 | $2.88 | 2d | 46 | 0.67mi |
| 3030 Beaver Creek Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 36232 Lanier Oaks Pt , FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 34652 Blue Starling St Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 34747 Double Eagle Ct Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $1,650 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 5019 Coopers Hawk Pl Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,699 | $1.17 | 10d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $45 · $540/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$135,000 Active
-
2015-12-11soldstatus $52,000
-
2015-12-09soldstatus $52,000 Sold 1339-char remark
Show marketing remark (1339 chars)
TERRACE PARK! Located in Wesley Chapel this is a great SMALL mobile home park just West of Zephyrhills. It has ALL the amenities that you want: recreation hall, heated swimming pool and shuffleboard. Plus, there are loads of activities that you choose to participate in! Fun galore! The home is a THREE bedroom, TWO bath with 1584 square feet. There’s room for your guest, plus an extra bedroom for your home office or craft/hobby room. The home is immaculately maintained. There’s fresh paint, designer details and it comes furnished! There is a formal dining area right off the kitchen. The kitchen is spacious with lots of cabinets plus a closet pantry in the kitchen AND another pantry located in the laundry room just off the kitchen. There is a convenient snack bar complete with bar stools too. The master bedroom is “split” from the other two and has a walk in closet plus has its own private bath. The bath has a solid surface vanity top, and a garden bath tub/shower combination. There’s also a linen closet located in the master bath. The other two bedrooms are at the opposite end of the house and share the hall bath. Outside there’s a 2 car carport attached and a large storage shed. Be the FIRST to see this! It’s a great Florida home. The park fees are indeed LOW at $20/month.
-
2015-11-03status Pending 1339-char remark
Show marketing remark (1339 chars)
TERRACE PARK! Located in Wesley Chapel this is a great SMALL mobile home park just West of Zephyrhills. It has ALL the amenities that you want: recreation hall, heated swimming pool and shuffleboard. Plus, there are loads of activities that you choose to participate in! Fun galore! The home is a THREE bedroom, TWO bath with 1584 square feet. There’s room for your guest, plus an extra bedroom for your home office or craft/hobby room. The home is immaculately maintained. There’s fresh paint, designer details and it comes furnished! There is a formal dining area right off the kitchen. The kitchen is spacious with lots of cabinets plus a closet pantry in the kitchen AND another pantry located in the laundry room just off the kitchen. There is a convenient snack bar complete with bar stools too. The master bedroom is “split” from the other two and has a walk in closet plus has its own private bath. The bath has a solid surface vanity top, and a garden bath tub/shower combination. There’s also a linen closet located in the master bath. The other two bedrooms are at the opposite end of the house and share the hall bath. Outside there’s a 2 car carport attached and a large storage shed. Be the FIRST to see this! It’s a great Florida home. The park fees are indeed LOW at $20/month.
-
2015-09-16status Active 1339-char remark
Show marketing remark (1339 chars)
TERRACE PARK! Located in Wesley Chapel this is a great SMALL mobile home park just West of Zephyrhills. It has ALL the amenities that you want: recreation hall, heated swimming pool and shuffleboard. Plus, there are loads of activities that you choose to participate in! Fun galore! The home is a THREE bedroom, TWO bath with 1584 square feet. There’s room for your guest, plus an extra bedroom for your home office or craft/hobby room. The home is immaculately maintained. There’s fresh paint, designer details and it comes furnished! There is a formal dining area right off the kitchen. The kitchen is spacious with lots of cabinets plus a closet pantry in the kitchen AND another pantry located in the laundry room just off the kitchen. There is a convenient snack bar complete with bar stools too. The master bedroom is “split” from the other two and has a walk in closet plus has its own private bath. The bath has a solid surface vanity top, and a garden bath tub/shower combination. There’s also a linen closet located in the master bath. The other two bedrooms are at the opposite end of the house and share the hall bath. Outside there’s a 2 car carport attached and a large storage shed. Be the FIRST to see this! It’s a great Florida home. The park fees are indeed LOW at $20/month.
-
2015-08-24status Pending 1339-char remark
Show marketing remark (1339 chars)
TERRACE PARK! Located in Wesley Chapel this is a great SMALL mobile home park just West of Zephyrhills. It has ALL the amenities that you want: recreation hall, heated swimming pool and shuffleboard. Plus, there are loads of activities that you choose to participate in! Fun galore! The home is a THREE bedroom, TWO bath with 1584 square feet. There’s room for your guest, plus an extra bedroom for your home office or craft/hobby room. The home is immaculately maintained. There’s fresh paint, designer details and it comes furnished! There is a formal dining area right off the kitchen. The kitchen is spacious with lots of cabinets plus a closet pantry in the kitchen AND another pantry located in the laundry room just off the kitchen. There is a convenient snack bar complete with bar stools too. The master bedroom is “split” from the other two and has a walk in closet plus has its own private bath. The bath has a solid surface vanity top, and a garden bath tub/shower combination. There’s also a linen closet located in the master bath. The other two bedrooms are at the opposite end of the house and share the hall bath. Outside there’s a 2 car carport attached and a large storage shed. Be the FIRST to see this! It’s a great Florida home. The park fees are indeed LOW at $20/month.
