CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
412 Church St
D+ Composite 45.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.7/30.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0

$359,000

412 Church St · Hawley, PA 18428
6 bd · 3.5 ba · 3,526 sqft · SingleFamily · 76 Days on market
Built 1910 6,534 sqft lot $102/sqft · at area comps Est $377k · at est. ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Endless possibilities in the heart of Hawley Borough! This charming brick, two-story home blends classic character with fresh modern updates, featuring a freshly painted and remodeled interior ready for its next owner. The main residence offers spacious living areas, ample bedrooms, for a large family plus an unfinished attic with incredible potential to be transformed into additional living space, a family room, a home office, or bonus room. A unique highlight of this property is its two separate entrances--one serving the residence and the other leading to what was formerly a jewelry store storefront, making it ideal for a home business, boutique, office, studio, or flexible mixed-use opportunity. Outside, you'll find a detached two-car garage topped w/ a one-bedroom apartment, perfect for rental income, guests, in-laws, or a private workshop/workspace. The property also offers private, off-street parking, city sewer, and well water, all within desirable Hawley Borough, just moments from shops, dining, Bingham Park, Lake Wallenpaupack and local amenities. A rare chance to own a live/work property with income potential and expansion possibilities in one of Hawley's most sought-after locations!

Key facts

  • Remodeled interior
  • Income potential
  • 6,534 sq ft lot

Tags

FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIORREMODELED INTERIORTWO SEPARATE ENTRANCESDETACHED TWO-CAR GARAGEPRIVATE OFF-STREET PARKINGINCOME POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $359k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-304 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $315k (12.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $276k (23.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $276k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.0% in Hawley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#898 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $38k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$62k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($337k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $275,530 (23.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.28%
Cash-on-cash
-3.63%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$376,794
List price
$359,000
Delta
-4.72%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
406 Spring St 0.07mi 6/3.0 3,200 (-9%) 21mo $360,000 $113 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$176,183
Equity at exit
$323,416
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
6.31×
Total profit
$534,152
Equity at exit
$697,458

Cash invested: $100,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18428

Home prices YoY
9.2%
Active inventory
371
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,755 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,883
Tax est. 1.5%
$449 /mo · $5,385/yr
Insurance
$150
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$579
Net cashflow
$-304

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,140
Max offer price $314,970
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-56 -5% $-180 +0% $-304 +5% $-428 +10% $-552
Rent -10% $-522 -5% $-413 +0% $-304 +5% $-195 +10% $-87
Rate -1.0pp $-123 -0.5pp $-213 base $-304 +0.5pp $-397 +1.0pp $-492

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$89,750
Closing costs
$10,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $359,000 Active 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $359,000 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $359,000 Active 74 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $359,000 Active 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $359,000 Active 71 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $359,000 Active 70 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $369,000 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $369,000 Active 66 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $369,000 Active 65 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $369,000 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $369,000 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $369,000 Active 60 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $369,000 Active 59 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $369,000 Active 58 DOM
  15. 2026-04-03
    listed $369,000 Active 1213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1213 chars)

    Endless possibilities in the heart of Hawley Borough! This charming brick, two-story home blends classic character with fresh modern updates, featuring a freshly painted and remodeled interior ready for its next owner. The main residence offers spacious living areas, ample bedrooms, for a large family plus an unfinished attic with incredible potential to be transformed into additional living space, a family room, a home office, or bonus room. A unique highlight of this property is its two separate entrances--one serving the residence and the other leading to what was formerly a jewelry store storefront, making it ideal for a home business, boutique, office, studio, or flexible mixed-use opportunity. Outside, you'll find a detached two-car garage topped w/ a one-bedroom apartment, perfect for rental income, guests, in-laws, or a private workshop/workspace. The property also offers private, off-street parking, city sewer, and well water, all within desirable Hawley Borough, just moments from shops, dining, Bingham Park, Lake Wallenpaupack and local amenities. A rare chance to own a live/work property with income potential and expansion possibilities in one of Hawley's most sought-after locations!

  16. 2025-12-10
    price $339,000
  17. 2025-12-10
    price $339,000
  18. 2025-11-28
    price $344,000
  19. 2025-11-28
    price $344,000
  20. 2025-10-12
    price $349,000
  21. 2025-10-12
    price $349,000
  22. 2025-09-17
    price $359,000
  23. 2025-09-15
    price $359,000
  24. 2025-08-12
    price $369,000
  25. 2025-08-11
    price $369,000
  26. 2025-07-07
    price $375,000
  27. 2025-06-18
    listed $375,000 Active
  28. 2025-06-18
    listed $385,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,064
− Mortgage interest
−$20,110
− Property taxes
−$5,385
− Insurance
−$1,795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,645
− Management
−$2,645
− Depreciation
−$10,444
Taxable loss
−$9,960
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,390
After-tax cash flow
$-1,261/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wallenpaupack Area SD
NCES district ID
4224750
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,027
Composite
41.97/100
National rank
#3345
State rank
#192 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hawley

Score
68/100
State rank
#898
US rank
#9570

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hawley, PA
Population (ZIP)
12,446

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,924 people
By 2030
46,191 · -3.6%
By 2040
42,815 · -10.7%
By 2050
39,873 · -16.8%
By 2075
34,556 · -27.9%
By 2100
28,358 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.1) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-24.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -37.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.1 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 28.60%
Current HPI
340.8254
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.6% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $369,000 PWMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $339,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $339,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-11-28 Price Changed $344,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-11-28 Price Changed $344,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-10-12 Price Changed $349,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-10-12 Price Changed $349,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-09-17 Price Changed $359,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-09-15 Price Changed $359,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-08-12 Price Changed $369,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-08-11 Price Changed $369,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-07-07 Price Changed $375,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $385,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $375,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…