412 Church St · Hawley, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
$359,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Endless possibilities in the heart of Hawley Borough! This charming brick, two-story home blends classic character with fresh modern updates, featuring a freshly painted and remodeled interior ready for its next owner. The main residence offers spacious living areas, ample bedrooms, for a large family plus an unfinished attic with incredible potential to be transformed into additional living space, a family room, a home office, or bonus room. A unique highlight of this property is its two separate entrances--one serving the residence and the other leading to what was formerly a jewelry store storefront, making it ideal for a home business, boutique, office, studio, or flexible mixed-use opportunity. Outside, you'll find a detached two-car garage topped w/ a one-bedroom apartment, perfect for rental income, guests, in-laws, or a private workshop/workspace. The property also offers private, off-street parking, city sewer, and well water, all within desirable Hawley Borough, just moments from shops, dining, Bingham Park, Lake Wallenpaupack and local amenities. A rare chance to own a live/work property with income potential and expansion possibilities in one of Hawley's most sought-after locations!
Key facts
- Remodeled interior
- Income potential
- 6,534 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $359k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-304 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $315k (12.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $276k (23.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $276k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.0% in Hawley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#898 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $38k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$62k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($337k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.63%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $376,794
- List price
- $359,000
- Delta
- -4.72%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 Spring St | 0.07mi | 6/3.0 | 3,200 (-9%) | 21mo | $360,000 | $113 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $176,183
- Equity at exit
- $323,416
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.31×
- Total profit
- $534,152
- Equity at exit
- $697,458
Cash invested: $100,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18428
- Home prices YoY
- 9.2%
- Active inventory
- 371
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,755 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,883
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$449 /mo · $5,385/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$579
- Net cashflow
- $-304
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-56 | -5% $-180 | +0% $-304 | +5% $-428 | +10% $-552 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-522 | -5% $-413 | +0% $-304 | +5% $-195 | +10% $-87 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-123 | -0.5pp $-213 | base $-304 | +0.5pp $-397 | +1.0pp $-492 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,750
- Closing costs
- $10,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $359,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $359,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $359,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $359,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $359,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $359,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $369,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $369,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $369,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $369,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $369,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $369,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $369,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $369,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-04-03$369,000 Active 1213-char remark
Show marketing remark (1213 chars)
Endless possibilities in the heart of Hawley Borough! This charming brick, two-story home blends classic character with fresh modern updates, featuring a freshly painted and remodeled interior ready for its next owner. The main residence offers spacious living areas, ample bedrooms, for a large family plus an unfinished attic with incredible potential to be transformed into additional living space, a family room, a home office, or bonus room. A unique highlight of this property is its two separate entrances--one serving the residence and the other leading to what was formerly a jewelry store storefront, making it ideal for a home business, boutique, office, studio, or flexible mixed-use opportunity. Outside, you'll find a detached two-car garage topped w/ a one-bedroom apartment, perfect for rental income, guests, in-laws, or a private workshop/workspace. The property also offers private, off-street parking, city sewer, and well water, all within desirable Hawley Borough, just moments from shops, dining, Bingham Park, Lake Wallenpaupack and local amenities. A rare chance to own a live/work property with income potential and expansion possibilities in one of Hawley's most sought-after locations!
-
2025-12-10price $339,000
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2025-12-10price $339,000
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2025-11-28price $344,000
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2025-11-28price $344,000
-
2025-10-12price $349,000
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2025-10-12price $349,000
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2025-09-17price $359,000
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2025-09-15price $359,000
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2025-08-12price $369,000
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2025-08-11price $369,000
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2025-07-07price $375,000
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2025-06-18$375,000 Active
-
2025-06-18$385,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,110
- − Property taxes
- −$5,385
- − Insurance
- −$1,795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,645
- − Management
- −$2,645
- − Depreciation
- −$10,444
- Taxable loss
- −$9,960
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,390
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,261/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wallenpaupack Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4224750
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,027
- Composite
- 41.97/100
- National rank
- #3345
- State rank
- #192 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hawley
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #898
- US rank
- #9570
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hawley, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,446
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,924 people
- By 2030
- 46,191 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 42,815 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 39,873 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 34,556 · -27.9%
- By 2100
- 28,358 · -40.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.1) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -37.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.1 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 28.60%
- Current HPI
- 340.8254
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-1.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $369,000 PWMLS
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $339,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $339,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-11-28 Price Changed $344,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-11-28 Price Changed $344,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-10-12 Price Changed $349,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-10-12 Price Changed $349,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-09-17 Price Changed $359,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-09-15 Price Changed $359,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $369,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-08-11 Price Changed $369,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-07-07 Price Changed $375,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-06-18 Listed $385,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-06-18 Listed $375,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…