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4153 Yorkshire Ln
D Composite 44.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.8/30.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,900

4153 Yorkshire Ln · Mobile, AL 36609
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,025 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 1955 8,489 sqft lot $142/sqft · 6% above area Est $137k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Seller will entertain offers between $149,000-$159,000. Welcome home to this newly renovated move in ready 3 bed 1 bath in the heart of Mobile conveniently located to shopping, dining, the University of South Alabama, I-65, and much more! This home features a brand-new HVAC inside & out, new stackable washer & dryer to remain per seller, new roof, new electric hot water heater, an updated kitchen, appliance package along with an updated bathroom! It is ready for you to move in and make it home! Enjoy a large fenced in backyard perfect for entertaining, plus a carport with an attached storage shed. Buyer to verify all facts relating to property.

Key facts

  • Updated kitchen
  • Move in ready
  • Brand new hvac

Tags

NEWLY RENOVATEDMOVE IN READYBRAND NEW HVACNEW ROOFUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $146k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (11.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Elizabeth Fonde Elementary School (math 6% / reading 26%, grade F, #502 of 627 statewide, top 80%, 725 students, 87% FRL); Denton Magnet School of Technology (math 26% / reading 69%, grade C-, #32 of 257 statewide, top 12%, 314 students, 94% FRL); Wp Davidson High School (math 36% / reading 41%, grade F, #37 of 305 statewide, top 12%, 1,535 students, 61% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,626 (11.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.49%
Cash-on-cash
4.28%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$137,011
List price
$145,900
Delta
6.49%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4129 Springdale Rd 0.06mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,044 (+2%) 1mo $139,000 $133 88
4061 Sallie Ct 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,014 (-1%) 2mo $138,500 $137 69
4057 Gaylark Rd N 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+5%) 2mo $140,000 $130 67
4017 Meadow Wood Curv 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+5%) 3mo $139,900 $130 63
618 Wesley Ln E 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,045 (+2%) 6mo $135,000 $129 61
4156 Palmdale Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 984 (-4%) 6mo $120,000 $122 60
502 Meadow Wood Curv E 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+5%) 6mo $139,000 $129 59
552 Tamworth Ct 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,135 (+11%) 3mo $159,500 $141 59
4001 Sunnyvale Ln S 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+5%) 3mo $117,000 $108 58
4275 Raines Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,107 (+8%) 2mo $172,000 $155 51
4108 Bonnie Ln 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,136 (+11%) 7mo $175,000 $154 47
661 Raines Dr 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,134 (+11%) 1mo $122,000 $108 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.6%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-14,333
Equity at exit
$21,754
10-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-420
Equity at exit
$12,615

Cash invested: $40,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36609

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,286 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$765
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $534/yr
Insurance
$61
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$146

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,102
Max offer price $145,900
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $228 -5% $187 +0% $146 +5% $104 +10% $63
Rent -10% $44 -5% $95 +0% $146 +5% $197 +10% $247
Rate -1.0pp $219 -0.5pp $183 base $146 +0.5pp $108 +1.0pp $69

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,475
Closing costs
$4,377
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4118 Seabreeze Rd N Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,100 $1.01 45d 1 0.14mi
833 S University Blvd Mobile, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 855 $1,190 $1.39 15d 12 0.25mi
5155 Ridgedale Rd Mobile, AL 3.0 1.5 1263 $1,400 $1.11 15d 1 0.27mi
550 Tamworth Ct Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,295 $1.29 45d 1 0.42mi
552 Tamworth Ct Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 45d 1 0.44mi
701 S University Blvd Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 692 $1,093 $1.58 23d 10 0.50mi
4057 Gaylark Rd N Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,275 $1.18 23d 1 0.50mi
4161 Rebecca Rd Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1214 $1,500 $1.24 15d 1 0.57mi
654 Ynestra Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 1.5 1134 $1,300 $1.15 15d 1 0.70mi
4077 Lancewood Dr S Mobile, AL 4.0 1.0 1283 $1,600 $1.25 45d 1 0.78mi
4213 Malibar Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,458 $1.33 23d 1 0.83mi
900 Downtowner Blvd Mobile, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1029 $1,449 $1.41 15d 32 0.86mi
4242 Marmora Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 1.5 1053 $1,500 $1.42 45d 1 0.86mi
3800 Michael Blvd Mobile, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 854 $942 $1.10 15d 15 0.92mi
506 Seville Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,350 $1.12 15d 1 1.02mi
651 Azalea Rd Mobile, AL 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 890 $1,232 $1.38 45d 1 1.02mi
5900 Grelot Rd Mobile, AL 2.0 2.0–2.5 1259 $1,600 $1.27 15d 2 1.11mi
4670 Rosewood Dr Mobile, AL 3.0 2.0 1192 $1,200 $1.01 15d 1 1.21mi
1651 Knollwood Dr Mobile, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 835 $1,247 $1.49 15d 16 1.22mi
561 Village Green Dr E Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 880 $1,000 $1.14 15d 4 1.24mi
3993 Cottage Hill Rd Mobile, AL 2.0 1.5 1150 $895 $0.78 45d 1 1.34mi
3920 Berwyn Dr S Mobile, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1427 $1,700 $1.19 15d 34 1.36mi
6075 Grelot Rd Mobile, AL 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,215 $1.16 15d 1 1.40mi
3600 Michael Blvd Mobile, AL 2.0 1.5 750 $949 $1.27 15d 3 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $145,900 Pending 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,900 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,900 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,900 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,900 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-05-18
    price $145,900 660-char remark
    Show marketing remark (660 chars)

