4912 NW 3rd Ave, Lot 940 · Deerfield Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CALL TODAY TO VIEW THIS BEAUTIFULL, SPACIOUS AND WELL MAINTAINED HOME WITH 2 BEROOMS, 2 BATH'S AND CENTRAL AIR THAT IS ONLY 3 YEARS OLD. COUNTRY KNOLLS IS A 55+ COMMUNITY, ONLY 3 MILES TO THE DESIRABLE BEACH OF DEERFIELD. THE WORRY-FREE SOUTH FLORIDA LIFESTYLE, WITH AMENITIES GALORE. CALL TODAY FOR AN APPOINTMENT. IT WON'T LAST!!! LOT RENTAL $1,015 MONTLY.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
- Built 1977
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with breed restrictions
- HOA & community: Senior community; Community amenities include: pool, clubhouse, community room, library, billiard room, picnic area, laundry, dog park, shuffleboard court, pickleball courts, on-site manager
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Attached covered carport; Covered parking (2 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water and sewer available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Entry level living area; Faces northwest
- Construction: Metal siding; Modular construction; Metal roof (manufactured)
- Exterior features: Porch; Screened porch; No waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (main level)
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling (central air)
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Screened porch
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.3% vs local median 4.2% in Deerfield Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#250 in FL, #3,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools D-, amenities D-, employment D-.
- Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 591 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.40%
- DSCR
- 4.18
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $199,584
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5279 NW 4th Ter | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,196 (-3%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $146 | 79 |
| 261 NW 53rd Ct | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,300 (+6%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $162 | 72 |
| 303 NW 50th St | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-6%) | 21mo | $79,000 | $69 | 68 |
| 126 NW 51st St | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,389 (+13%) | 23mo | $275,000 | $198 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 69.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.08×
- Total profit
- $68,133
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 73.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.04×
- Total profit
- $155,696
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33064
- Home prices YoY
- -18.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 591
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,357 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$495
- Net cashflow
- $1,316
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1947 Discovery Cir E Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1126 | $2,450 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 640 Cypress Club Way Unit G Pompano Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 891 | $1,950 | $2.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 551 NW 46th St Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $2,485 | $2.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 631 Cypress Lake Blvd Unit P17 Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 807 | $1,950 | $2.42 | 11d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 631 Cypress Lake Blvd Unit O17 Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 807 | $2,100 | $2.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4503 NW 6th Ave Deerfield Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,850 | $2.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 616 NW 47th St Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 793 | $2,495 | $3.15 | 4d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 624 NW 47th St Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 793 | $2,100 | $2.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 800 Cypress Park Way Unit F1 Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 807 | $2,000 | $2.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 800 Cypress Park Way Unit M Pompano Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 807 | $2,000 | $2.48 | 1d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 671 Cypress Lake Blvd Unit D21 Deerfield Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $2,250 | $2.31 | 11d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 661 Cypress Lake Blvd Unit I20 Deerfield Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $2,300 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 661 Cypress Lake Blvd Unit I20 Deerfield Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $2,250 | $2.31 | 1d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2246 Discovery Cir W Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,650 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2149 Discovery Cir W Unit 1 Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,850 | $2.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 220 NW 43rd Ct Deerfield Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $2,700 | $1.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4325 NW 5th Ave Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 953 | $2,249 | $2.36 | 10d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4740 NE 2nd Ter Deerfield Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,250 | $3.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4740 NE 2nd Ter Deerfield Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,250 | $3.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2173 Discovery Cir W Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1126 | $2,950 | $2.62 | 2d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2217 Discovery Cir W Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $2,400 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4905 NE 2nd Way Pompano Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,150 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 265 NE 46th St Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1335 | $2,250 | $1.69 | 17d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4313 NW 6th Ave Deerfield Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $2,850 | $2.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 220 NW 43rd St Deerfield Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1929 SW 15th St #41 Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,400 | $2.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4332 NW 1st Ter Deerfield Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1095 | $3,000 | $2.74 | 5d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4332 NW 1st Ter Deerfield Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1095 | $3,000 | $2.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2067 SW 15th St Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,300 | $2.00 | 20d | 2 | 0.52mi |
| 540 NW 43rd St Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,500 | $2.17 | 18d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 351 NW 42nd Ct Apt 205 Pompano Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,899 | $2.37 | 14d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 331 NW 42nd Ct Unit 101 Pompano Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,799 | $2.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 311 NW 42nd Ct #101 Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,799 | $2.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4450 Military Trl Unit 22 Pompano Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,950 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 651 NW 42nd Ct #214 Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $1,695 | $2.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 145 NW 41st Ct #11 Deerfield Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1004 | $2,490 | $2.48 | 19d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4394 NW 9th Ave Unit 20-1A Deerfield Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,700 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4354 NW 9th Ave Unit 12-3D Pompano Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,000 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4344 NW 9th Ave Unit 10-2B Pompano Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,730 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4314 NW 9th Ave Deerfield Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 992 | $1,940 | $1.95 | 14d | 2 | 0.63mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $79,000
-
2026-01-05$89,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,285
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,263
- − Management
- −$2,263
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $15,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,709
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,084/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Broward
- NCES district ID
- 1200180
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,139
- Composite
- 40.88/100
- National rank
- #3621
- State rank
- #46 of 73 in FL
Livability — Deerfield Beach
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #250
- US rank
- #3970
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Deerfield Beach, FL
- County
- Broward County · 1,963,430 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,563
- Household income
- $71,301
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2907.0
Population outlook (Broward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,207,033 people
- By 2030
- 2,360,704 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 2,661,208 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 2,946,698 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 3,602,273 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 3,970,984 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 34% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 25% Two or more races 24% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 13% Estonian 10% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 43% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 23% French/Haitian/Cajun 16% Other Indo-European 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Broward
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.0) · D 58.0% · R 41.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 17.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.0 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.09%
- Current HPI
- 474.7007
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.75%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-12.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $79,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $89,900 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…