5115 NE 122nd Blvd · Wildwood, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Back On The Market! A Fabulous 1 Owner 3/2 Home In The Villages Of Parkwood. This home has been lovingly cared for since it was purchased. Very high ceilings with an Open concept floorplan gives you a real sense of spaciousness in this home. The backyard is very private with an open lanai. The garage is big enough to fit a car and a golf cart which is popular means of transportation around the community. There is a very nice pool and recreation center with workout equipment in the community and a playground for the kids all for the low HOA fee of $81 per month. The location of this community could not be any better. Parkwood is located directly behind the Southern Trace Shopping Center of The Villages as well as walking distance to The Villages Charter School. You can't beat this price for a 3 bedroom home in this community. Call today to get your own personal tour.
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Private backyard
- Resort style pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential, single-family; No CDD; Homestead not indicated
- Financial info: Total monthly fees: $80; Total annual fees: $960
- HOA & community: HOA: PARKWOOD; Monthly HOA fee of $80 (required); Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces southwest
- Construction: Shingle roof; Construction materials: Other; Foundation: Other; Built on lot under 1/4 acre (approx. 0.09 acres)
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Road surface: Other
Interior
- Kitchen: Other appliances
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (2.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $262k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.9% in Wildwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#471 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.65%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $323,422
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5162 NE 122nd Blvd | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (-2%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $198 | 93 |
| 766 Artesia Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+4%) | 3mo | $295,000 | $212 | 69 |
| 3562 Auburndale Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+4%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $216 | 68 |
| 3248 Williams Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+4%) | 0mo | $375,000 | $269 | 63 |
| 3622 Cambria Cir | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,156 (-14%) | 2mo | $254,900 | $221 | 55 |
| 969 Candler Pl | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,142 (-15%) | 1mo | $281,500 | $246 | 48 |
| 1071 Blythe Way | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,142 (-15%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $241 | 47 |
| 3249 Mansfield St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,527 (+14%) | 1mo | $336,000 | $220 | 46 |
| 3324 Ashbrook Pl | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,142 (-15%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $315 | 43 |
| 964 Kingmont Ter | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,142 (-15%) | 3mo | $322,500 | $282 | 41 |
| 3283 Candlebrook St | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,142 (-15%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $245 | 38 |
| 3273 Riverton Rd | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,143 (-15%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $197 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-29,069
- Equity at exit
- $40,243
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-6,333
- Equity at exit
- $23,336
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34484
- Home prices YoY
- -31.3%
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,640 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$248 /mo · $2,971/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$80
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$554
- Net cashflow
- $230
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3545 Idlewood Loop The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $4,500 | $3.63 | 21d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 12388 NE 48th Loop Oxford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $1,700 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 12020 Brush Hill Rd Oxford, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 947 | $2,295 | $2.42 | 21d | 15 | 0.32mi |
| 3489 Cambria Cir The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,745 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 971 Kingmont Ter The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $3,400 | $2.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3260 Atwell Ave The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $2,500 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3292 Riverton Rd The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $2,100 | $1.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 888 Radclife Berea Pl The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $4,200 | $3.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3207 Woodridge Dr The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $4,200 | $3.66 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2864 Leicester Ter Unit 1525680P The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,090 | $1.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 12246 N US Highway 301 Oxford, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $1,875 | $1.59 | 21d | 7 | 1.14mi |
| 1129 Santa Cruz Dr The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $2,350 | $2.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2829 Burgos Dr The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $1,850 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 6367 NE 118th Ave The Villages, FL | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1645 | $1,925 | $1.17 | 21d | 10 | 1.47mi |
| 3795 Bismarck Ct Oxford, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1032 | $1,950 | $1.89 | 21d | 15 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $80 · $960/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-16status $269,900 Pending 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $269,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $269,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $269,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $269,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $269,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $269,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $269,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $269,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $269,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$269,900 Active
-
2025-10-16historical $2,000
-
2025-10-15historical
-
2025-08-07$2,000
-
2025-07-21price $255,000
-
2025-07-15price $265,000
-
2025-07-03$269,900 Active
-
2024-09-27soldstatus $260,000
-
2024-09-10soldstatus $260,000 Closed 878-char remark
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Back On The Market! A Fabulous 1 Owner 3/2 Home In The Villages Of Parkwood. This home has been lovingly cared for since it was purchased. Very high ceilings with an Open concept floorplan gives you a real sense of spaciousness in this home. The backyard is very private with an open lanai. The garage is big enough to fit a car and a golf cart which is popular means of transportation around the community. There is a very nice pool and recreation center with workout equipment in the community and a playground for the kids all for the low HOA fee of $81 per month. The location of this community could not be any better. Parkwood is located directly behind the Southern Trace Shopping Center of The Villages as well as walking distance to The Villages Charter School. You can't beat this price for a 3 bedroom home in this community. Call today to get your own personal tour.