    Seller will entertain offers between $149,000-$159,000. Welcome home to this newly renovated move in ready 3 bed 1 bath in the heart of Mobile conveniently located to shopping, dining, the University of South Alabama, I-65, and much more! This home features a brand-new HVAC inside & out, new stackable washer & dryer to remain per seller, new roof, new electric hot water heater, an updated kitchen, appliance package along with an updated bathroom! It is ready for you to move in and make it home! Enjoy a large fenced in backyard perfect for entertaining, plus a carport with an attached storage shed. Buyer to verify all facts relating to property.

  7. 2026-03-24
    listed $149,159 Active 660-char remark
    Show marketing remark (660 chars)

    Seller will entertain offers between $149,000-$159,000. Welcome home to this newly renovated move in ready 3 bed 1 bath in the heart of Mobile conveniently located to shopping, dining, the University of South Alabama, I-65, and much more! This home features a brand-new HVAC inside & out, new stackable washer & dryer to remain per seller, new roof, new electric hot water heater, an updated kitchen, appliance package along with an updated bathroom! It is ready for you to move in and make it home! Enjoy a large fenced in backyard perfect for entertaining, plus a carport with an attached storage shed. Buyer to verify all facts relating to property.

  8. 2024-07-11
    soldstatus $135,000
  9. 2024-07-10
    soldstatus $135,000 Closed 236-char remark
    Show marketing remark (236 chars)

    Newly renovated 3 bed 1 bath in the heart of Mobile! This home has an updated kitchen and appliance package along with an updated bathroom! It is ready for you to move in and make it home! Buyer to verify all facts relating to property.

  10. 2024-06-15
    status Pending 236-char remark
    Show marketing remark (236 chars)

    Newly renovated 3 bed 1 bath in the heart of Mobile! This home has an updated kitchen and appliance package along with an updated bathroom! It is ready for you to move in and make it home! Buyer to verify all facts relating to property.

  11. 2024-06-07
    listed $129,900 Active 236-char remark
    Show marketing remark (236 chars)

    Newly renovated 3 bed 1 bath in the heart of Mobile! This home has an updated kitchen and appliance package along with an updated bathroom! It is ready for you to move in and make it home! Buyer to verify all facts relating to property.

  12. 2024-04-23
    soldstatus $190,500
  13. 2023-09-14
    soldstatus $85,000
  14. 2023-08-31
    soldstatus $85,000 Closed
  15. 2023-08-05
    status Pending
  16. 2023-07-10
    listed $94,900 Active
  17. 2023-06-05
    price $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$534 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$598 · $50/mo
Expected delta
+$64/yr (+$5/mo · 12.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,435
− Mortgage interest
−$8,173
− Property taxes
−$534
− Insurance
−$730
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,235
− Management
−$1,235
− Depreciation
−$4,244
Taxable loss
−$715
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$172
After-tax cash flow
$1,921/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mobile County
NCES district ID
0102370
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$42,455
Composite
22.9/100
National rank
#8002
State rank
#81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Mobile

Score
75/100
State rank
#20
US rank
#4262

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mobile, AL
County
Mobile County · 246,577 people
City population
205,729
Metro
Mobile, AL
Population (ZIP)
23,820
Household income
$49,830
Rent vs Own
54.0% rent · 46.0% own
Severe rent burden
1379.0

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,303 people
By 2030
411,755 · -0.9%
By 2040
399,670 · -3.8%
By 2050
382,616 · -7.9%
By 2075
337,353 · -18.8%
By 2100
283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 42% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

2024 margin
R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.06%
Current HPI
200.0811
Rent YoY
▲ 3.07%
Metro
Mobile, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $145,900 GCMLS AL
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $149,159 GCMLS AL
  • 2024-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2024-07-10 Sold (MLS) $135,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2024-06-15 Pending GCMLS AL
  • 2024-06-07 Listed $129,900 GCMLS AL
  • 2024-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $190,500 Public Records
  • 2023-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2023-08-31 Sold (MLS) $85,000 GCMLS AL
  • 2023-08-05 Pending GCMLS AL
  • 2023-07-10 Listed $94,900 GCMLS AL
  • 2023-06-05 Price Changed $100,000 GCMLS AL

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $534 · -23.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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