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650 Darya Dr
D- Composite 36.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$388,690

650 Darya Dr · York, SC 29745
4 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,448 sqft · SingleFamily · 194 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 6,708 sqft lot 2-car garage $159/sqft · at area comps Est $403k · at est. $99/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fire up the grill and head out to the Manchester's covered back deck. Inside, the open-concept living space is ideal for entertaining. Turn the main-level flex space into a study or work upstairs in the versatile loft.

Key facts

  • Covered back deck
  • Versatile loft
  • Walking trails

Tags

COVERED BACK DECKOPEN-CONCEPT LIVING SPACEMAIN-LEVEL FLEX SPACEVERSATILE LOFTWALKING TRAILSPLAYGROUND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $389k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-481 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $319k (17.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $292k (25.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $292k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#139 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • York 01 (rural): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #41 of 80 in SC (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hunter Street Elementary (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #168 of 597 statewide, top 31%, 405 students, 74% FRL); York Middle (math 21% / reading 33%, grade F, #153 of 229 statewide, top 68%, 814 students, 72% FRL); York Comprehensive High (math 39% / reading 82%, grade C+, #108 of 196 statewide, top 55%, 1,493 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 957 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,550 units permitted in York County in 2024 (350 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • York County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($342k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $291,710 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75% ✗
Cap rate
4.81%
Cash-on-cash
-5.30%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$403,462
List price
$388,690
Delta
-3.66%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
849 Santina Ave 0.04mi 4/2.5 2,448 (0%) 3mo $409,000 $167 91
846 Santina Ave 0.07mi 4/2.5 2,448 (0%) 8mo $407,000 $166 86
708 Palmer Pendleton Way 0.21mi 4/2.5 2,448 (0%) 7mo $409,000 $167 80
724 Palmer Pendleton Way 0.18mi 4/3.0 2,572 (+5%) 6mo $460,000 $179 76
716 Palmer Pendleton Way 0.20mi 4/3.0 2,572 (+5%) 6mo $466,000 $181 75
806 Santina Ln 0.05mi 4/3.0 2,208 (-10%) 8mo $399,140 $181 72
138 Arlingdale Dr 0.19mi 4/3.0 2,208 (-10%) 1mo $395,500 $179 72
139 Arlingdale Dr 0.20mi 4/3.0 2,208 (-10%) 1mo $409,640 $186 72
592 Darya Ln 0.09mi 4/3.0 2,208 (-10%) 7mo $401,500 $182 71
838 Santina Ave 0.07mi 4/2.5 2,702 (+10%) 5mo $425,000 $157 71
426 Brookhollow Dr 0.19mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,276 (-7%) 2mo $310,000 $136 69
404 Brookhollow Dr 0.24mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,303 (-6%) 6mo $365,000 $158 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.3%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-93,492
Equity at exit
$57,955
10-year hold
IRR
-21.3%
Equity multiple
-0.11×
Total profit
$-120,403
Equity at exit
$33,607

Cash invested: $108,833 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
20 active · 14 under contract
Months of supply
9.2 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$425,140 ($177/sqft)
Median days on market
233 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
-6.8% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 29745

Home prices YoY
-30.3%
Active inventory
957
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,917 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,038
Tax est. 1.5%
−$486 /mo · $5,830/yr
Insurance
−$162
HOA
−$99
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$613
Net cashflow
$-481

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,526
Max offer price $319,141
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-212 -5% $-346 +0% $-481 +5% $-615 +10% $-749
Rent -10% $-711 -5% $-596 +0% $-481 +5% $-365 +10% $-250
Rate -1.0pp $-285 -0.5pp $-382 base $-481 +0.5pp $-581 +1.0pp $-684

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$97,172
Closing costs
$11,661
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1010 Two Brothers Ln York, SC 4.0 2.5 2174 $2,400 $1.10 88d 1 1.19mi
495 Switch St York, SC 3.0 2.5 1928 $2,395 $1.24 134d 1 1.41mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Architectural review restriction
HOA & community
Mandatory HOA managed by Kuester Management GroupHOA fee $99 per month

Exterior

Parking
Attached 2-car garageDriveway
Utilities
City waterPublic sewer
Home design
Single family residenceTwo levelsUnder construction (new construction)
Construction
Site-built constructionPartial brick and hardboard sidingSlab foundationProposed completion June 2, 2026Builder: Meritage Homes (Manchester model)
Exterior features
Concrete and paved road accessRoad dedication to public use pending acceptance

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherDisposalMicrowave
Bedrooms
4 bedrooms (3 on upper level, 1 on main level)
Flooring
CarpetTileVinyl
Bathrooms
3 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Central heating (ENERGY STAR qualified equipment)Central air conditioning (ENERGY STAR qualified equipment)
Interior features
Kitchen islandOpen floorplanPantryWalk-in closets12 total rooms
Laundry & utility
Washer/Dryer includedLaundry located inside on upper level