-
2015-07-17status Active 1339-char remark
Show marketing remark (1339 chars)
TERRACE PARK! Located in Wesley Chapel this is a great SMALL mobile home park just West of Zephyrhills. It has ALL the amenities that you want: recreation hall, heated swimming pool and shuffleboard. Plus, there are loads of activities that you choose to participate in! Fun galore! The home is a THREE bedroom, TWO bath with 1584 square feet. There’s room for your guest, plus an extra bedroom for your home office or craft/hobby room. The home is immaculately maintained. There’s fresh paint, designer details and it comes furnished! There is a formal dining area right off the kitchen. The kitchen is spacious with lots of cabinets plus a closet pantry in the kitchen AND another pantry located in the laundry room just off the kitchen. There is a convenient snack bar complete with bar stools too. The master bedroom is “split” from the other two and has a walk in closet plus has its own private bath. The bath has a solid surface vanity top, and a garden bath tub/shower combination. There’s also a linen closet located in the master bath. The other two bedrooms are at the opposite end of the house and share the hall bath. Outside there’s a 2 car carport attached and a large storage shed. Be the FIRST to see this! It’s a great Florida home. The park fees are indeed LOW at $20/month.
-
2015-07-13historical 1339-char remark
Show marketing remark (1339 chars)
TERRACE PARK! Located in Wesley Chapel this is a great SMALL mobile home park just West of Zephyrhills. It has ALL the amenities that you want: recreation hall, heated swimming pool and shuffleboard. Plus, there are loads of activities that you choose to participate in! Fun galore! The home is a THREE bedroom, TWO bath with 1584 square feet. There’s room for your guest, plus an extra bedroom for your home office or craft/hobby room. The home is immaculately maintained. There’s fresh paint, designer details and it comes furnished! There is a formal dining area right off the kitchen. The kitchen is spacious with lots of cabinets plus a closet pantry in the kitchen AND another pantry located in the laundry room just off the kitchen. There is a convenient snack bar complete with bar stools too. The master bedroom is “split” from the other two and has a walk in closet plus has its own private bath. The bath has a solid surface vanity top, and a garden bath tub/shower combination. There’s also a linen closet located in the master bath. The other two bedrooms are at the opposite end of the house and share the hall bath. Outside there’s a 2 car carport attached and a large storage shed. Be the FIRST to see this! It’s a great Florida home. The park fees are indeed LOW at $20/month.
-
2015-03-05$57,900 Active 1339-char remark
Show marketing remark (1339 chars)
TERRACE PARK! Located in Wesley Chapel this is a great SMALL mobile home park just West of Zephyrhills. It has ALL the amenities that you want: recreation hall, heated swimming pool and shuffleboard. Plus, there are loads of activities that you choose to participate in! Fun galore! The home is a THREE bedroom, TWO bath with 1584 square feet. There’s room for your guest, plus an extra bedroom for your home office or craft/hobby room. The home is immaculately maintained. There’s fresh paint, designer details and it comes furnished! There is a formal dining area right off the kitchen. The kitchen is spacious with lots of cabinets plus a closet pantry in the kitchen AND another pantry located in the laundry room just off the kitchen. There is a convenient snack bar complete with bar stools too. The master bedroom is “split” from the other two and has a walk in closet plus has its own private bath. The bath has a solid surface vanity top, and a garden bath tub/shower combination. There’s also a linen closet located in the master bath. The other two bedrooms are at the opposite end of the house and share the hall bath. Outside there’s a 2 car carport attached and a large storage shed. Be the FIRST to see this! It’s a great Florida home. The park fees are indeed LOW at $20/month.
-
2014-06-10historical
-
2013-12-13$59,000 Active
-
2011-10-12soldstatus $25,000
-
2011-05-19$25,000
-
2008-08-29$65,000
-
2007-10-01$53,000
-
2007-03-25$74,900
-
2003-09-08soldstatus $44,000
-
1996-09-30soldstatus $31,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $536 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,120 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$585/yr (+$49/mo · 109.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,580
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$536
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,126
- − Management
- −$2,126
- − HOA
- −$540
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $9,087
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,181
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,571/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wesley Chapel
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #2137
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wesley Chapel, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- City population
- 100,771
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,648
- Household income
- $107,349
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 407.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 15% Black 12% Asian 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.13%
- Current HPI
- 263.2513
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.37%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+328.6% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2015-12-09 Sold (MLS) $52,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-11-03 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-16 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-24 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-17 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-13 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-05 Listed $57,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-10 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-12-13 Listed $59,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-10-12 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-05-19 Listed $25,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-29 Listed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-01 Listed $53,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-25 Listed $74,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
- 1996-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $536 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…