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369 Gun Club Rd #100
B+ Composite 78.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

369 Gun Club Rd #100 · Woodland, WA 98674
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,782 sqft · Manufactured public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1997 $48/sqft · 30% below area Est $121k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Doublewide manufactured home in Woodland East’s desirable 55+ community. Great layout, just needing some TLC. Bright and inviting with vaulted ceilings and solar tubes. Formal living and dining rooms, plus a family room that's open to the spacious island kitchen with dining nook featuring a sliding door to the deck. Surround-sound system throughout. Primary bedroom with dual closets and a large ensuite bathroom with soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms on the opposite side with a full guest bathroom. Prime corner lot with storage and an extra deep carport.

Key facts

  • Dining rooms
  • Family room
  • Solar tubes

Tags

DOUBLEWIDE MANUFACTURED HOMEVAULTED CEILINGSSOLAR TUBESFORMAL LIVING ROOMDINING ROOMSFAMILY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential manufactured home; Style: Manufactured double-wide; Mobile home remains
  • Financial info: Accepts Cash and Conventional financing
  • HOA & community: Located in a manufactured home park with 133 homes; Park approved for sale; Senior community / senior exemption; Park amenities include clubhouse and security gate; Land lease (amount listed separately)

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Security: Security gate
  • Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater; Cowlitz PUD power
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home (Fleetwood); Single-level; Tie-down foundation
  • Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Wood products siding; Corner lot; Sidewalk; Patio/porch/deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full baths; 2 bathtubs; 2 showers
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Water heater; Ceiling fans; Double-pane windows; Drapes; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet; Jetted/soaking tub; Bath off primary; Patio/porch/deck
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.5% vs local median 2.8% in Woodland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#152 in WA, #3,252 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities B+; Watch: commute F.
  • Woodland School District (town): math 48% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #94 of 291 in WA (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: North Fork Elementary School (445 students, 36% FRL); Woodland High School (658 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 348 units permitted in Cowlitz County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cowlitz County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $82,353 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.14%
Cap rate
28.52%
Cash-on-cash
79.38%
DSCR
4.53
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$121,000
List price
$84,900
Delta
-29.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
369 Gun Club Rd #101 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,782 (0%) 1mo $95,000 $53 98
369 GUN CLUB Rd #48 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,782 (0%) 8mo $90,000 $51 91
369 Gun Club Rd #53 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,726 (-3%) 3mo $125,000 $72 90
369 Gun Club Rd #117 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,809 (+2%) 6mo $149,000 $82 89
603 Insel Rd 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (-9%) 3mo $325,000 $201 72
205 Forest Park Rd 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,944 (+9%) 16mo $520,000 $267 51
1804 Springwood St 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,984 (+11%) 11mo $460,000 $232 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.5%
Equity multiple
3.50×
Total profit
$59,500
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
61.5%
Equity multiple
7.18×
Total profit
$146,895
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98674

Home prices YoY
-21.8%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,670 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $671/yr
Insurance
$35
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$561
Net cashflow
$1,146

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,219
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,194 -5% $1,170 +0% $1,146 +5% $1,122 +10% $1,098
Rent -10% $935 -5% $1,040 +0% $1,146 +5% $1,251 +10% $1,357
Rate -1.0pp $1,189 -0.5pp $1,168 base $1,146 +0.5pp $1,124 +1.0pp $1,102

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
332 York St Unit 2 Woodland, WA 3.0 2.0 1497 $2,529 $1.69 45d 1 0.23mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $84,900 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $84,900 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 51 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,900 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,900 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $84,900 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $84,900 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,900 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 35 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 34 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $84,900 Active 33 DOM
  19. 2026-04-27
    listed $84,900 Active 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Doublewide manufactured home in Woodland East’s desirable 55+ community. Great layout, just needing some TLC. Bright and inviting with vaulted ceilings and solar tubes. Formal living and dining rooms, plus a family room that's open to the spacious island kitchen with dining nook featuring a sliding door to the deck. Surround-sound system throughout. Primary bedroom with dual closets and a large ensuite bathroom with soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms on the opposite side with a full guest bathroom. Prime corner lot with storage and an extra deep carport.

  20. 2026-04-27
    listed $84,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Doublewide manufactured home in Woodland East’s desirable 55+ community. Great layout, just needing some TLC. Bright and inviting with vaulted ceilings and solar tubes. Formal living and dining rooms, plus a family room that's open to the spacious island kitchen with dining nook featuring a sliding door to the deck. Surround-sound system throughout. Primary bedroom with dual closets and a large ensuite bathroom with soaking tub and walk-in shower. Two additional bedrooms on the opposite side with a full guest bathroom. Prime corner lot with storage and an extra deep carport.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$671 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$832 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$161/yr (+$13/mo · 24.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,036
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$671
− Insurance
−$5,543
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,563
− Management
−$2,563
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$13,470
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,233
After-tax cash flow
$10,518/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Woodland School District
NCES district ID
5310050
Math proficiency
48% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$60,973
Composite
49.77/100
National rank
#4219
State rank
#94 of 291 in WA

Livability — Woodland

Score
77/100
State rank
#152
US rank
#3252

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living C Crime B- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Woodland, WA
County
Clark County · 513,189 people
City population
17,525
Metro
Longview, WA
Population (ZIP)
17,525
Household income
$94,245
Rent vs Own
26.8% rent · 73.2% own
Severe rent burden
209.0

Population outlook (Cowlitz County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
104,780 people
By 2030
103,980 · -0.8%
By 2040
100,769 · -3.8%
By 2050
96,685 · -7.7%
By 2075
86,454 · -17.5%
By 2100
74,052 · -29.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cowlitz

2024 margin
R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.6% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: 11.2pp · 2024: -19.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.9 2020: R+17.4 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+11.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.68%
Current HPI
333.4106
Rent YoY
Metro
Longview, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $84,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $84,900 RMLS

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2014): $671 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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