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $388,690 Active 194 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $388,690 Active 193 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $388,690 Active 192 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $388,690 Active 191 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    days on market $388,690 Active 190 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $388,690 Active 188 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $388,690 Active 187 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $388,690 Active 186 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $388,690 Active 185 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $388,690 Active 184 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    pricedays on market $388,690 Active 183 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $390,190 Active 182 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $390,190 Active 181 DOM
  14. 2026-10-26
    days on market $390,190 Active 180 DOM
  15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $390,190 Active 179 DOM
  16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $390,190 Active 178 DOM
  17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $390,190 Active 177 DOM
  18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $390,190 Active 176 DOM
  19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $390,190 Active 175 DOM
  20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $390,190 Active 174 DOM
  21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $390,190 Active 173 DOM
  22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $390,190 Active 172 DOM
  23. 2026-10-16
    price $390,190 Active 171 DOM
  24. 2026-10-16
    days on market $395,190 Active 171 DOM
  25. 2026-10-15
    pricedays on market $395,190 Active 170 DOM
  26. 2026-10-14
    days on market $419,190 Active 169 DOM
  27. 2026-10-13
    days on market $419,190 Active 168 DOM
  28. 2026-10-12
    days on market $419,190 Active 167 DOM
  29. 2026-10-11
    days on market $419,190 Active 166 DOM
  30. 2026-10-10
    days on market $419,190 Active 165 DOM
  31. 2026-10-09
    days on market $419,190 Active 164 DOM
  32. 2026-10-08
    days on market $419,190 Active 163 DOM
  33. 2026-10-07
    days on market $419,190 Active 162 DOM
  34. 2026-10-06
    days on market $419,190 Active 161 DOM
  35. 2026-10-05
    days on market $419,190 Active 160 DOM
  36. 2026-10-04
    days on market $419,190 Active 159 DOM
  37. 2026-10-04
    days on market $419,190 Active 158 DOM
  38. 2026-10-02
    days on market $419,190 Active 157 DOM
  39. 2026-10-01
    days on market $419,190 Active 156 DOM
  40. 2026-09-30
    days on market $419,190 Active 155 DOM
  41. 2026-09-29
    days on market $419,190 Active 154 DOM
  42. 2026-09-28
    days on market $419,190 Active 153 DOM
  43. 2026-09-27
    days on market $419,190 Active 152 DOM
  44. 2026-09-25
    days on market $419,190 Active 150 DOM
  45. 2026-09-24
    days on market $419,190 Active 149 DOM
  46. 2026-09-23
    days on market $419,190 Active 148 DOM
  47. 2026-09-22
    days on market $419,190 Active 147 DOM
  48. 2026-09-21
    days on market $419,190 Active 146 DOM
  49. 2026-09-20
    days on market $419,190 Active 145 DOM
  50. 2026-09-19
    days on market $419,190 Active 144 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,005
− Mortgage interest
−$21,773
− Property taxes
−$5,830
− Insurance
−$1,943
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,800
− Management
−$2,800
− HOA
−$1,188
− Depreciation
−$11,307
Taxable loss
−$12,637
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,033
After-tax cash flow
$-2,735/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand new home is move-in ready with excellent condition and modern features. It's ideal for both resale and rental markets.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale landscaping — enhances curb appeal ↑
  • Resale painting — fresh paint can make a big difference ↑
  • Both upgrading appliances — modern appliances can increase both resale and rental value ↑
F Composite school gradezoned avg 46/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Hunter Street Elementary D SC #168/597 Nat'l #12,785/41,679 Middle York Middle F SC #153/229 Nat'l #9,793/14,009 High York Comprehensive High C+ SC #108/196 Nat'l #3,510/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
York 01
NCES district ID
4503810
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$44,491
Composite
30.21/100
National rank
#6305
State rank
#41 of 80 in SC
C Composite livability gradescore 65/100

Livability — York

Score
65/100
State rank
#139
US rank
#13425

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
York County · 307,757 people
City population
34,909
Metro
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Population (ZIP)
34,909
Household income
$79,117
Rent vs Own
16.1% rent · 83.9% own
Severe rent burden
11% of renters

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
307,757 people
By 2030
335,979 · +9.2%
By 2040
391,378 · +27.2%
By 2050
443,234 · +44.0%
By 2075
557,102 · +81.0%
By 2100
625,837 · +103.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 12% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
R (+19.1) · D 39.7% · R 58.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: -17.7pp · 2024: -19.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.1 2020: R+16.5 2016: R+22.1 2012: R+20.5 2008: R+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-5.6% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Price Changed $419,690 Zillow
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $419,690 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-23 Price Changed $421,690 Zillow
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $421,690 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $419,690 Zillow
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $419,690 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $431,690 Zillow
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted — Zillow
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $419,690 Zillow
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $431,690 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $419,690 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-23 Delisted — Zillow
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $444,690 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…