2317 Seminole Pl · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property features exceptional value in a well-located New Orleans neighborhood. This newly built, move-in-ready home features an open layout, modern finishes, a bright kitchen, and comfortable bedroom spaces--all designed for easy living. With its clean design, efficient footprint, and unbeatable price point, this property is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking strong long-term potential. Don't miss this rare opportunity to own quality new construction at an incredible price.
Key facts
- Bright kitchen
- Efficient footprint
- Clean design
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 217 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $778 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 145 days — a 12% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 145 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.55%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $125,084
- List price
- $112,500
- Delta
- -10.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2317 Seminole Pl | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 828 | 0mo | $97,000 | $117 | 87 |
| 2814 Second St | 0.32mi | 3/3.5 (+1) | 1,805 | 0mo | $255,000 | $141 | 57 |
| 3920 Delachaise St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,544 | 1mo | $90,000 | $58 | 51 |
| 2223 Josephine St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,792 | 0mo | $175,000 | $98 | 47 |
| 4017 Elba St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,148 | 2mo | $162,500 | $76 | 46 |
| 4119 Walmsley Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,596 | 1mo | $427,750 | $268 | 44 |
| 4311 S Miro St | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,366 | 3mo | $575,000 | $243 | 44 |
| 3625 Napoleon Ave | 0.68mi | 2/4.0 | 1,935 | 0mo | $179,500 | $93 | 44 |
| 4307 S Miro St | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,366 | 5mo | $560,000 | $237 | 43 |
| 4119 Clara St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 | 2mo | $400,000 | $285 | 42 |
| 2321 Seventh St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,425 | 2mo | $325,000 | $228 | 42 |
| 2315 4th St | 0.66mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,900 | 4mo | $275,000 | $145 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-14,477
- Equity at exit
- $16,774
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-16,781
- Equity at exit
- $9,727
Cash invested: $31,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70125
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 217
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,667 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$590
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$141 /mo · $1,688/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $113
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $191 | -5% $152 | +0% $113 | +5% $74 | +10% $35 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-19 | -5% $47 | +0% $113 | +5% $179 | +10% $245 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $170 | -0.5pp $141 | base $113 | +0.5pp $84 | +1.0pp $54 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,125
- Closing costs
- $3,375
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2341 S Roman St Unit U New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,850 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3218 Jackson Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3204 2nd St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,295 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3122 2nd St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1206 | $2,075 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3120 Second St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1256 | $2,050 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3108 Second St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1216 | $2,100 | $1.73 | 4d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2516 S Derbigny St New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,500 | — | 12d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3322 Third St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2614 S Johnson St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $2,079 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2615 S Johnson St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2615 S Johnson St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 17d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2617 S Johnson St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,300 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2620 S Galvez St Apt 2B New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2628 S Derbigny St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 4d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3632 First St Unit A New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 12d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3632 First St Unit B New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,750 | $1.84 | 12d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2606 S Miro St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,016 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2821 1st St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | $2,200 | — | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2823 First St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | $2,000 | — | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3517 4th St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 691 | $1,200 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2822 Martin L King Bl New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,190 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2814 Josephine St Unit B New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,149 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2809 First St Unit C New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,050 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2818 Saint Andrew St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2213 Clara St New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 12d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2702 Felicity St Unit 4 New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1734 | $825 | $0.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3617 Fourth St Unit A New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,995 | $1.63 | 17d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2722 Martin L King Bl New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2833 S Derbigny St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,795 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1407 Magnolia St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $1,500 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3230 Toledano St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,750 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2528 Martin Luther King Junior Blvd New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,200 | $2.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2526 Martin Luther King Junior Blvd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 4d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3208 Louisiana Avenue Pkwy New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1391 | $1,900 | $1.37 | 17d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3212 Louisiana Avenue Pkwy Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1209 | $1,795 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3713 Louisiana Avenue Pkwy New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 4d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3712 Toledano St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $1,400 | $1.87 | 15d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2503 First St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,200 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2503 First St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,200 | $1.62 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3013 Louisiana Avenue Pkwy Unit 2 New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,200 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $112,500 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $112,500 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $112,500 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $112,500 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $112,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $112,500 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $112,500 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $112,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $112,500 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $112,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-03-31price $112,500 508-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Property features exceptional value in a well-located New Orleans neighborhood. This newly built, move-in-ready home features an open layout, modern finishes, a bright kitchen, and comfortable bedroom spaces—all designed for easy living. With its clean design, efficient footprint, and unbeatable price point, this property is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking strong long-term potential. Don’t miss this rare opportunity to own quality new construction at an incredible price.
-
2026-03-31price $112,500 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Property features exceptional value in a well-located New Orleans neighborhood. This newly built, move-in-ready home features an open layout, modern finishes, a bright kitchen, and comfortable bedroom spaces—all designed for easy living. With its clean design, efficient footprint, and unbeatable price point, this property is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking strong long-term potential. Don’t miss this rare opportunity to own quality new construction at an incredible price.
-
2026-01-19$125,000 Active 508-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Property features exceptional value in a well-located New Orleans neighborhood. This newly built, move-in-ready home features an open layout, modern finishes, a bright kitchen, and comfortable bedroom spaces—all designed for easy living. With its clean design, efficient footprint, and unbeatable price point, this property is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking strong long-term potential. Don’t miss this rare opportunity to own quality new construction at an incredible price.
-
2026-01-19$125,000 Active 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Property features exceptional value in a well-located New Orleans neighborhood. This newly built, move-in-ready home features an open layout, modern finishes, a bright kitchen, and comfortable bedroom spaces—all designed for easy living. With its clean design, efficient footprint, and unbeatable price point, this property is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking strong long-term potential. Don’t miss this rare opportunity to own quality new construction at an incredible price.
-
2025-12-02$125,000 Active
-
2017-11-28historical
-
2017-09-16$30,000 Active
-
2017-09-15$30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,003
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,302
- − Property taxes
- −$1,688
- − Insurance
- −$5,681
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,600
- − Management
- −$1,600
- − Depreciation
- −$3,273
- Taxable loss
- −$140
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$34
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,388/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,821
- Household income
- $61,174
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1270.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.68%
- Current HPI
- 255.5998
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.73%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+275.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $112,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $112,500 GSREIN
- 2026-01-19 Listed $125,000 GSREIN
- 2026-01-19 Listed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-02 Listed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2017-11-28 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2017-09-16 Listed $30,000 GSREIN
- 2017-09-15 Listed $30,000 AcadianaMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…