5410 S Flores · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for your next project. Look into this multi family property. Sitting on a large corner lot in the Harlandale neighborhood. Close to downtown, the missions. Easy access to IH 35 South Hwy 90 and IH 10 East
Key facts
- Large corner lot
- Close to downtown
- 9,757 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Harlandale ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #748 of 826 in TX (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $110k (49%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.67%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $299,627
- List price
- $114,900
- Delta
- -61.65%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234 E Sayers | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 2,200 (-6%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $68 | 70 |
| 313 Mary | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 2,112 (-10%) | 22mo | $224,900 | $106 | 40 |
| 133 Rosebud Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 2,182 (-7%) | 23mo | $315,000 | $144 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $11,578
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $49,033
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78214
- Home prices YoY
- -4.6%
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,605 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,724/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $474
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234 E Sayers Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,200 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5113 Sierra St Unit 3 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3000 | $800 | $0.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 108 Beatrice Ave Unit 101 San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2444 | $1,450 | $0.59 | 20d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 108 Beatrice Ave Unit 102 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2444 | $1,250 | $0.51 | 20d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 511 E Sayers Ave San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1748 | $1,675 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 123 Fairview Ave #3 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1776 | $1,800 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-05-13price $114,900 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Looking for your next project. Look into this multi family property. Sitting on a large corner lot in the Harlandale neighborhood. Close to downtown, the missions. Easy access to IH 35 South Hwy 90 and IH 10 East
-
2026-04-10price $149,900 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Looking for your next project. Look into this multi family property. Sitting on a large corner lot in the Harlandale neighborhood. Close to downtown, the missions. Easy access to IH 35 South Hwy 90 and IH 10 East
-
2026-02-19$224,900 New 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Looking for your next project. Look into this multi family property. Sitting on a large corner lot in the Harlandale neighborhood. Close to downtown, the missions. Easy access to IH 35 South Hwy 90 and IH 10 East
-
2024-10-23historical
-
2024-09-27price $306,500
-
2024-09-25price $295,000
-
2024-09-24status Back on Market
-
2024-09-03historical
-
2024-08-24price $339,999
-
2024-08-13price $349,999
-
2024-07-30price $354,999
-
2024-07-22price $359,500
-
2024-07-14price $365,000
-
2024-06-12price $370,000
-
2024-05-28price $375,000
-
2024-05-06price $385,000
-
2024-04-23$400,000 New
-
2023-05-16soldstatus Sold
-
2023-05-12soldstatus
-
2023-04-08status Pending
-
2023-03-25historical Active Option
-
2023-03-20$360,000 New
-
2022-12-02historical
-
2018-12-27soldstatus
-
2018-04-09soldstatus
-
2018-04-06soldstatus
-
2016-07-08soldstatus
-
2016-02-18soldstatus $250,000
-
2009-06-16historical
-
2008-04-18$90,000
-
2006-11-22soldstatus
-
2006-11-06soldstatus
-
2006-09-22historical
-
2006-06-20$90,000
-
2004-11-29soldstatus
-
2003-06-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,258
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$1,724
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,541
- − Management
- −$1,541
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $4,100
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$984
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,701/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harlandale ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822470
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,850
- Composite
- 19.25/100
- National rank
- #8806
- State rank
- #748 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,118
- Household income
- $44,902
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 842.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 87% Two or more races 24% White 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 71%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 46% English-only · Spanish 54%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.02%
- Current HPI
- 247.2716
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+27.7% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $114,900 LERA
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $149,900 LERA
- 2026-02-19 Listed $224,900 LERA
- 2024-10-23 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2024-09-27 Price Changed $306,500 LERA
- 2024-09-25 Price Changed $295,000 LERA
- 2024-09-24 Relisted — LERA
- 2024-09-03 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2024-08-24 Price Changed $339,999 LERA
- 2024-08-13 Price Changed $349,999 LERA
- 2024-07-30 Price Changed $354,999 LERA
- 2024-07-22 Price Changed $359,500 LERA
- 2024-07-14 Price Changed $365,000 LERA
- 2024-06-12 Price Changed $370,000 LERA
- 2024-05-28 Price Changed $375,000 LERA
- 2024-05-06 Price Changed $385,000 LERA
- 2024-04-23 Listed $400,000 LERA
- 2023-05-16 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2023-05-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-04-08 Pending — LERA
- 2023-03-25 Contingent — LERA
- 2023-03-20 Listed $360,000 LERA
- 2022-12-02 Rental Removed — RENT.
- 2018-12-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-04-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-04-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-07-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
- 2009-06-16 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2008-04-18 Listed $90,000 LERA
- 2006-11-22 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2006-11-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-09-22 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2006-06-20 Listed $90,000 LERA
- 2004-11-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-06-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+11.5%/yrLatest (2025): $8,243 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…