301 Lynn Haven Cir · Vinton, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Cash flow +4.6/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully Remodeled All Brick Home in great neighborhod. Beautiful hardwood floors, updated Eat-in Kitchen with new flooring, countertops, updated full bath upstairs & downstairs. Full finished lower level w/ Family Room, Office & lots of storage, huge fenced yard, paved driveway in front & driveway in back on Ruddell Road also 2 storge sheds & much, much more.
Key facts
- Two parcels
- Flex space
- Versatile floor plan
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Has heating; Has cooling
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1959
- Exterior features: Rear porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave oven
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air oil heating; Has heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Built-in microwave oven; Insulated storm and metal doors; Insulated windows; Wood flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-752 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (45.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (55.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (55.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.2% vs local median 4.8% in Vinton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#61 in VA, #1,742 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Roanoke County Public School District (suburban): math 71% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #9 of 131 in VA (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Herman L. Horn Elementary (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B, #416 of 1,108 statewide, top 41%, 407 students, 72% FRL); William Byrd Middle (math 68% / reading 74%, grade A, #77 of 342 statewide, top 23%, 827 students, 42% FRL); William Byrd High (math 77% / reading 89%, grade A, #33 of 319 statewide, top 11%, 1,142 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 22% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 360 units permitted in Roanoke County in 2024 (228 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $140k; list at $295k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.45% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.92%
- DSCR
- 0.51
- GRM
- 18.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $243,360
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1117 Halliahurst Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (+8%) | 21mo | $239,950 | $220 | 55 |
| 742 Kenyon Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-1%) | 17mo | $240,000 | $240 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -36.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.16×
- Total profit
- $-95,817
- Equity at exit
- $43,985
- IRR
- -50.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.76×
- Total profit
- $-145,615
- Equity at exit
- $25,506
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24179
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 18.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,326 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,550/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $-752
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-585 | -5% $-668 | +0% $-752 | +5% $-835 | +10% $-919 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-857 | -5% $-804 | +0% $-752 | +5% $-700 | +10% $-647 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-603 | -0.5pp $-677 | base $-752 | +0.5pp $-828 | +1.0pp $-906 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 855 E Washington Ave Vinton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 855 E Washington Ave Vinton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 856 Coolbrook Rd Unit 5 Vinton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 851 E Washington Ave Unit A-8 Vinton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 312 Bowman St Unit 212 Vinton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1246 | $850 | $0.68 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 528 E Cleveland Ave Unit 6 Vinton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,525 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 528 E Cleveland Ave Unit 5 Vinton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,495 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 528 E Cleveland Ave Unit 3 Vinton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $1,475 | $1.87 | 22d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 528 E Cleveland Ave Unit 8 Vinton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $1,395 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2812 Vinyard Ave NE Unit 2 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 317 Jefferson Ave Vinton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,525 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2802 Vinyard Ave NE Unit 2 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 100 Highland Rd Vinton, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 665 | $1,195 | $1.80 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-14pricestatusdays on market $295,000 Pending 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 562-char remark
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $289,950 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $290,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $290,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $290,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $290,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $290,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $290,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30remarks 428-char remark
-
2026-05-30$290,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,550 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,419 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- +$869/yr (+$72/mo · 56.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,907
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$1,550
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,273
- − Management
- −$1,273
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$14,769
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,545
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,478/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103330
- Math proficiency
- 71% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,526
- Composite
- 64.08/100
- National rank
- #578
- State rank
- #9 of 131 in VA
Livability — Vinton
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #61
- US rank
- #1742
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vinton, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,834
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 98,162 people
- By 2030
- 99,793 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 101,965 · +3.9%
- By 2050
- 103,328 · +5.3%
- By 2075
- 108,641 · +10.7%
- By 2100
- 104,845 · +6.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.5) · D 38.2% · R 60.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: -21.1pp · 2024: -22.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.5 2020: R+21.8 2016: R+28.1 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+21.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -117.89%
- Current HPI
- 186.9964
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+133.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $290,000 MLSRV
- 2014-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $139,950 Public Records
- 2014-10-28 Sold (MLS) $139,950 MLSRV
- 2014-09-22 Listed $144,950 MLSRV
- 2011-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $125,200 Public Records
- 2011-10-05 Sold (MLS) $125,200 MLSRV
- 2011-07-23 Listed $124,000 MLSRV
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,550 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…