84-70 129th St Unit 4W · New York, NY 11415

$199,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 700 sqft · Condo · 34 Days on market

Built 1969

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.0/10.0
• Cash flow +6.4/30.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +0.7/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Sponsor Unit, No Board Approval, Unit Is Sold As Is, Pets Welcome/Pet Friendly Building, One Bedroom Co-Op Unit, East Facing, Ready To Move-In, Laundry On Lobby Level, Storage Available, Can Be Rented With Board Approval, Great For Investors, Walk To 24 Hours Trade Fair, E& F Trains, Convenient To Jfk, Q23 Bus, Forest Park, Sd#28, Jamaica Hospital. Maintenance Includes Heat, Water, And Cooking Gas, Zoned For Ps 99., Additional information: Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr

Key facts

• Built 1969
• Listed 34 days

🏢 Co-op / cooperative unit. The $199,000 price buys shares in the cooperative corporation, not the real estate itself — so it isn't comparable to a fee-simple sale price, and the cashflow / cap-rate / 1%-rule cards below (which assume you own the property and can rent it out) don't apply here. Expect board approval and a monthly maintenance fee on top of the price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $199k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-342 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
• Recommended offer: $193k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $193,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.20% ✓
• Cap rate: 4.23%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.37%
• DSCR: 0.67
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -32.1%
• Equity multiple: -0.03×
• Total profit: $-57,381
• Equity at exit: $29,672

10-year hold

• IRR: -55.7%
• Equity multiple: -0.64×
• Total profit: $-91,227
• Equity at exit: $17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11415

• Rents YoY: 1.4%
• Active inventory: 133
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,385 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,044
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$249 /mo · $2,985/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• HOA est. from 1 same-building comp: −$851
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$501
• Net cashflow: $-342

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,818

Max offer price $149,476

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-205	-5% $-273	+0% $-342	+5% $-411	+10% $-480
Rent	-10% $-531	-5% $-436	+0% $-342	+5% $-248	+10% $-154
Rate	-1.0pp $-242	-0.5pp $-292	base $-342	+0.5pp $-394	+1.0pp $-446

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,750
• Closing costs: $5,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 30 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
122-08 Hillside Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY	2.0	1.0	700	$2,500	$3.57	25d	1	0.31mi
8340 Austin St Unit 7N Kew Gardens, NY	—	1.0	550	$2,000	$3.64	25d	1	0.34mi
13828 Queens Blvd Unit 2E Briarwood, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,600	$3.71	8d	1	0.36mi
138-28 Queens Blvd Unit 5G Briarwood, NY	1.0	1.0	650	$2,750	$4.23	25d	1	0.36mi
138-28 Queens Blvd Unit 5B Briarwood, NY	1.0	1.0	500	$2,600	$5.20	25d	1	0.36mi
13828 Queens Blvd Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	640	$2,700	$4.22	19d	1	0.36mi
8321 Lefferts Blvd Kew Gardens, NY	—	1.0	550	$2,100	$3.82	25d	1	0.41mi
12015 Jamaica Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY	2.0	1.0	700	$2,200	$3.14	25d	1	0.42mi
123-40 83rd Ave Unit 2107 Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	750	$2,573	$3.43	25d	1	0.45mi
8380 118th St Unit 2P Kew Gardens, NY	—	1.0	550	$1,900	$3.45	14d	1	0.55mi
8375 117th St Richmond Hill, NY	1.0	1.0	650	$2,695	$4.15	25d	1	0.57mi
8375 117th St Unit 5E Richmond Hill, NY	1.0	1.0	650	$2,650	$4.08	12d	1	0.57mi
8371 116th St Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	688	$2,725	$3.96	6d	2	0.60mi
14160 84th Rd Unit 2G Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,200	$3.14	14d	1	0.67mi
8455 Daniels St Unit 5H Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	750	$2,300	$3.07	19d	1	0.73mi
148-16 87th Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY	2.0	1.0	700	$2,300	$3.29	18d	1	0.80mi
14836 89th Ave Unit 3C Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	673	$2,900	$4.31	25d	1	0.94mi
14112 78th Rd Unit 1G Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,200	$3.14	25d	1	0.97mi
14725 94th Ave Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	525	$2,825	$5.38	5d	3	1.01mi
7837 Main St Unit 2G Queens, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,300	$3.29	25d	1	1.06mi
7835 147th St Unit 2E Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,200	$3.14	7d	1	1.11mi
15038 Union Tpke Unit 8L Flushing, NY	—	1.0	415	$2,100	$5.06	0d	1	1.16mi
15038 Union Tpke Unit 8L Flushing, NY	—	1.0	489	$2,100	$4.29	23d	1	1.16mi
152-18 Union Tpke Unit 8S Queens, NY	—	1.0	496	$1,950	$3.93	14d	1	1.17mi
9915 Ascan Ave Forest Hills, NY	2.0	1.0	600	$2,700	$4.50	25d	1	1.20mi
89-15 Parsons Blvd Unit W6B Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	725	$2,100	$2.90	19d	1	1.21mi
10919 72nd Rd Unit 6F Forest Hills, NY	1.0	1.0	696	$3,485	$5.01	12d	1	1.36mi
110-19 72nd Rd Unit 1A Forest Hills, NY	—	1.0	500	$2,395	$4.79	25d	1	1.37mi
11019 72nd Rd Unit 1B Forest Hills, NY	1.0	1.0	750	$3,200	$4.27	14d	1	1.37mi
10825 72nd Ave Forest Hills, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0	700	$3,500	$5.00	5d	2	1.43mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Likely covers: watergas
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 10 events

