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5 Griffith Ct
D- Composite 39.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$242,500

5 Griffith Ct · Terrell, TX 75160
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,522 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1996 0.39 ac lot $96/sqft · 33% below area Est $361k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investors this property needs some TLC. Large oversized lot. Great floor plan and situated in the amazing community of Griffith Manor. This 4 bedroom 2 and a half bathroom residence is perfect for the growing family.

Key facts

  • Floor plan
  • Oversized lot
  • 0.39 acre lot

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTFLOOR PLANCOMMUNITY OF GRIFFITH MANOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $242k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-292 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (21.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (2.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $191k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.8% in Terrell — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#520 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Terrell ISD (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #677 of 826 in TX (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 372 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $52k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $190,945 (21.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
4.85%
Cash-on-cash
-5.16%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$361,073
List price
$242,500
Delta
-32.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
401 Pacific Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,549 (+1%) 2mo $385,000 $151 62
110 Howard St 0.47mi 4/2.0 2,433 (-4%) 11mo $284,999 $117 62
210 Elm Dr 0.43mi 4/2.0 2,382 (-6%) 9mo $399,000 $168 61
204 Walnut St 0.31mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,397 (-5%) 16mo $349,000 $146 59
121 Redwood 0.75mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,432 (-4%) 2mo $314,900 $129 52
306 W Brin St 0.71mi 4/2.0 2,376 (-6%) 4mo $299,900 $126 52
116 Laurel Trl N 0.64mi 4/3.0 2,490 (-1%) 20mo $279,500 $112 50
102 Brookhollow Dr 0.64mi 4/3.0 2,443 (-3%) 19mo $359,500 $147 47
119 Walnut St 0.29mi 4/2.0 2,228 (-12%) 22mo $315,000 $141 47
100 W Damon St 0.54mi 4/2.0 2,220 (-12%) 12mo $350,000 $158 43
310 Rash Ln 0.68mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,192 (-13%) 6mo $335,000 $153 37
1102 Griffith Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,173 (-14%) 6mo $315,000 $145 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.9%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-57,553
Equity at exit
$36,158
10-year hold
IRR
-20.2%
Equity multiple
-0.07×
Total profit
$-72,709
Equity at exit
$20,967

Cash invested: $67,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75160

Home prices YoY
-13.2%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,359 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,272
Tax from tax record
$783 /mo · $9,390/yr
Insurance
$101
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$495
Net cashflow
$-292

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,728
Max offer price $190,945
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,625
Closing costs
$7,275
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
233 Willow Creek Ln Terrell, TX 3.0 2.0 1801 $1,995 $1.11 44d 1 0.94mi
116 N Island Dr Terrell, TX 3.0–5.0 2.0–2.5 1909 $2,435 $1.28 1d 1 1.21mi
209 Southgate Dr Terrell, TX 4.0 2.5 2054 $2,535 $1.23 44d 1 1.22mi
408 Town North Dr Terrell, TX 4.0 3.0 2224 $2,199 $0.99 7d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $242,500 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $242,500 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $242,500 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $242,500 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $242,500 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $242,500 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $242,500 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $242,500 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $242,500 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $242,500 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $242,500 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $242,500 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    price $242,500 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $257,500 Active 63 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $257,500 Active 62 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    price $257,500 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Investors this property needs some TLC. Large oversized lot. Great floor plan and situated in the amazing community of Griffith Manor. This 4 bedroom 2 and a half bathroom residence is perfect for the growing family.

  17. 2026-04-30
    price $265,000 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Investors this property needs some TLC. Large oversized lot. Great floor plan and situated in the amazing community of Griffith Manor. This 4 bedroom 2 and a half bathroom residence is perfect for the growing family.

  18. 2026-04-13
    price $287,400 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Investors this property needs some TLC. Large oversized lot. Great floor plan and situated in the amazing community of Griffith Manor. This 4 bedroom 2 and a half bathroom residence is perfect for the growing family.

  19. 2026-03-29
    listed $294,900 Active 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Investors this property needs some TLC. Large oversized lot. Great floor plan and situated in the amazing community of Griffith Manor. This 4 bedroom 2 and a half bathroom residence is perfect for the growing family.

