1813 11th St · Wichita Falls, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment Opportunity! Motivated Seller! This home is 1405 square feet, and has 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, 1 car detached garage, dining room, laundry room, and fenced back yard. Home needs some updating. Renters have moved out. Call for more information.
Key facts
- Built 1928
- Listed 55 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family residence
- Exterior features: Residential single-family property
Interior
- Interior features: Located in the Southland subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
- Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.29%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $76,891
- List price
- $64,900
- Delta
- -15.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2109 8th St | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,377 (-2%) | 17mo | $69,900 | $51 | 54 |
| 1512 14th St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-12%) | 16mo | $138,000 | $112 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $14,431
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.87×
- Total profit
- $52,153
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76301
- Home prices YoY
- -34.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,048 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,298/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $353
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1821 9th St Unit B Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $795 | $0.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1301 Giddings St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1714 7th St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1452 | $850 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1916 7th St Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1226 | $1,050 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1901 Giddings St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,175 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1507 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1316 | $1,050 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2130 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,390 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2006 Bell St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1515 Fillmore St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,225 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1813 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,364 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2304 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2003 Buchanan St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2500 Taylor St Unit 2500 Taylor A Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $800 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2912 Avenue L Unit L Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $64,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $64,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $64,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $64,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $64,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-24$64,900 Active 253-char remark
-
2025-10-07$64,900 Active
-
2025-09-09price $69,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,298 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,298 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,582
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$1,298
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,007
- − Management
- −$1,007
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $3,423
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$821
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,411/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wichita Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845780
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,604
- Composite
- 27.06/100
- National rank
- #7051
- State rank
- #585 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wichita Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #437
- US rank
- #8940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wichita Falls, TX
- County
- Wichita County · 95,694 people
- City population
- 95,694
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,479
- Household income
- $41,947
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 577.0
Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 129,638 people
- By 2030
- 128,366 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 124,466 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 120,499 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 113,884 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 101,818 · -21.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 18% Two or more races 15% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 22%
Political lean MEDSL · Wichita
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.89%
- Current HPI
- 135.1511
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.27%
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-7.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $64,900 WFAOR
- 2025-10-07 Listed $64,900 WFAOR
- 2025-09-09 Price Changed $69,900 WFAOR
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,298 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…