729 Beardsley Ct · Ferguson, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
& quot; & quot; ?? FOR SALE BY OWNER & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; MOVE-IN READY WITH INVESTMENT UPSIDE! ?? 729 Beardsley Ct Ferguson MO ?? Offered at $99 900 This solid 2-bedroom 1-bath home offers over 1 000 sq ft of comfortable living space and is perfect for a homeowner or investor looking for a great deal in a growing rental market. ? Property Highlights: ? Spacious living room with fireplace ? Functional kitchen with plenty of cabinet space ? Central heating u0026 cooling ? Off-street parking ? Large yard & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; great for entertaining or pets ? Quiet established neighborhood ?? Perfect for: - First-time homebuyers - Buy u0026 h
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Central heating
- Off street parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#586 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.81%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $77,497
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 28.91%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Lee Ave | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 1,066 (+4%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $61 | 81 |
| 6016 Dupree Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,020 (0%) | 3mo | $34,900 | $34 | 75 |
| 6188 Dupree Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 972 (-5%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $77 | 64 |
| 296 Meadowcrest Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-6%) | 2mo | $109,900 | $114 | 60 |
| 277 Dashwood Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-6%) | 2mo | $74,900 | $78 | 56 |
| 247 S Hartnett Ave Unit 1/2 | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 902 (-12%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $83 | 56 |
| 227 Meadowcrest Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-6%) | 3mo | $129,900 | $135 | 55 |
| 299 Dashwood Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (-6%) | 4mo | $114,000 | $119 | 52 |
| 1006 Highmont Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-6%) | 4mo | $109,900 | $114 | 49 |
| 5614 Sanborn Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+10%) | 1mo | $104,999 | $94 | 47 |
| 945 Edgehill Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,110 (+9%) | 3mo | $114,900 | $104 | 46 |
| 1120 Highmont Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,116 (+9%) | 4mo | $58,000 | $52 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $13,951
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.60×
- Total profit
- $72,747
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63135
- Rents YoY
- 9.0%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,266 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $795/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $368
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Arbor Village Ct Ferguson, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $950 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 12 Lee Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,080 | $1.30 | 7d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 110 Paul Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,050 | $1.20 | 7d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 617 Tesmore Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,200 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6180 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,300 | $1.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6170 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1286 | $1,425 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 6170 Emerald Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1286 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 338 Saint Louis Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 6188 Dupree Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $1,300 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 419 S Florissant Rd Ferguson, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 223 Wiegel Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,560 | $1.81 | 12d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 296 Meadowcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,550 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5925 Brand Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 951 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 222 Randolph Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,400 | $1.45 | 7d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 249 S Hartnett Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,220 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 801 Thomas Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,350 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 204 Hawkesbury Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 4d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5900 Sheriton Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 246 Louisa Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,600 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 227 Meadowcrest Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5830 Bermuda Dr Unit 30B St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 5830 Bermuda Dr Unit 34C St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $895 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 806 Marvin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7816 Dartmoor Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 945 Edgehill Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,575 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5300 Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,295 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 360 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $925 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 13 N Hartnett Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,400 | $1.23 | 10d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 8408 Hill Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,550 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 265 S Harvey Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,350 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 519 Graf Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 887 | $1,297 | $1.46 | 20d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 709 Suburban Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,400 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 104 Fenwick Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 324 Emmett Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 450 S Dade Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 7808 Winward Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1434 | $1,425 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 422 Plaza Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 7d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 601 Carson Rd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $950 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 334 Mueller Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $825 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 307 Coppinger Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,095 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$99,900 Active 955-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $795 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $969 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$174/yr (+$14/mo · 21.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,193
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$795
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,215
- − Management
- −$1,215
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $2,965
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$712
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,709/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2912010
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,610
- Composite
- 11.96/100
- National rank
- #9666
- State rank
- #311 of 324 in MO
Livability — Ferguson
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #586
- US rank
- #20809
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ferguson, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 18,381
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,381
- Household income
- $52,328
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 957.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 28% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.56%
- Current HPI
- 138.6781
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.03%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $99,900 FSBO.com
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2022): $795 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…