5 Griffith Ct · Terrell, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$242,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors this property needs some TLC. Large oversized lot. Great floor plan and situated in the amazing community of Griffith Manor. This 4 bedroom 2 and a half bathroom residence is perfect for the growing family.
Key facts
- Floor plan
- Oversized lot
- 0.39 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $242k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-292 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (21.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (2.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.8% in Terrell — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#520 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, schools F.
- Terrell ISD (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #677 of 826 in TX (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 372 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $52k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.16%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $361,073
- List price
- $242,500
- Delta
- -32.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 Pacific Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,549 (+1%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $151 | 62 |
| 110 Howard St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 2,433 (-4%) | 11mo | $284,999 | $117 | 62 |
| 210 Elm Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 2,382 (-6%) | 9mo | $399,000 | $168 | 61 |
| 204 Walnut St | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,397 (-5%) | 16mo | $349,000 | $146 | 59 |
| 121 Redwood | 0.75mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,432 (-4%) | 2mo | $314,900 | $129 | 52 |
| 306 W Brin St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 2,376 (-6%) | 4mo | $299,900 | $126 | 52 |
| 116 Laurel Trl N | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 | 2,490 (-1%) | 20mo | $279,500 | $112 | 50 |
| 102 Brookhollow Dr | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 | 2,443 (-3%) | 19mo | $359,500 | $147 | 47 |
| 119 Walnut St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 2,228 (-12%) | 22mo | $315,000 | $141 | 47 |
| 100 W Damon St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 2,220 (-12%) | 12mo | $350,000 | $158 | 43 |
| 310 Rash Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,192 (-13%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $153 | 37 |
| 1102 Griffith Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,173 (-14%) | 6mo | $315,000 | $145 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-57,553
- Equity at exit
- $36,158
- IRR
- -20.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.07×
- Total profit
- $-72,709
- Equity at exit
- $20,967
Cash invested: $67,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75160
- Home prices YoY
- -13.2%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,359 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,272
- Tax from tax record
- −$783 /mo · $9,390/yr
- Insurance
- −$101
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$495
- Net cashflow
- $-292
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,625
- Closing costs
- $7,275
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 233 Willow Creek Ln Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1801 | $1,995 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 116 N Island Dr Terrell, TX | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1909 | $2,435 | $1.28 | 1d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 209 Southgate Dr Terrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2054 | $2,535 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 408 Town North Dr Terrell, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2224 | $2,199 | $0.99 | 7d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $242,500 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $242,500 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $242,500 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $242,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $242,500 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $242,500 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $242,500 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $242,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $242,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $242,500 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $242,500 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $242,500 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-02price $242,500 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $257,500 Active 63 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $257,500 Active 62 DOM
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2026-05-14price $257,500 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Investors this property needs some TLC. Large oversized lot. Great floor plan and situated in the amazing community of Griffith Manor. This 4 bedroom 2 and a half bathroom residence is perfect for the growing family.
-
2026-04-30price $265,000 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Investors this property needs some TLC. Large oversized lot. Great floor plan and situated in the amazing community of Griffith Manor. This 4 bedroom 2 and a half bathroom residence is perfect for the growing family.
-
2026-04-13price $287,400 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Investors this property needs some TLC. Large oversized lot. Great floor plan and situated in the amazing community of Griffith Manor. This 4 bedroom 2 and a half bathroom residence is perfect for the growing family.
-
2026-03-29$294,900 Active 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Investors this property needs some TLC. Large oversized lot. Great floor plan and situated in the amazing community of Griffith Manor. This 4 bedroom 2 and a half bathroom residence is perfect for the growing family.
