1124 Avenue F · Haines City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$212,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Alert! Great opportunity for a fixer upper property. Near by schools, churches, hospitals and shopping centers. Schedule you appointment today.
Key facts
- Renovated home
- Flexible bonus area
- Open living area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned R-2; Property type: Residential — Single Family Residence; Lot size about 0.11 acre
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on lot of approximately 50 x 96
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Other heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Bonus room; Den / office; Inside utility
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $212k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($11/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (11.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $187k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#285 in FL, #4,575 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 1333 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $92k; list at $212k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.02%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-37,661
- Equity at exit
- $31,610
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-46,031
- Equity at exit
- $18,330
Cash invested: $59,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33844
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 1333
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,872 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,112
- Tax from tax record
- −$278 /mo · $3,338/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$393
- Net cashflow
- $1
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,000
- Closing costs
- $6,360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1205 Avenue I Unit I Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,340 | $1.60 | 14d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1125 Avenue L Unit L Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $2,300 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1016 Avenue A Unit A Haines City, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $1,875 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2109 N 13th St Haines City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $1,300 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2117 Winger Ave Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2492 Saint Augustine Blvd Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,795 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2492 Saint Augustine Blvd Haines City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,795 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2474 Saint Augustine Blvd Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 504 N 7th St Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1309 | $1,870 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 608 Claude Holmes SR Ave Haines City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1140 Mariner Cay Dr Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,200 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 325 N 5th St Unit 325-5 Haines City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $945 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 425 Hammerstone Ave Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,796 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2896 Kokomo Loop Unit 1259817P Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $6,692 | $5.98 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2972 Kokomo Loop Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,900 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 8013 Hemingway Cir #8013 Haines City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $1,600 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 8009 Hemingway Cir Haines City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,399 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6003 Hemingway Cir #6003 Haines City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6004 Hemingway Cir #6004 Haines City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $2,150 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6016 Hemingway Cir Unit 6016 Haines City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 487 Eaglecrest Dr Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $2,150 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 106 Reineke Rd Haines City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,495 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 47 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $212,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $212,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $212,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $212,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $212,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $212,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $212,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $212,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $212,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $212,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-05-06price $215,000
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2026-04-13$225,000 Active
-
2020-09-02soldstatus $92,000
-
2020-09-01soldstatus $92,000 Sold 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Investor Alert! Great opportunity for a fixer upper property. Near by schools, churches, hospitals and shopping centers. Schedule you appointment today.
-
2020-07-08status Pending 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Investor Alert! Great opportunity for a fixer upper property. Near by schools, churches, hospitals and shopping centers. Schedule you appointment today.
-
2020-05-13price $89,900 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Investor Alert! Great opportunity for a fixer upper property. Near by schools, churches, hospitals and shopping centers. Schedule you appointment today.
-
2020-03-05$99,900 Active 152-char remark
Show marketing remark (152 chars)
Investor Alert! Great opportunity for a fixer upper property. Near by schools, churches, hospitals and shopping centers. Schedule you appointment today.
-
2016-06-20soldstatus $37,000 Sold 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Ready to move in. New paint , blinds , Appliances & fence. 3/2 under 40k. Come see today!
-
2016-06-13status Pending 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Ready to move in. New paint , blinds , Appliances & fence. 3/2 under 40k. Come see today!
-
2016-06-08price $37,900 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Ready to move in. New paint , blinds , Appliances & fence. 3/2 under 40k. Come see today!
-
2016-05-31price $38,000 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Ready to move in. New paint , blinds , Appliances & fence. 3/2 under 40k. Come see today!
-
2016-05-31status Active 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Ready to move in. New paint , blinds , Appliances & fence. 3/2 under 40k. Come see today!
-
2016-05-23status Pending 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Ready to move in. New paint , blinds , Appliances & fence. 3/2 under 40k. Come see today!
-
2016-05-12price $38,900 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Ready to move in. New paint , blinds , Appliances & fence. 3/2 under 40k. Come see today!
-
2016-05-02price $39,400 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Ready to move in. New paint , blinds , Appliances & fence. 3/2 under 40k. Come see today!
-
2016-04-14price $39,900 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Ready to move in. New paint , blinds , Appliances & fence. 3/2 under 40k. Come see today!
-
2016-03-24price $41,000 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Ready to move in. New paint , blinds , Appliances & fence. 3/2 under 40k. Come see today!
-
2016-03-03status Active 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Ready to move in. New paint , blinds , Appliances & fence. 3/2 under 40k. Come see today!
-
2016-03-03price $44,000 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Ready to move in. New paint , blinds , Appliances & fence. 3/2 under 40k. Come see today!
-
2016-02-18historical Contingent - Inspections 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Ready to move in. New paint , blinds , Appliances & fence. 3/2 under 40k. Come see today!
-
2015-12-11$44,900 Active 95-char remark
Show marketing remark (95 chars)
Ready to move in. New paint , blinds , Appliances & fence. 3/2 under 40k. Come see today!
-
2015-09-29soldstatus $20,000 Sold
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2015-09-08status Pending
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2015-08-27status Active
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2015-08-27price $24,000
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2015-08-13historical
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2015-08-11price $29,000
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2015-07-21status Active
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2015-06-29status Pending
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2015-06-16$35,000 Active
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2015-06-08historical
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2015-05-04price $35,000
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2015-03-17$42,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,338 · $278/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,338 · $278/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,469
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,875
- − Property taxes
- −$3,338
- − Insurance
- −$1,060
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,797
- − Management
- −$1,797
- − Depreciation
- −$6,167
- Taxable loss
- −$3,567
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$856
- After-tax cash flow
- $867/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Haines City
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #285
- US rank
- #4575
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Haines City, FL
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- City population
- 51,255
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,255
- Household income
- $63,650
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1107.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 48% White 31% Black 18% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 19% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 39% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.94%
- Current HPI
- 291.0798
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.16%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+411.9% since first listed33 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Listed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-01 Sold (MLS) $92,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-13 Price Changed $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-05 Listed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-20 Sold (MLS) $37,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-13 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-08 Price Changed $37,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-31 Price Changed $38,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-31 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-23 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-12 Price Changed $38,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-02 Price Changed $39,400 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-14 Price Changed $39,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-24 Price Changed $41,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-03 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-03 Price Changed $44,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-18 Contingent — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-12-11 Listed $44,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-29 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-27 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-27 Price Changed $24,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-13 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-11 Price Changed $29,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-21 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-29 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-16 Listed $35,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-08 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-04 Price Changed $35,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-17 Listed $42,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+42.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,338 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…