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B- Composite 65.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

883 Richmond Ave · Buffalo, NY 14222
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,464 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1900 Est $313k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

* * Attention Investors, Flippers, and DIY Enthusiasts! * * Bring your vision to this classic turn-of-the-century American Foursquare duplex located on highly desirable Richmond Avenue. Situated in the heart of Buffalo, this property offers incredible upside potential and is being sold strictly * * AS-IS * * as a * * Handyman Special * * . This property features highly sought-after, completely separate mechanicals. Tenants pay their own gas and electric, with the landlord only responsible for the shared water bill. The full basement also provides separate, dedicated washer and dryer hookups for both units. * * Property Status & amp; Renovation Needs: * * This home require

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • Built 1900

Tags

FULL BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1900
  • Construction: Original construction from 1900
  • Exterior features: Located in the Forest subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $859 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $430/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,351/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 978% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $300k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $300,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.73%
Cash-on-cash
12.27%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$312,928
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
559 Potomac Ave 0.26mi 6/2.0 2,402 (-2%) 6mo $437,500 $182 78
60 Granger Pl 0.24mi 6/2.5 2,228 (-10%) 1mo $300,000 $135 70
414 Hoyt St 0.29mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,640 (+7%) 6mo $209,900 $80 64
289 Hoyt St 0.38mi 6/2.0 2,232 (-9%) 8mo $270,000 $121 60
433 Parkdale Ave 0.32mi 6/2.0 2,200 (-11%) 9mo $280,000 $127 60
575 Auburn Ave 0.62mi 6/3.0 2,456 (-0%) 9mo $380,000 $155 59
88 Pooley Pl 0.53mi 6/2.0 2,288 (-7%) 7mo $270,000 $118 58
215 Baynes St 0.47mi 6/2.0 2,660 (+8%) 8mo $255,000 $96 58
1598 Delaware Ave 0.64mi 6/2.0 2,580 (+5%) 6mo $380,000 $147 57
391 Hoyt St 0.27mi 6/2.0 2,112 (-14%) 8mo $308,000 $146 57
315 Herkimer St 0.73mi 6/2.0 2,303 (-6%) 2mo $148,000 $64 54
38 Ardmore Pl 0.44mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,121 (-14%) 6mo $230,000 $108 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.69% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$11,771
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$104,808
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14222

Home prices YoY
-31.4%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
14.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,351 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$704
Net cashflow
$859

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,264
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 69%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,351

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15 Hughes Ave Buffalo, NY 7.0 2.0 1650 $3,000 $1.82 43d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 695-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $300,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,080 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,075 · $256/mo
Expected delta
+$1,995/yr (+$166/mo · 184.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,212
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$1,080
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,217
− Management
−$3,217
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable income
$5,666
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,360
After-tax cash flow
$8,949/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
15,311
Household income
$81,652
Rent vs Own
60.1% rent · 39.9% own
Severe rent burden
978.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -205.10%
Current HPI
448.3711
Rent YoY
▲ 4.69%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $300,000 FSBO.com
  • 1999-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,080 · -14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…