  20. 2020-10-27
    soldstatus
  21. 2020-10-26
    soldstatus Sold 750-char remark
    Show marketing remark (750 chars)

    Sought after neighborhood in Terrell! 5 Griffith Court is ready for a new family to make tons of memories! Downstairs boast a formal living room & dining area with wainscoting; you step into the kitchen w-updated granite countertops, ceramic tile backsplash, updated faucets, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar overlooking the breakfast room; family room has wood paneling, wood burning fireplace-gas starter; half bath downstairs for guests; upstairs features Master bedroom w-two walkin closets, master bath w-jetted tub, sep. shower & 2 sinks; guest rooms are large w-good closet space; carpet in all bedrooms; nice wood floors & ceramic tile in bathrooms & kitchen; covered patio for morning coffee & sunsets!

  22. 2020-10-08
    status Pending 750-char remark
    Show marketing remark (750 chars)

    Sought after neighborhood in Terrell! 5 Griffith Court is ready for a new family to make tons of memories! Downstairs boast a formal living room & dining area with wainscoting; you step into the kitchen w-updated granite countertops, ceramic tile backsplash, updated faucets, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar overlooking the breakfast room; family room has wood paneling, wood burning fireplace-gas starter; half bath downstairs for guests; upstairs features Master bedroom w-two walkin closets, master bath w-jetted tub, sep. shower & 2 sinks; guest rooms are large w-good closet space; carpet in all bedrooms; nice wood floors & ceramic tile in bathrooms & kitchen; covered patio for morning coffee & sunsets!

  23. 2020-09-24
    historical Active Option Contract 750-char remark
    Show marketing remark (750 chars)

    Sought after neighborhood in Terrell! 5 Griffith Court is ready for a new family to make tons of memories! Downstairs boast a formal living room & dining area with wainscoting; you step into the kitchen w-updated granite countertops, ceramic tile backsplash, updated faucets, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar overlooking the breakfast room; family room has wood paneling, wood burning fireplace-gas starter; half bath downstairs for guests; upstairs features Master bedroom w-two walkin closets, master bath w-jetted tub, sep. shower & 2 sinks; guest rooms are large w-good closet space; carpet in all bedrooms; nice wood floors & ceramic tile in bathrooms & kitchen; covered patio for morning coffee & sunsets!

  24. 2020-09-21
    listed $249,900 Active 750-char remark
    Show marketing remark (750 chars)

    Sought after neighborhood in Terrell! 5 Griffith Court is ready for a new family to make tons of memories! Downstairs boast a formal living room & dining area with wainscoting; you step into the kitchen w-updated granite countertops, ceramic tile backsplash, updated faucets, stainless steel appliances, breakfast bar overlooking the breakfast room; family room has wood paneling, wood burning fireplace-gas starter; half bath downstairs for guests; upstairs features Master bedroom w-two walkin closets, master bath w-jetted tub, sep. shower & 2 sinks; guest rooms are large w-good closet space; carpet in all bedrooms; nice wood floors & ceramic tile in bathrooms & kitchen; covered patio for morning coffee & sunsets!

  25. 2019-08-30
    historical
  26. 2019-06-25
    price $229,000
  27. 2019-05-16
    price $239,000
  28. 2019-03-29
    listed $245,000 Active
  29. 1999-04-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$9,390 · $783/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,390 · $783/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,305
− Mortgage interest
−$13,584
− Property taxes
−$9,390
− Insurance
−$1,212
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,264
− Management
−$2,264
− Depreciation
−$7,055
Taxable loss
−$7,465
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,792
After-tax cash flow
$-1,711/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Terrell ISD
NCES district ID
4842450
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$44,265
Composite
23.57/100
National rank
#7855
State rank
#677 of 826 in TX

Livability — Terrell

Score
67/100
State rank
#520
US rank
#10213

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Terrell, TX
County
Kaufman County · 122,338 people
City population
28,206
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,206
Household income
$71,801
Rent vs Own
31.5% rent · 68.5% own
Severe rent burden
845.0

Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,716 people
By 2030
150,815 · +8.7%
By 2040
174,877 · +26.1%
By 2050
198,020 · +42.8%
By 2075
251,908 · +81.6%
By 2100
285,325 · +105.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 19% Black 18%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 24% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.39%
Current HPI
278.507
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $257,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $265,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $287,400 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-29 Listed $294,900 NTREIS
  • 2020-10-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-10-26 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2020-10-08 Pending NTREIS
  • 2020-09-24 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2020-09-21 Listed $249,900 NTREIS
  • 2019-08-30 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2019-06-25 Price Changed $229,000 NTREIS
  • 2019-05-16 Price Changed $239,000 NTREIS
  • 2019-03-29 Listed $245,000 NTREIS
  • 1999-04-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,390 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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