-
2024-05-11status Pending 878-char remark
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Back On The Market! A Fabulous 1 Owner 3/2 Home In The Villages Of Parkwood. This home has been lovingly cared for since it was purchased. Very high ceilings with an Open concept floorplan gives you a real sense of spaciousness in this home. The backyard is very private with an open lanai. The garage is big enough to fit a car and a golf cart which is popular means of transportation around the community. There is a very nice pool and recreation center with workout equipment in the community and a playground for the kids all for the low HOA fee of $81 per month. The location of this community could not be any better. Parkwood is located directly behind the Southern Trace Shopping Center of The Villages as well as walking distance to The Villages Charter School. You can't beat this price for a 3 bedroom home in this community. Call today to get your own personal tour.
-
2024-05-06status Active 878-char remark
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Back On The Market! A Fabulous 1 Owner 3/2 Home In The Villages Of Parkwood. This home has been lovingly cared for since it was purchased. Very high ceilings with an Open concept floorplan gives you a real sense of spaciousness in this home. The backyard is very private with an open lanai. The garage is big enough to fit a car and a golf cart which is popular means of transportation around the community. There is a very nice pool and recreation center with workout equipment in the community and a playground for the kids all for the low HOA fee of $81 per month. The location of this community could not be any better. Parkwood is located directly behind the Southern Trace Shopping Center of The Villages as well as walking distance to The Villages Charter School. You can't beat this price for a 3 bedroom home in this community. Call today to get your own personal tour.
-
2024-03-21status Pending 878-char remark
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Back On The Market! A Fabulous 1 Owner 3/2 Home In The Villages Of Parkwood. This home has been lovingly cared for since it was purchased. Very high ceilings with an Open concept floorplan gives you a real sense of spaciousness in this home. The backyard is very private with an open lanai. The garage is big enough to fit a car and a golf cart which is popular means of transportation around the community. There is a very nice pool and recreation center with workout equipment in the community and a playground for the kids all for the low HOA fee of $81 per month. The location of this community could not be any better. Parkwood is located directly behind the Southern Trace Shopping Center of The Villages as well as walking distance to The Villages Charter School. You can't beat this price for a 3 bedroom home in this community. Call today to get your own personal tour.
-
2024-03-18$264,900 Active 878-char remark
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Back On The Market! A Fabulous 1 Owner 3/2 Home In The Villages Of Parkwood. This home has been lovingly cared for since it was purchased. Very high ceilings with an Open concept floorplan gives you a real sense of spaciousness in this home. The backyard is very private with an open lanai. The garage is big enough to fit a car and a golf cart which is popular means of transportation around the community. There is a very nice pool and recreation center with workout equipment in the community and a playground for the kids all for the low HOA fee of $81 per month. The location of this community could not be any better. Parkwood is located directly behind the Southern Trace Shopping Center of The Villages as well as walking distance to The Villages Charter School. You can't beat this price for a 3 bedroom home in this community. Call today to get your own personal tour.
-
2009-01-20historical
-
2008-12-02$169,990
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,971 · $248/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,971 · $248/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,674
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$2,971
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,534
- − Management
- −$2,534
- − HOA
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable loss
- −$1,645
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$395
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,152/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter
- NCES district ID
- 1201800
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,240
- Composite
- 51.74/100
- National rank
- #1682
- State rank
- #11 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wildwood
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #471
- US rank
- #8500
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wildwood, FL
- County
- Sumter County · 110,591 people
- City population
- 21,568
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,050
- Household income
- $92,582
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 149.0
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 161,172 people
- By 2030
- 180,083 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 209,892 · +30.2%
- By 2050
- 234,186 · +45.3%
- By 2075
- 284,602 · +76.6%
- By 2100
- 317,039 · +96.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Philippines, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.11%
- Current HPI
- 189.0678
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+58.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $269,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-16 Rental Removed $2,000 STELLARMLS
- 2025-10-15 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-07 Listed for Rent $2,000 STELLARMLS
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $255,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-15 Price Changed $265,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-03 Listed $269,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
- 2024-09-10 Sold (MLS) $260,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-06 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-21 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-18 Listed $264,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-01-20 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-12-02 Listed $169,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,971 · +85.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…