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1611 Vondell Dr
C- Composite 51.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

1611 Vondell Dr · Pahrump, NV 89048
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 870 sqft · Manufactured public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1996 0.90 ac lot Est $117k · 19% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover unparalleled privacy and serene rural living at this charming Pahrump residence, perfectly situated on nearly an acre of beautifully fenced land. A secure gated entrance opens to a long, private paved driveway, leading to a modest home embraced by mature trees and a natural landscape. The exterior boasts a private yard and an attached garage, complemented by a spacious carport providing convenient shelter and versatile outdoor utility space. Inside, the home offers 870 square feet of comfortable living with two full bathrooms. The functional kitchen is well-appointed with ample cabinetry and enjoys abundant natural light from multiple windows, seamlessly connecting to an adjacent d

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Attached garage
  • Private yard

Tags

PRIVATE PAVED DRIVEWAYSECURE GATED ENTRANCEPRIVATE YARDATTACHED GARAGESPACIOUS CARPORTFUNCTIONAL KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.9 acres (one to five acres) with trees; Zoned for single family; horses permitted
  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car); Open parking; RV gated with RV access/parking
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Photovoltaics: none; Septic available (septic tank installed); Private well water
  • Home design: Faces north; Resale property
  • Construction: Composition shingle roof; Mobile home dimensions approximately 48' x 14'
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Chain link fencing (full)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Breakfast bar/counter
  • Bedrooms: 3 possible bedrooms; Bedroom 2 (10 x 10) with ceiling light; Bedroom 3 (10 x 10) with ceiling light; Additional bedroom/room (10 x 11)
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Evaporative cooling; Electric cooling; Window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Unfurnished; Bedroom on main level; Primary bedroom downstairs; PBR (private bath) separate from other rooms; Breakfast bar/counter
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.4% in Pahrump — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#30 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Nye County School District (rural): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #16 of 17 in NV (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 1116 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nye County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $99k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.10%
Cash-on-cash
10.01%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$117,450
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1480 W Irons St 0.19mi 2/1.5 (-1) 980 (+13%) 22mo $132,715 $135 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-2,309
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$22,983
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
71 Landlord-Friendly
State Nevada
71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; Clark County (Vegas) had pandemic backlogs; generally landlord-friendly but courts slow.

ZIP-level market 89048

Home prices YoY
-7.2%
Rents YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
1116
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,521 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $987/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$319
Net cashflow
$327

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,107
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $406 -5% $367 +0% $327 +5% $287 +10% $248
Rent -10% $207 -5% $267 +0% $327 +5% $387 +10% $447
Rate -1.0pp $397 -0.5pp $363 base $327 +0.5pp $291 +1.0pp $254

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1480 W Irons St Pahrump, NV 2.0 2.0 980 $1,600 $1.63 45d 1 0.19mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    listed $140,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$987 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$987 · $82/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,253
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$987
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,460
− Management
−$1,460
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$1,731
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$415
After-tax cash flow
$3,508/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nye County School District
NCES district ID
3200360
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,447
Composite
22.43/100
National rank
#8110
State rank
#16 of 17 in NV

Livability — Pahrump

Score
68/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#9226

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pahrump, NV
County
Nye County · 47,491 people
City population
47,491
Metro
Pahrump, NV
Population (ZIP)
26,486
Household income
$61,367
Rent vs Own
24.7% rent · 75.3% own
Severe rent burden
939.0

Population outlook (Nye County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,727 people
By 2030
38,812 · -4.7%
By 2040
33,952 · -16.6%
By 2050
29,393 · -27.8%
By 2075
21,122 · -48.1%
By 2100
14,400 · -64.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 3% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nye

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.0% · R 70.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -21.52%
Current HPI
277.4486
Rent YoY
▲ 2.73%
Metro
Pahrump, NV
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.08%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $140,000 GLVAR
  • 2005-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $987 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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