1. 2025-07-24
   status Pending
2. 2025-05-08
   listed $199,000 Active
3. 2025-05-07
   historical $199,000
4. 2020-10-02
   historical
5. 2020-08-11
   price $199,000
6. 2020-06-29
   listed $219,000 Active
7. 2019-02-07
   soldstatus $177,000 Closed 490-char remark

   Show marketing remark (490 chars)

   Sponsor Unit, No Board Approval, Unit Is Sold As Is, Pets Welcome/Pet Friendly Building, One Bedroom Co-Op Unit, East Facing, Ready To Move-In, Laundry On Lobby Level, Storage Available, Can Be Rented With Board Approval, Great For Investors, Walk To 24 Hours Trade Fair, E& F Trains, Convenient To Jfk, Q23 Bus, Forest Park, Sd#28, Jamaica Hospital. Maintenance Includes Heat, Water, And Cooking Gas, Zoned For Ps 99., Additional information: Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr

8. 2018-10-31
   status Under Contract 490-char remark

   Show marketing remark (490 chars)

   Sponsor Unit, No Board Approval, Unit Is Sold As Is, Pets Welcome/Pet Friendly Building, One Bedroom Co-Op Unit, East Facing, Ready To Move-In, Laundry On Lobby Level, Storage Available, Can Be Rented With Board Approval, Great For Investors, Walk To 24 Hours Trade Fair, E& F Trains, Convenient To Jfk, Q23 Bus, Forest Park, Sd#28, Jamaica Hospital. Maintenance Includes Heat, Water, And Cooking Gas, Zoned For Ps 99., Additional information: Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr

9. 2018-09-27
   listed $181,000 New 490-char remark

   Show marketing remark (490 chars)

   Sponsor Unit, No Board Approval, Unit Is Sold As Is, Pets Welcome/Pet Friendly Building, One Bedroom Co-Op Unit, East Facing, Ready To Move-In, Laundry On Lobby Level, Storage Available, Can Be Rented With Board Approval, Great For Investors, Walk To 24 Hours Trade Fair, E& F Trains, Convenient To Jfk, Q23 Bus, Forest Park, Sd#28, Jamaica Hospital. Maintenance Includes Heat, Water, And Cooking Gas, Zoned For Ps 99., Additional information: Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr

10. 2016-05-06
    soldstatus $5,418,097

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,618
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,147
• − Property taxes: −$2,985
• − Insurance: −$995
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,289
• − Management: −$2,289
• − HOA: −$10,212
• − Depreciation: −$5,789
• Taxable loss: −$7,089
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,701
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,406/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Queens County · 1,914,869 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 21,154
• Household income: $86,394
• Rent vs Own: 55.5% rent · 44.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 1615.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,546,320 people
• By 2030: 2,643,059 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 2,815,563 · +10.6%
• By 2050: 2,944,423 · +15.6%
• By 2075: 3,123,338 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
• Race & ethnicity: White 43% Hispanic / Latino 25% Asian 20% Two or more races 11% Black 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 4%
• Common ancestry: Scotch-Irish 6% Romanian 5% Scandinavian 1%
• Foreign-born: 38% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 45% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -155.23%
• Current HPI: 184.7643
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.35%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-96.3% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2025-07-24 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-08 Listed $199,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-07 Coming Soon $199,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-10-02 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-08-11 Price Changed $199,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-06-29 Listed $219,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2019-02-07 Sold (MLS) $177,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-10-31 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-09-27 Listed $181,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2016-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $5,418,097 Public Records