-
2020-10-27soldstatus
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2020-10-26soldstatus Sold 750-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
Sought after neighborhood in Terrell! 5 Griffith Court is ready for a new family to make tons of memories! Downstairs boast a formal living room & dining area with wainscoting; you step into the kitchen w-updated granite countertops, ceramic tile backsplash, updated faucets, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar overlooking the breakfast room; family room has wood paneling, wood burning fireplace-gas starter; half bath downstairs for guests; upstairs features Master bedroom w-two walkin closets, master bath w-jetted tub, sep. shower & 2 sinks; guest rooms are large w-good closet space; carpet in all bedrooms; nice wood floors & ceramic tile in bathrooms & kitchen; covered patio for morning coffee & sunsets!
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2020-10-08status Pending 750-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
Sought after neighborhood in Terrell! 5 Griffith Court is ready for a new family to make tons of memories! Downstairs boast a formal living room & dining area with wainscoting; you step into the kitchen w-updated granite countertops, ceramic tile backsplash, updated faucets, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar overlooking the breakfast room; family room has wood paneling, wood burning fireplace-gas starter; half bath downstairs for guests; upstairs features Master bedroom w-two walkin closets, master bath w-jetted tub, sep. shower & 2 sinks; guest rooms are large w-good closet space; carpet in all bedrooms; nice wood floors & ceramic tile in bathrooms & kitchen; covered patio for morning coffee & sunsets!
-
2020-09-24historical Active Option Contract 750-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
Sought after neighborhood in Terrell! 5 Griffith Court is ready for a new family to make tons of memories! Downstairs boast a formal living room & dining area with wainscoting; you step into the kitchen w-updated granite countertops, ceramic tile backsplash, updated faucets, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar overlooking the breakfast room; family room has wood paneling, wood burning fireplace-gas starter; half bath downstairs for guests; upstairs features Master bedroom w-two walkin closets, master bath w-jetted tub, sep. shower & 2 sinks; guest rooms are large w-good closet space; carpet in all bedrooms; nice wood floors & ceramic tile in bathrooms & kitchen; covered patio for morning coffee & sunsets!
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2020-09-21$249,900 Active 750-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
Sought after neighborhood in Terrell! 5 Griffith Court is ready for a new family to make tons of memories! Downstairs boast a formal living room & dining area with wainscoting; you step into the kitchen w-updated granite countertops, ceramic tile backsplash, updated faucets, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar overlooking the breakfast room; family room has wood paneling, wood burning fireplace-gas starter; half bath downstairs for guests; upstairs features Master bedroom w-two walkin closets, master bath w-jetted tub, sep. shower & 2 sinks; guest rooms are large w-good closet space; carpet in all bedrooms; nice wood floors & ceramic tile in bathrooms & kitchen; covered patio for morning coffee & sunsets!
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2019-08-30historical
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2019-06-25price $229,000
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2019-05-16price $239,000
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2019-03-29$245,000 Active
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1999-04-15soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $9,390 · $783/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,390 · $783/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,305
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,584
- − Property taxes
- −$9,390
- − Insurance
- −$1,212
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,264
- − Management
- −$2,264
- − Depreciation
- −$7,055
- Taxable loss
- −$7,465
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,792
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,711/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Terrell ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842450
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,265
- Composite
- 23.57/100
- National rank
- #7855
- State rank
- #677 of 826 in TX
Livability — Terrell
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #520
- US rank
- #10213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Terrell, TX
- County
- Kaufman County · 122,338 people
- City population
- 28,206
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,206
- Household income
- $71,801
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 845.0
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 19% Black 18%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 24% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.39%
- Current HPI
- 278.507
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+5.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $257,500 NTREIS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $265,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $287,400 NTREIS
- 2026-03-29 Listed $294,900 NTREIS
- 2020-10-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-10-26 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2020-10-08 Pending — NTREIS
- 2020-09-24 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2020-09-21 Listed $249,900 NTREIS
- 2019-08-30 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2019-06-25 Price Changed $229,000 NTREIS
- 2019-05-16 Price Changed $239,000 NTREIS
- 2019-03-29 Listed $245,000 NTREIS
- 1999-04-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $9,390 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…