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321 Madison St
D Composite 40.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$137,000

321 Madison St · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31210
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,002 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 2021 5,227 sqft lot ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath home featuring stylish LVP flooring throughout and a functional open layout. The kitchen is equipped with stainless steel appliances, and the washer and dryer will remain with the property for added convenience. Enjoy outdoor living on the spacious deck overlooking a fenced backyard, perfect for entertaining, pets, or relaxing evenings. Conveniently located just a short distance from Mercer University and Atrium Health Navicent, offering easy access to dining, shopping, medical facilities, and campus activities.

Key facts

  • Open layout
  • Spacious deck
  • Lvp flooring

Tags

LVP FLOORINGOPEN LAYOUTSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESSPACIOUS DECKFENCED BACKYARDOUTDOOR LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.12 acres; Located in Collinsville subdivision; Address: 321 Madison Street, Macon, GA 31210
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking with a parking pad
  • Security: Security system
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story; Resale property
  • Construction: Built in 2021; Composition roof; Block foundation; Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Deck; Fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms, both on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Dining room and living room combo; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in hall

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $137k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($705/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (12.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $120k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.5% in Macon-Bibb County — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Williams Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,160 of 1,228 statewide, top 98%, 349 students, 100% FRL); Miller Magnet Middle School (math 16% / reading 33%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 585 students, 100% FRL); Central High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 844 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 238 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $947 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,829 (12.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.84%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$62,124
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1554 Walnut St 0.26mi 2/1.0 1,008 (+1%) 1mo $35,000 $35 82
191 Madison St 0.14mi 2/1.0 1,024 (+2%) 10mo $30,000 $29 78
349 Madison St 0.04mi 2/1.0 896 (-11%) 2mo $26,000 $29 74
273 Madison St 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+5%) 20mo $125,000 $118 66
1438 2nd Ave 0.13mi 2/1.0 894 (-11%) 13mo $15,000 $17 61
827 Tattnall St 0.53mi 2/2.0 918 (-8%) 2mo $145,000 $158 60
295 Moughon St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,015 (+1%) 20mo $62,700 $62 49
293 Moughon St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,015 (+1%) 20mo $62,700 $62 49
195 Forest Ave 0.63mi 2/2.0 872 (-13%) 7mo $17,000 $19 43
1930 Mallory Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,029 (+3%) 15mo $72,900 $71 41
1959 3rd Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 902 (-10%) 21mo $27,500 $30 38
1930 Northbrook Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,071 (+7%) 9mo $130,000 $121 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-20,012
Equity at exit
$20,427
10-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-18,821
Equity at exit
$11,845

Cash invested: $38,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31210

Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
238
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,198 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$718
Tax from tax record
$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
Insurance
$57
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,124
Max offer price $137,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $136 -5% $98 +0% $59 +5% $20 +10% $-19
Rent -10% $-36 -5% $11 +0% $59 +5% $106 +10% $153
Rate -1.0pp $128 -0.5pp $94 base $59 +0.5pp $23 +1.0pp $-13

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,250
Closing costs
$4,110
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
391 Madison St Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,350 $1.09 15d 1 0.09mi
347 College St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 725 $2,600 $3.59 15d 4 0.11mi
1417 Woodliff St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 908 $1,100 $1.21 23d 1 0.18mi
1094 Georgia Ave Unit C Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 1125 $1,350 $1.20 15d 1 0.25mi
218 Orange St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 23d 1 0.28mi
147 Orange St Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,695 $1.13 15d 1 0.32mi
991 Magnolia St Unit 3 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 800 $750 $0.94 45d 1 0.35mi
952 Georgia Ave Unit 3 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 15d 1 0.39mi
952 Georgia Ave Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1115 $1,295 $1.16 45d 1 0.39mi
941 Hill Park Unit 2 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 23d 1 0.42mi
955 Walnut St Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 840 $1,075 $1.28 45d 1 0.46mi
384 Spring St Unit 1 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 45d 1 0.47mi
455 Pursley St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 850 $625 $0.74 23d 9 0.47mi
455 Pursley St Apt B15 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 850 $650 $0.76 15d 1 0.47mi
895 Mulberry St Unit A Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 807 $1,075 $1.33 45d 1 0.48mi
285 Moughon St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1015 $900 $0.89 15d 1 0.49mi
1975 Vineville Ave Macon, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0 1050 $825 $0.79 23d 5 0.50mi
1975 Vineville Ave Apt F3 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 950 $700 $0.74 15d 1 0.50mi
888 Walnut Street Ln Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 765 $925 $1.21 45d 1 0.50mi
841 Forsyth St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 780 $1,400 $1.79 45d 1 0.57mi
813 Forsyth St Unit C Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1105 $1,400 $1.27 15d 1 0.58mi
1121 Columbus St Unit A Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 15d 1 0.64mi
484 1st St #300 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,625 $1.16 15d 1 0.70mi
867 Orange Ter #2 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 45d 1 0.70mi
867 Orange Ter Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1088 $1,400 $1.29 45d 1 0.70mi
2063 Vineville Ave Unit N5 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1169 $1,200 $1.03 23d 1 0.71mi
1930 Northbrook Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1071 $1,400 $1.31 15d 1 0.74mi
1930 Northbrook Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1071 $1,400 $1.31 45d 1 0.74mi
610 Mulberry St Unit 7 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 871 $1,475 $1.69 45d 1 0.77mi
610 Mulberry St Unit 6 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 778 $1,600 $2.06 45d 1 0.77mi
610 Mulberry St Unit 5 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 776 $1,375 $1.77 45d 1 0.77mi
957 New St Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,050 $0.88 15d 1 0.80mi
530 2nd St Unit B Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 760 $1,275 $1.68 15d 1 0.80mi
1232 Shamrock St Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1282 $1,700 $1.33 15d 1 0.84mi
1268 College St Unit 1 Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1500 $1,730 $1.15 45d 1 0.86mi
1227 Calhoun St Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1212 $1,200 $0.99 45d 1 0.88mi
1249 Duncan Ave Unit C Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 900 $795 $0.88 45d 1 0.89mi
1249 Duncan Ave Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 700 $1,095 $1.56 45d 1 0.89mi
526 3rd St Unit 3 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 45d 1 0.90mi
476 3rd St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 942 $1,850 $1.96 15d 8 0.92mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $137,000 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $137,000 Active 18 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $137,000 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $137,000 Active 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $137,000 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $137,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $137,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    pricestatusdays on market $137,000 Price Change 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,000 New 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 New 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 New 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 New 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,000 New 2 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    remarks 544-char remark
  15. 2026-06-02
    listed $159,000 New 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,348 · $112/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,348 · $112/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,379
− Mortgage interest
−$7,674
− Property taxes
−$1,348
− Insurance
−$685
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,150
− Management
−$1,150
− Depreciation
−$3,985
Taxable loss
−$1,614
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$387
After-tax cash flow
$1,092/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
33,288
Household income
$78,447
Rent vs Own
45.3% rent · 54.7% own
Severe rent burden
1845.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 32% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -144.60%
Current HPI
172.1313
Rent YoY
▲ 1.71%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $159,900 MGMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $159,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-10-21 Sold (MLS) $135,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-08-24 Pending GAMLS
  • 2022-08-15 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2022-08-15 Pending GAMLS
  • 2022-07-08 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2022-07-07 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2022-01-07 Listed $162,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+35.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,348 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…