1508 NW Lake Ave · Lawton, OK
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$72,800
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property sold AS IS.
Key facts
- 7,200 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1939
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: $730 annual tax
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered parking space; 1 total parking space; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Composition roof; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Gas water heater; No fireplace; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $73k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 6.1% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
- Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Washington Es (192 students, 0% FRL); Central Ms (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #153 of 345 statewide, top 45%, 994 students, 0% FRL); Lawton Hs (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #302 of 447 statewide, top 68%, 1,417 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 208 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $503 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 12% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $73k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.38%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $116,727
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1407 NW Lake Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-6%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $73 | 73 |
| 1712 NW Bell Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-6%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $67 | 71 |
| 1505 NW Lake Ave | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-12%) | 4mo | $61,001 | $44 | 70 |
| 1705 NW Lake Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,416 (-11%) | 1mo | $179,000 | $126 | 68 |
| 1711 NW Liberty Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,608 (+1%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $34 | 60 |
| 2105 NW Columbia Ave | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,700 (+6%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $88 | 59 |
| 204 SW 16th St | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,400 (-12%) | 8mo | $5,000 | $4 | 57 |
| 1707 SW C Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-6%) | 8mo | $67,000 | $45 | 56 |
| 1315 NW Ash Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-12%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $107 | 51 |
| 1106 NW Elm Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-6%) | 4mo | $149,000 | $99 | 47 |
| 206 NW 7th St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-6%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $43 | 43 |
| 1515 SW H Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-12%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $86 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $9,548
- Equity at exit
- $10,855
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $28,339
- Equity at exit
- $6,294
Cash invested: $20,384 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73507
- Home prices YoY
- -23.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 208
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,063 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$382
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $566/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $380
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $421 | -5% $401 | +0% $380 | +5% $360 | +10% $339 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $296 | -5% $338 | +0% $380 | +5% $422 | +10% $464 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $417 | -0.5pp $399 | base $380 | +0.5pp $361 | +1.0pp $342 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,200
- Closing costs
- $2,184
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $72,800 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $72,800 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $72,800 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $72,800 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $72,800 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $72,800 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $72,800 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $72,800 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $72,800 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,800 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 57-char remark
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $72,800 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $56,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $56,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $56,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $56,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-04-22status Active
-
2026-04-22price $56,900
-
2026-03-24historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-18$64,900 Active
-
2022-08-10soldstatus $44,000 20-char remark
Show marketing remark (20 chars)
Property sold AS IS.
-
2022-06-01$44,000 20-char remark
Show marketing remark (20 chars)
Property sold AS IS.
-
2013-10-01soldstatus $31,801 96-char remark
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
THIS IS A NICE 3 bedroom, 2 bath home close to schools and shopping. Just minutes from Ft Sill.
-
2013-06-14$35,200 96-char remark
Show marketing remark (96 chars)
THIS IS A NICE 3 bedroom, 2 bath home close to schools and shopping. Just minutes from Ft Sill.
-
2008-06-16soldstatus $87,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $566 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $655 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$89/yr (+$7/mo · 15.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,752
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,078
- − Property taxes
- −$566
- − Insurance
- −$364
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,020
- − Management
- −$1,020
- − Depreciation
- −$2,118
- Taxable income
- $3,586
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$861
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,702/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawton
- NCES district ID
- 4017250
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,618
- Composite
- 19.68/100
- National rank
- #8732
- State rank
- #137 of 270 in OK
Livability — Lawton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #15131
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawton, OK
- County
- Comanche County · 96,361 people
- City population
- 89,233
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,046
- Household income
- $62,132
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 979.0
Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 124,518 people
- By 2030
- 124,231 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 122,193 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 120,368 · -3.3%
- By 2075
- 120,492 · -3.2%
- By 2100
- 123,113 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Black 13% Native American 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Comanche
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.48%
- Current HPI
- 127.057
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.25%
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-35.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — LBRMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $56,900 LBRMLS
- 2026-03-24 Contingent — LBRMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $64,900 LBRMLS
- 2022-08-10 Sold (MLS) $44,000 LBRMLS
- 2022-06-01 Listed $44,000 LBRMLS
- 2013-10-01 Sold (MLS) $31,801 LBRMLS
- 2013-06-14 Listed $35,200 LBRMLS
- 2008-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $566 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…